http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com/2012/05/gold-daily-and-silver-weekly-charts_25.html
The situation remains rather volatile and open to an exogenous event.
Gold has not yet broken its downtrend. We do have the option expiration under out belts at least and are entering a heavy delivery season.
I thought it was interesting that the US government has directed the Fed to backstop the Comex and ICE in the case of a liquidity event or a run on the exchange.
In that event be ready to accept a forced settlement in paper, and to possibly forsake any metal held in custody at an exchange depository to a soft confiscation, ie it was not there in the first place and will lost to a wave of defaults.
http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com/2012/05/us-decides-to-backstop-anglo-american.html
It sounds like the principle of keeping AIG whole on its obligations so that it can pay off to the banks at 100 cents on the dollar. This should make Jamie feel a little better about his bad derivatives trades.
And Blythe should rest easy knowing that Benny has her back on those massive metals shorts.
Sounds like they even plan to have the Fed backstop the derivatives trade in London.
Heads the banks win, tails those holding US dollars lose.
How will they support the next bailout? Austerity!
Last year regulators finalized rules for how they would use this new power. On Tuesday, they began using it. The Financial Stability Oversight Council secretly voted to proceed toward inducting several derivatives clearinghouses into the too-big-to-fail club. After further review, regulators will make final designations, probably later this year, and will announce publicly the names of institutions deemed systemically important.
We're told that the clearinghouses of Chicago's CME Group and Atlanta-based Intercontinental Exchange were voted systemic this week, and rumor has it that the council may even designate London-based LCH.Clearnet as critical to the U.S. financial system.
U.S. taxpayers thinking that they couldn't possibly be forced to stand behind overseas derivatives trading will not be comforted by remarks from Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Gary Gensler. On Monday he emphasized his determination to extend Dodd-Frank derivatives regulation to overseas markets when subsidiaries of U.S. firms are involved...
http://www.gata.org/node/11412
Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Fed Will Backstop a Run On the Exchange
The situation remains rather volatile and open to an exogenous event.
Gold has not yet broken its downtrend. We do have the option expiration under out belts at least and are entering a heavy delivery season.
I thought it was interesting that the US government has directed the Fed to backstop the Comex and ICE in the case of a liquidity event or a run on the exchange.
In that event be ready to accept a forced settlement in paper, and to possibly forsake any metal held in custody at an exchange depository to a soft confiscation, ie it was not there in the first place and will lost to a wave of defaults.
US to Backstop the Anglo-American Derivatives Exchanges with Fed Dollars - 'Too Big To Fail'
It sounds like the principle of keeping AIG whole on its obligations so that it can pay off to the banks at 100 cents on the dollar. This should make Jamie feel a little better about his bad derivatives trades.
And Blythe should rest easy knowing that Benny has her back on those massive metals shorts.
Sounds like they even plan to have the Fed backstop the derivatives trade in London.
Heads the banks win, tails those holding US dollars lose.
How will they support the next bailout? Austerity!
Wall Street Journal
A Mess the 45th President Will Inherit
Thursday, May 24, 2012
Taxpayers Now Stand Behind Derivatives Clearinghouses
...Little noticed is that on Tuesday Team Obama took its first formal steps toward putting taxpayers behind Wall Street derivatives trading -- not behind banks that might make mistakes in derivatives markets, but behind the trading itself. Yes, the same crew that rails against the dangers of derivatives is quietly positioning these financial instruments directly above the taxpayer safety net.
As we noted in May 2010, the authority for this regulatory achievement was inserted into Congress's pending financial reform bill by then-Senator Chris Dodd. Two months later, the legislation was re-named Dodd-Frank and signed into law by Mr. Obama. One part of the law forces much of the derivatives market into clearinghouses that stand behind every trade. Mr. Dodd's pet provision creates a mechanism for bailing out these clearinghouses when they run into trouble.Specifically, the law authorizes the Federal Reserve to provide "discount and borrowing privileges" to clearinghouses in emergencies. Traditionally the ability to borrow from the Fed's discount window was reserved for banks, but the new law made clear that a clearinghouse receiving assistance was not required to "be or become a bank or bank holding company." To get help, they only needed to be deemed "systemically important" by the new Financial Stability Oversight Council chaired by the Treasury Secretary.
