Tuesday, October 25, 2016

Economic News , Data & Views ..... October 25 , 2016 ...... Quick Hits For Tuesday - 1) Markets & Market Moving News : US Stock Markets Moderately Fall - Apple Disappoints After The Bell ; FX News Wrap - Americas ; Crude News - Production News , Production Freeze Items De Jour , Private Inventory Data ; Bond Market News For Tuesday. 2) Around The Horn - News For Europe : Theresa May's Leaked Recording , Brexit Real Views Disclosed ; Brussels Demand Spain Provide 5BN More In Budget Cuts ; Hollande Approval In The Toilet ; EU In Shambles - Wallonia Blocking CETA , Italy Blocking Sanctions On Russia , Spain Refueling Russia Ships ; DB Slipping Back In Focus ; Xcite Goes Down After Bondholders Nixes Talks ; Saipem Shedds Jobs ; Draghi Comments De Jour ; Refugee Items - Italy & France ; Italy Items Including Recent Polling On Constitution Reforms ; MBS Settlement To Be Delayed Well Past US Elections ; Juppe Increases Lead Over Sarkozy ; Additional Items Of Note.





Markets.....






*APPLE 4Q EPS $1.67, GAAP EST. $1.66; REV. MISSES EST.








down 2.2% after hours








DOW JONES UNOFFICIALLY CLOSES DOWN 52.77 POINTS, OR 0.29 PERCENT, AT 18,170.26








S&P 500 UNOFFICIALLY CLOSES DOWN 8.24 POINTS, OR 0.38 PERCENT, AT 2,143.09








NASDAQ UNOFFICIALLY CLOSES DOWN 25.92 POINTS, OR 0.49 PERCENT, AT 5,283.90









Everything things coming up roses......







ForexLive Americas FX news wrap: Cable crumbles, then rebounds







drops to 1week low as Russia once again ruled out participating in production cut although will consider freeze








Oil prices drop a little more - private inventory data shows bigger than expected build






CRUDE +4.8mb GAS +1.7mb DISTILLATES -0.94mb CUSHING -2.3mb










| Shell says has NOT yet resumed crude exports from Forcados terminal; after govt statement indicated they had begun. BBG.









Iraq seeks exemption in November.Who in OPEC will agree to gore its own ox first for this alleged production freeze?








| PM Abadi tuesday: Iraq ready to cooperate with "ON CORRECT BASIS." reuters.








OPEC Said to Invite Brazil, Mexico, Norway to Talks This Week.










keeps adding production, with Lukoil launching the Pyakyakhinskoye in Siberia with 30,000 b/d output in 2017









CAN ACCEPT OPEC OIL FREEZE BASED ON `ACTUAL' OUTPUT: JIHAD - BBG *IRAQ OUTPUT-FREEZE SHOULD BE BASED ON >4.7M B/D OF OIL: JIHAD










China's strong oil demand was fuelled by loans paid with 3 times more oil due to lower price









US sells 2-year notes at 0.855% vs +0.860% WI








US $26bln 2yr Note Auction: -Cover: 2.53 (prev. 2.65) -Yield: 0.855% (prev. 0.750%), WI: 0.856%











US $26bln 2yr Note Auction: -Direct: 10.1% (prev. 19%) -Indirect: 33.7% (prev. 36.7%)











Scotia: There is widening gap between German 10yr yields & what macro fundamentals are suggesting. Yields should be more around 0.5% than 0%









Around The Horn In Europe...








Guardian Exclusive: Leaked recording reveals what really thinks about in 'Private' talks with










LEAKED: UK PM May speech at Goldman Sachs shows she wanted the UK to lead in Europe, feared businesses would leave














ECONOMY: Brussels demands €5.5 billion in additional budget cuts from Spain in new letter to Guindos.











Hollande at 4% approval - how can he pretend he's going to run in 2017 ? Politically speaking , he's almost a JGB?















First Italy blocked sanctions against Russia,at recent EUCO Summit. Now Spain in refueling Russian ship controversy.











Not only refuses to say Yes to . Also the regional govt of , the seat of the EU, blocks it:










A new sign that Deutsche Bank is strapped for cash









Xcite bondholders clearly "not excited."














Takeaway: Italy wants to be key broker in Brexit talks. Preserving cohesion of EU-27 a priority for Rome, but no intention to 'punish' UK.












DRAGHI SAYS THE EURO REMAINS VULNERABLE IF THE MONETARY UNION IS NOT COMPLETED, BANKING UNION IS NOT ACHIEVED











Oil and gas industrial contractor Saipem shedding jobs ( 800 ) and 9 month loss at 1.9bn.











Excellent article and timely warning pertaining to DB-extrapolate credit exposures while DB horse still in the barn.











Migrant concerns in Tuscany raised , other Regions of Italy not taking a fair share ?










Renzi vs EU tempest ( this time on Budget ) about to flare up again.












Demolition of Calais Camp underway..











9 hours agofred walton Retweeted Christophe Barraud
NOTE , "No" continues to lead "Yes" , regarding the Constitution Reforms Referendum.











MBS settlements may not be concluded until perhaps 2017 - uncertainty will continue for DB , CS , RBS & Barclays.











NOTE , "No" continues to lead "Yes" , regarding the Constitution Reforms Referendum.










Juppe lead over Sarkozy now at 11 points......











Deutsche Bank Said To Consider Full Integration Of Postbank Unit Instead Of Sale - RTRS Sources












Pretty much what happens with penny stocks. Roller coaster rides from day to day. Zombie dances are interesting to observe.










has few stimulus options left to combat any fresh shock, Bloomberg Intelligence says. Helicopter money last option, but very unlikely.












Populism-belief in power of regular people & in their right to have control over their Gov't rather than political insiders or wealthy elite













More good news: German Ifo Business Confidence Increases to Highest Since 2014, outpacing expectations. (Chart via FT)