France.......
Le Pen an "outie" , but trying to be coy , so as not to scare off voters...
How will Marine Le Pen tweak her media strategy? http://aje.io/cd79 by @AJListeningPost
Can Macron address economic woes of France ?
French voters sceptical Macron, Le Pen have answers on unemployment, security - https://dailyworld.in/french-voters-sceptical-macron-le-pen-have-answers-on-unemployment-security/ …
French business relishes the prospect of President Macron
Mélenchon voters make slight shift toward Le Pen ( from 11% to 19% ) , but most voting will go for Macron ( 40%.)
41% of @JLMelenchon voters will abstain in wake of #SansMoiLe7Mai movement, while only 40% will vote for @EmmanuelMacron.
France: All you need to know about Le Pen and Macron http://aje.io/96ls
Why Macron's bid to haul #France out of its malaise will be harder than he thinks as France hasn't fiscal leeway. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2017/04/30/emmanuel-macrons-bid-haul-france-economic-malaise-will-harder/?WT.mc_id=tmg_share_tw …
Mélenchon joue avec le feu! En 4 jours, le taux d'abstention des électeurs Insoumis passe de 23 à 45% pour le second tour
Translated from French by Bing
Mélenchon plays with fire! In 4 days, the rate of abstention of voters rebel goes from 23 to 45% for the second round
Macron more dangerous than Le Pen ? So says Guaino Henri .....
One week to go .....
Polish workers unfazed by French campaign fury over outsourcing http://dlvr.it/P1j7Qr
Champs Elysees attacker's father 'threatens' French police http://dlvr.it/P1k0LZ
The French election is Facebook’s fake-news litmus test
State of emergency: Marine Le Pen supports the banning of all protests. FYI, #SansMoiLe7Mai Mélenchon supporters https://www.publicsenat.fr/lcp/politique/etat-durgence-marine-pen-linterdiction-des-manifestations-1356378 …
Emmanuel Macron hunts for votes in rural France where his far-right opponent Marine Le Pen is making inroads http://abcn.ws/2oIZuMc
France: Presidential election (run-off), Odoxa poll:
Macron (EM-*): 59% (-4)
Le Pen (FN-ENF): 41% (+4)
Italy....
Renzi had about 72% of the vote , Justice Minister Andrea Orlando had 19% & Michele Emiliano- governor of Puglia region, had about 9%.
Renzi expected to beat his two rivals, Justice Minister Andrea Orlando and Michele Emiliano, Governor of the southern region of Puglia.
Primarie PD, è il giorno del voto per eleggere il nuovo Segretario, l'incertezza su affluenza http://ow.ly/STKD50bbkBj
Translated from Italian by Bing
Primary PD, is the day of the vote to elect a new Secretary, the uncertainty about turnout http://ow.ly/STKD50bbkBj
Democratic primaries today in Italy.Real question is not winner (former PM Renzi) but turnout.Was 3mln in 2013,1 mln expected today
Today @pdnetwork chooses by open primaries its new national leader #Italy
Additional Polling Data Of Note....
UK, ORB poll:
CON-ECR: 45% ↑
LAB-S&D: 30% ↓
LDEM-ALDE: 10% ↑
UKIP-EFDD: 8% ↓
#GE2017
UK, Opinium poll:
CON-ECR: 47% ↑
LAB-S&D: 30% ↑
LDEM-ALDE: 8% ↓
UKIP-EFDD: 7% ↓
#GE2017
UK, YouGov poll:
CON-ECR: 44% ↓
LAB-S&D: 31% ↑
LDEM-ALDE: 11% ↑
UKIP-EFDD: 6% ↓
Greens-G/EFA: 2% ↓
Germany, Civey poll:
CDU/CSU-EPP: 36%
SPD-S&D: 29% ↓
AfD-ENF: 9%
LINKE-LEFT: 9%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 7%
FDP-ALDE: 6%
#btw17
Germany, Emnid poll:
CDU/CDU-EPP: 36%
SPD-S&D: 29% ↓
AfD-ENF: 9%
LINKE-LEFT: 9%
GRÜNE-GREEN: 7% ↑
FDP-ALDE: 6% ↑
#btw17
A new poll suggests Martin Schulz’s SPD party is losing traction 2 weeks before elections in Germany http://politi.co/2oLJCIM
Greece.....