Last year regulators finalized rules for how they would use this new power. On Tuesday, they began using it. The Financial Stability Oversight Council secretly voted to proceed toward inducting several derivatives clearinghouses into the too-big-to-fail club. After further review, regulators will make final designations, probably later this year, and will announce publicly the names of institutions deemed systemically important.
We're told that the clearinghouses of Chicago's CME Group and Atlanta-based Intercontinental Exchange were voted systemic this week, and rumor has it that the council may even designate London-based LCH.Clearnet as critical to the U.S. financial system.
U.S. taxpayers thinking that they couldn't possibly be forced to stand behind overseas derivatives trading will not be comforted by remarks from Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Gary Gensler. On Monday he emphasized his determination to extend Dodd-Frank derivatives regulation to overseas markets when subsidiaries of U.S. firms are involved...
http://www.gata.org/node/11412
Wall Street Journal says Comex has been classified as 'too big to fail'
Submitted by cpowell on Fri, 2012-05-25 06:09. Section: Daily Dispatches
A Mess the 45th President Will Inherit
Taxpayers Now Stand Behind Derivatives Clearinghouses
From the Wall Street Journal
Thursday, May 24, 2012
Thursday, May 24, 2012
President Obama's standard gripe is that the economy has performed so poorly during his term because of the financial crisis he inherited from George W. Bush. But this week it is Mr. Obama who has bequeathed to his successors a landmark in financial regulation. It is bound to haunt them, though not as much as it will haunt taxpayers.
J.P. Morgan's recent trading loss and the resulting Washington blather about tighter regulation have grabbed headlines.
Little noticed is that on Tuesday Team Obama took its first formal steps toward putting taxpayers behind Wall Street derivatives trading -- not behind banks that might make mistakes in derivatives markets, but behind the trading itself. Yes, the same crew that rails against the dangers of derivatives is quietly positioning these financial instruments directly above the taxpayer safety net.
As we noted in May 2010, the authority for this regulatory achievement was inserted into Congress's pending financial reform bill by then-Senator Chris Dodd. Two months later, the legislation was re-named Dodd-Frank and signed into law by Mr. Obama. One part of the law forces much of the derivatives market into clearinghouses that stand behind every trade. Mr. Dodd's pet provision creates a mechanism for bailing out these clearinghouses when they run into trouble.
Specifically, the law authorizes the Federal Reserve to provide "discount and borrowing privileges" to clearinghouses in emergencies. Traditionally the ability to borrow from the Fed's discount window was reserved for banks, but the new law made clear that a clearinghouse receiving assistance was not required to "be or become a bank or bank holding company." To get help, they only needed to be deemed "systemically important" by the new Financial Stability Oversight Council chaired by the Treasury Secretary.
http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2012/05/25/dimon-agrees-to-testify-without-committing-to-specific-date/
Last year regulators finalized rules for how they would use this new power. On Tuesday, they began using it. The Financial Stability Oversight Council secretly voted to proceed toward inducting several derivatives clearinghouses into the too-big-to-fail club. After further review, regulators will make final designations, probably later this year, and will announce publicly the names of institutions deemed systemically important.
We're told that the clearinghouses of Chicago's CME Group and Atlanta-based Intercontinental Exchange were voted systemic this week, and rumor has it that the council may even designate London-based LCH.Clearnet as critical to the U.S. financial system.
U.S. taxpayers thinking that they couldn't possibly be forced to stand behind overseas derivatives trading will not be comforted by remarks from Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Gary Gensler. On Monday he emphasized his determination to extend Dodd-Frank derivatives regulation to overseas markets when subsidiaries of U.S. firms are involved.
Readers know Mr. Gensler as the chief regulator of MF Global, which was run into bankruptcy by his old Beltway and Goldman Sachs pal Jon Corzine. An estimated $1.6 billion is still missing from MF Global customer accounts. What an amazing feat Mr. Gensler will have performed if, through his agency's oversight, he can manage to have U.S. customers eat the cost of Mr. Corzine's bets on foreign debt and have U.S. taxpayers underwrite bets in foreign derivatives trading.
If there's one truth we've learned about government financial backstops, it's that sooner or later they will be used. So eventually taxpayers will have to bail out one derivatives clearinghouse or another. It promises to be quite a mess. And if the 45th president spends his first term whining about his predecessor's mistakes, he'll have a point.
and.......
Dimon Agrees to Testify, Without Committing to Specific Date
BY BEN PROTESSArticle Tools
Jamie Dimon, the chief executive of JPMorgan Chase, has agreed to testify before a Congressional committee in June to discuss the bank’s recent multimillion-dollar trading loss.
He just hasn’t committed to a date yet.
The Senate Banking Committee invited Mr. Dimon for June 7, but JPMorgan has declined. The bank on Friday was still negotiating with staff for the banking committee and the House Financial Services Committee.
“Jamie will of course be available to testify next month,” a bank spokeswoman said. “We’re working with the House and Senate to determine a time frame that will work for both chambers in June and allow us to provide the most thorough testimony.”
It is unclear why JPMorgan balked at the June 7 invitation. It is possible Mr. Dimon has a scheduling conflict, or simply wants more time to prepare his testimony. The bank spokeswoman, Jennifer Zuccarelli, declined to elaborate.
The banking committee’s chairman, Senator Tim Johnson, announced last week that he would call on Mr. Dimon to testify. The committee has begun a broader examination of the bank’s surprise trading loss — and its implication on Wall Street regulation.
“I expect Mr. Dimon to come prepared to provide the committee a better understanding of this massive trading loss so we can take the implications into account as we continue to conduct our robust oversight over the full implementation of Wall Street reform,” Mr. Johnson, Democrat of South Dakota, said in a statement on Friday.
The banking committee this week began a round of JPMorgan hearings with testimony from regulatory agencies investigating the bank’s trading loss. The leaders of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and Securities and Exchange Commission are examining how the bank racked up at least $3 billion in losses tied to a bet on credit derivatives.
And on June 6, the banking committee will host some of JPMorgan’s main regulators, including the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency.
The JPMorgan trading blunder has raised new questions about the future of Wall Street regulation. As the Obama administration puts the finishing touches on a spate of financial rules, some lawmakers have used the bank’s blowup to support the cause of stricter oversight.
“As these events have amply demonstrated – much to the dismay of those who endlessly seek to roll back this tough, new law – Wall Street continues to need better risk management, vigorous oversight and unyielding enforcement,” Mr. Johnson said.
and.....
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/presenting-jpms-uber-prop-trading-desk-meet-sio-inside-cio
Presenting JPM's Uber-Prop Trading Desk: Meet The SIO Inside The CIO
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/25/2012 10:30 -0400
http://www.teribuhl.com/2012/05/25/could-jp-morgan-be-sued-by-stockholders-for-creative-mortgage-putback-accounting/
and.....
Remember when Jamie Dimon told the world the CIO stories were a "tempest in a teapot" during the firm's Q1 conference callthe very same day we accused the CIO of being the world's biggest prop desk (aside from the Fed of course) and that the JP Morgan was merely "hedging" its positions? It appears that just like Vegas, it's the lie that keeps on giving. Because as it turns out in addition to being a massive undisclosed loss leader courtesy of 'unlimited downside' CDS pair trades (anyone remember DB employee Boaz Weinstein?) which have yet to be unwound, and which may have a total book loss of up to or over $31.5 billion as explained before, that was merely the tip of the prop-trading iceberg. The WSJ reports: "The JPM unit whose wrong-way bets on corporate credit cost the bank more than $2 billion includes a group that has invested in financially challenged companies, including LightSquared Inc., the wireless broadband provider that this month filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. The group within the CIO doing the distressed equity investing is known as the Special Investments Group. Whether it should be part of the CIO in the future is something that Matt Zames, who was put in charge of the CIO this month after the losses were disclosed, is evaluating, according to a person familiar with the bank. He is also examining whether the bank should keep some of these investments, the person said... The Special Investments Group last year took a $150 million stake in closely held LightSquared, in a deal that J.P. Morgan lost money on, according to a person familiar with the bank."