Varoufakis new book: Tsipras was overwhelmed, Macron offered deal, Schaeuble blocked any…
Large fire on Zakynthos abates http://dlvr.it/P1l5nc
Athens upbeat that deal will be wrapped up soon http://dlvr.it/P1TCxy
Cartoon http://dlvr.it/P1TCjl
#Greece Gen Sec of Fiscal Policy @FKoutentakis tells @skaigr a large part of 2016 fiscal over-performance is recurring (via @capitalgr).
Minister pushing for backdoor hirings in public sector http://dlvr.it/P1R2p2
UK- EU Talks....
PM May on the campaign trail in Scotland !
Next steps in the EU side's Brexit negotiations. Agenda for the EU27 delegates to the EU meeting on Wednesday 3rd. Some thoughts. 1/x pic.twitter.com/VFnptjxxFU
.@theresa_may expects divorce talks to be tough; EU alarmed at Brexit 'illusions': http://reut.rs/2oMnzBM
EU Commission sources think more than 50% chance of failure to reach #Brexit deal - following May-Juncker meeting
Brexit: UK may have to recognise ECJ court rulings to keep security cooperation https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/apr/30/brexit-uk-may-have-to-recognise-ecj-court-rulings-to-keep-security-cooperation … via @guardian #EU #EUpol
Japan's Abe warns of 'confusion' without UK/EU Brexit deal http://f24.my/19qG.t
EU 27 leaders agree Brexit negotiation guidelines in rapid time
The adopted #Brexit guidelines by the EU 27 at today's summit http://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2017/04/29-euco-brexit-guidelines/ … #EUCO pic.twitter.com/GGh3d8oPpu
US Politics....
Congressional negotiators alleged to have reached a deal to fund the Gov't through September.
More reports being floated of deal to fund Gov't through September - this tweet from Washington Post.
Trump: I won't touch "the concept of Medicare" http://hill.cm/78gmcjt
Let's wait and see what actually in the House Bill.....
Trump blasts "dead" ObamaCare: New healthcare plan "on its way" http://hill.cm/fR54w3R
NEW: Dem lawmakers, not trusting Trump to make key ObamaCare payments, seek a permanent fix http://hill.cm/3IyP6Zx
Trump: Dems have become the "party of obstruction" http://hill.cm/QZdNRAB
Dem lawmakers blast Trump's climate change policies during Climate March http://hill.cm/uaGJ8EJ
NSA McMaster on THAAD system / S. Korea: "What I told our South Korean counterpart is, until any re-negotiation, that the deal is in place."
South Korea says McMaster has reaffirmed that U.S. will pay THAAD costs: http://reut.rs/2pjvnJM
Trump national security adviser to South Korea: US will pay for missile defense system http://hill.cm/rYMKGtm
Trump invites Philippines president Duterte to White House http://hill.cm/ugnVU0r
Will political normality return in 2017?
Face the Nation's @johndickerson is aboard Air Force One with Trump tonight. Part of interview to air 10:30ET Sunday, part 7-9a Monday.
Trump: Trade concessions w China may prevent "massive warfare with millions, potentially millions of people being killed." @FaceTheNation
Trump on why N Korea's missile tests keep fizzling: "Perhaps they're just not very good missiles. But eventually, he'll have good missiles."
TRUMP: If he does a nuclear test, I will not be happy.
DICKERSON: Not happy mean military action?
TRUMP: I don't know. I mean, we'll see.
DICKERSON: They're going to want, in Congress, to make up on the spending side, to change Medicare.
TRUMP: I'm not going to touch it.
DICKERSON: Mr. President say there's a guarantee of pre-existing conditions (in new bill).
TRUMP: We actually have a clause that guarantees.
"I didn't say, Don't test a missile. He's going to have to do what he has to do," Trump on Kim Jong Un, in partial @FaceTheNation transcript
Despite complications, Republicans are quick to point out their wins in the first 100 days of the Trump era http://ow.ly/UmCA30bgdMX
Although voters are divided about Trump, they remain optimistic about the economic conditions of the country http://ow.ly/8JYW30bhdzX
Expect drama as Congress gives itself a week to avert government shutdown
Has Trump been delivering the results Americans have been looking for? http://ow.ly/KT4v30bhbIe
Odds & Ends.....