But, but, surely they were hedging their offsetting position in er, uhm, non-satellite, telegraph stocks? In yet other words, an SIO within the CIO... once again Wall Street's only value added shines through - baffle them with acronym-based bullshit. And of course, everyone is busy hedging, hedging , the firm's other positions... Or not: as these are pure play directional prop bets. And all are funded by, you guessed it, your deposit dollars. Which one day will go boom, when JPM suffers a loss so large that not even the Fed bails them out any more (Jon Corzine anyone?).
Shockingly, the lies do not stop here:
A J.P. Morgan spokeswoman said the Special Investments Group is funded by J.P. Morgan's holding company and not by bank deposits insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. The activities "are funded with company-issued debt and equity," the spokeswoman said.Oh wait, so fungible electronic dollars have a tag on them saying they come from a deposit account or from debt issuance? That's odd - we were not aware of that. One learns something every day.
One also learns details about what could be an uber-prop desk not from a regulatory filing but from... LinkedIn?
The goal of the Special Investments Group, according to a LinkedIn post from an employee, Ian Rice, is to invest $1 billion a year "in a broad range of industries and geographies." Another employee of the group, Craig Fountain, said on his LinkedInpage that the group "seeks to take controlling stakes in companies J.P. Morgan has lent money to and are experiencing some degree of financial distress." Messrs. Rice and Fountain didn't return calls seeking comment.
As for what is in the filings we get yet another batch of lies:
J.P. Morgan regulatory filings say the CIO is among the units "responsible for measuring, monitoring, reporting and managing the firm's liquidity, interest rate and foreign exchange risk, and other structural risks." Last month, the bank's chief financial officer, Doug Braunstein, said on a call with reporters, "When we put a dollar to work we want to do so prudently and invest it in safe, smart and good-returning assets, and that is the job of CIO." Mr. Dimon said on the same call, "We are very conservative."
"Conservative" as in buying stakes in bankrupt satellite telephony providers? Got it.
Yet the irony that tops it all off:
What J.P. Morgan appears to be doing with its Special Investments Group—putting holding-company money behind a specific company—wouldn't be barred by the Volcker rule even if it is a risky bet, said Arthur Wilmarth, a law professor at George Washington University. He said the practice is known as "merchant banking.""Volcker crimps down on private-equity funds, but merchant banking is still out there," Mr. Wilmarth said. "Do I think that's a good idea? No. I don't think banks are good at it."
In other words, there is nothing that can be done?
Wrong - here is the solution so simple, that we can see how every brilliant regulator, politician and banker has not come up with it:
CAP BANK POSITION PROFITS, EITHER FLOW OR PROP, AT 5%.
Bailed out banks want to put capital at risk? Fine - treat them like utilities. Which means a cap on any upside: no semantics, no prop vs flow distinction, just cap all positions: which will make the Upside/Downside calculation so much simpler for all bank portfolio managers.
Oh, and when they blow up next time, no bail outs. Ever again.
and.....
I was on Max Keiser’s show yesterday talking about JP Morgan’s triple-digit billion mortgage repurchase litigation problem that they refuse to accurately reflect on their financial statements. A problem that is now compounded by the fact their regulator, the SEC, has told them they want to sue Jamie Dimon’s bank for securities violations or bring an enforcement action against them, which could validate some of the RMBS fraud claims in the eyes of New York judges overseeing the $120 billion in litigation. What I didn’t realize was how much of a blatant accounting cover up this mortgage repurchase issue is –one that some analysts think could led to a massive accounting fraud suit against JP Morgan and their auditor PricewatershouseCoopers.
In a May 18th newsletter by Robert Christensen a senior advisor to Chicago-based financial forensics Natoma Partners he writes, “What I have found is that the reserves required for repurchase of loans that did not meet the reps & warranties have been consistently and massively underestimated.”
Christensen, a former head of audit for financial service companies at Authur Andersen, boldly points out, “These provisions have actually increased from the previous two quarters (for the major banks $C, $WFC, $BAC, $JPM he covers) for all the banks except for JP Morgan Chase.”
I had the chance to interview Christenson yesterday who helped me understand it’s not just the fact that the bank’s mortgage putback reserves are low (and thus they don’t have to set aside more capital) it’s the fact that accounting procedure called for the banks to actually set up putback reserves during the mortgage go-go years of 2005-2008. NOT after their customers got lawyers involved demanding they honor the security warranties and buy back these totally toxic garbage never-paid-their-mortgage loans. So while we are seeing banks lobe on billions of putback reserves this is really a game of catch up that the auditors watchdog (PCAOB) and the SEC could currently be investigating the banks and their auditors for not accounting for the problem right in the first place. You can see a hint of this in a correspondence letter filed by the SEC between them, BofA and their auditor asking questions about mortgage repurchase accounting and if their methods are in error. The banks response to the SEC is unfortunately redacted so we can’t see it but I have to question why they’d redact it if it was a bad news answer. If the SEC is asking BofA these questions I’d be interested in seeing if JP Morgan got similar questions.
JP Morgan’s auditor PwC does this whole other ‘creative accounting’ move to make it difficult for the SEC or their investors see what kind of real private label mortgage repurchase liability they think they have. They simply moved the whole category into litigation reserves. A lovely little accounting bucket Francine McKenna of retheauditors.com told us last week doesn’t have to be broken out. Now what’s interesting is Christensen told me of the four banks he covers JP Morgan is the only one who does this! Yep somehow PwC, who also audits Bank of America, has allowed JPM to sweep their massive private label rmbs putback risk under the table so main street investors can’t even see how many billions the bank thinks it will have to pay rmbs investors they allegedly stole billions from. It’s interesting to note that BofA has it’s own set of billion dollar RMBS fraud and putback lawsuits but PwC doesn’t follow the same kind of ‘creative accounting’ with their repurchase liability risk?
The only putback detail we get to see from JP Morgan, starting on page 38 of their Q1 10-Q, is all the GSE putbacks they had to pay back. They do mention the average loss severity on the resi mortgage loans in the securities is a whopping 58% but then that’s a self-determined number. And given the way their $2bn erroneous derivative trading loss keeps growing (reports now say it could be a $6bn trading loss) I don’t see how we can trust a lot of JP Morgan’s estimates these days.
McKenna who’s been warning about the banks underestimated putback reserves since 2007 told me, “We are seeing PCAOB citing auditors for not pushing back on banks on mortgage loan loss reserves and litigation contingencies. But their inspection reports are not timely and do not name the bank they are finding auditing faults with. So it’s worthless to outsiders or general investors.”
Now for JP Morgan to stop using this creative accounting to mask their mega billion rmbs putback problem the PCOB and the SEC would have to lay down an iron hand and publish some kind of public infraction or fine against PwC and JP Morgan. And if that happened well…I’d expect a bucket of class action stockholder lawsuits to pop up against JP Morgan and PwC. You know kind of like those Enron or the Telecom suits that labeled the auditors accomplices in financial crimes.
The three directors who oversee risk at JPMorgan Chase include a museum head who sat on American International Group Inc.’s governance committee in 2008, the grandson of a billionaire and the chief executive officer of a company that makes flight controls and work boots. What the risk committee of the biggest U.S. lender lacks, and what the five next largest competitors have, are directors who worked at a bank or as financial risk managers. The only member with any Wall Street experience, James Crown, hasn’t been employed in the industry for more than 25 years…The committee, which met seven times last year and hasn’t changed its composition since 2008, approves the bank’s risk- appetite policy and oversees the chief risk officer, according to the company’s April 4 proxy statement. [Bloomberg]

No comments:
Post a Comment