Chinese PMI Data ( Official ) ....
Both China Apr PMI 51.2 and non-mfg PMI 54.0 are worse than expected. The internals are even worse. Employment fell to 49.2 ...
China Manufacturing PMI (April): 51.2 (expected 51.7)
China Services PMI (April): 54.0 (prior was 55.1)
North Korea......
Trump national security adviser: Trump will resolve North Korea issue "one way or another" http://hill.cm/WcvC21E
French ship in Japan for naval drill as N.Korea tensions rise http://dlvr.it/P1jYQk
Japan's Abe says latest N.Korea missile launch was a flagrant violation of UN decisions
Libya.....
New head of eastern government’s foreign media authority appointed in fresh shakeup - https://www.libyaherald.com/2017/04/30/new-head-of-eastern-governments-foreign-media-authority-appointed-in-fresh-shakeup/ …
A disturbing anecdotal explaining how some ISIS fighters may have "melted away" from Sirte & Benghazi to Misrata and then to Turkey.
Yet more change at Beida interior ministry - https://www.libyaherald.com/2017/04/30/yet-more-change-at-beida-interior-ministry/ …
#Libya oil production rebounds as Sharara (largest oil field) and El Feel (dependent on Sharara for power) restart
Siala in London for UK Foreign Office talks - https://www.libyaherald.com/2017/04/29/siala-in-london-for-uk-foreign-office-talks/ …
LNA airstrikes again hit Tamenhint and Jufra - https://www.libyaherald.com/2017/04/29/lna-airstrikes-again-hit-tamenhint-and-jufra/ …
Credit-starved Naseem Dairies could close with a week says owner - https://www.libyaherald.com/2017/04/29/credit-starved-naseem-dairies-could-close-with-a-week-says-owner/ …
NATO looks to rebuild Libyan defence ministry and intelligence services - https://www.libyaherald.com/2017/04/29/nato-looks-to-rebuild-libyan-defence-ministry-and-intelligence-services/ …
Beida-based Audit Bureau suspends LPTIC bank accounts - https://www.libyaherald.com/2017/04/29/beida-based-audit-bureau-suspends-lptic-bank-accounts/ …
Syria & Iraq.....
New: In biggest single admission of casualties yet, Coalition lifts estimate of civilians killed in Iraq/Syria to 352 (up 50% on last month)
2) Coalition reports 45 new civilian deaths from 9 incidents in Iraq & Syria between Nov 2016 and March 2017 - though not Al Jadida event
Looks like reports of Jaish al-Islam wiping out HTS in E Ghouta have turned out to have a basis in fact.....
Iran considering deploying ground forces to counter US intervention in Syria: reports http://ow.ly/gUYO30biAYD
Turkey may hit YPG in Syria overnight all of sudden, Erdoğan says http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkey-may-come-there-overnight-all-of-sudden-erdogan-says-again.aspx?pageID=238&nID=112570&NewsCatID=338 …
US-led anti-ISIL coalition patrolling Turkey-Syria border, US Central Command says http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/us-led-anti-isil-coalition-patrolling-turkey-syria-border-us-central-command-says------.aspx?pageID=238&nID=112565&NewsCatID=358 …
In Syria-airstrikes near Dayr Az Zawr , near Raqqah & near Tabqah. In Iraq - airstrikes near Al Qaim , Habbaniyah , Mosul , Rajah & Tal Afar
Iraqi commander vows to complete capture of Mosul in May
A few minutes ago, ISIL executed 6 people while trying to flee from Rifa'i district. 5 children were taken by ISIL.
#Mosul
US servicemember killed outside Mosul today, @CENTCOM announces.
Exclusive: #Map shows progress of #Iraqi forces in #Mosul Battle http://s.thebaghdadpost.com/en/9907
Additional Items Of Note....
Saeed Karimian of GEM TV & along with a Kuwaiti business partner shot dead by unidentified assailants in Istanbul.
Germany's Merkel begins Gulf trip with stop in Saudi Arabia http://bit.ly/2oLTCl2
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