North Korea....
H-Bomb Nuclear Test....
All options on the table as per POTUS this evening....
Readout of today's call between @POTUS and #ShinzoAbe.
#US and allies call for emergency UNSC meeting tomorrow in response to #NorthKorea's latest nuclear test.
South Korean military hold live firing exercise on Eastern coast
SOUTH KOREA MILITARY HELD BALLISTIC MISSILE DRILL TARGETING N. KOREA NUCLEAR TEST SITE MONDAY IN RESPONSE TO NORTH KOREA NUKE TEST: YONHAP
China monitoring radiation Sunday....
*pats back*
#PRC environmental agency activated "contingency plan" for #NorthKorea explosion, went to lvl 2 emergency.
PUTIN STILL DOESN'T PLAN TO DIRECTLY CONTACT NORTH KOREAN LEADER TO DISCUSS CURRENT SITUATION - KREMLIN: IFX
PUTIN CALLS FOR EXCLUSIVELY POLITICAL AND DIPLOMATIC SETTLEMENT OF NORTH KOREAN NUCLEAR PROBLEM IN PHONE CONVERSATION WITH ABE - PESKOV
Yep. KCNA is propaganda that contains an uncomfortably high number of technical claims that eventually check out.
Quick pts on DPRK test:
1.They do what they say
2.We knew it was coming and would be big
3.Political effects bigger
4.Tests will continue
Another phone call from POTUS to Japan PM away to start. Both spoke earlier today according to BBC News World.
US & SK agree to take military measures against NK " as early as possible".
Locals on the Chinese side of the North Korean border respond to #NuclearTest by taking selfies with inflatable dinosaur #NorthKorea #China
My thoughts on the situation the world faces within the last 12hours #NorthKorea
.@narangviping on huge North Korean nuclear device: “You don't want this thing anywhere near a city near you.” https://buff.ly/2ev7vNc
North Korea’s latest nuclear device “capable of destroying substantial parts of large modern cities” -- @TheGoodISIS https://buff.ly/2vVB7cE
North Korean TV broadcast these photos of Kim Jong Un meeting with his top aides, signing the order for Sunday's nuclear test
Russia warns of 'serious consequences' to North Korea over nuclear test.
BBC: Japan's NHK says PM Shinzo Abe and President Donald Trump have spoken on the phone for about 20 minutes
.@ctbto_alerts issues a press release on #NorthKorea's sixth nuclear test today.
The nuclear device that North Korea tested today was almost eight times the size of the American atomic bomb that destroyed Hiroshima
Don't do this. Seriously.
(URGENT) North Korean artificial quake 9.8 times more powerful than fifth nuclear test: Seoul weather agency http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/news/2017/09/03/0200000000AEN20170903002451315.html …
For deterrence purposes, DPRK just crossed a huge milestone: staged or not, true TN or boosted, these are city-buster yields for ICBM
Reuters: N.KOREA SAYS LEADER KIM ORDERED TEST OF HYDROGEN BOMB INTENDED FOR MOUNTING ON ICBM - N.KOREA TV
North Korea has claimed to detonate a Hydrogen bomb......
H-Bomb Displayed Hours Before Test...
Bottom line: DPRK should be able to conduct a (probably successful) test of staged thermonuclear design.
And they probably will next week.
Sidenote:
If we assume plugins include for external neutron initiator, fission primary being > diameter than 2dry is worryingly accurate?
North Korea has developed a hydrogen bomb which can be mounted on a new intercontinental ballistic missile-as per Pyongyang's state media.
US Politics....
Debt ceiling....
Mnuchin's gambit to link the the importance of raising the debt ceiling to the hurricane aid in an effort to coax GOPers to vote yea.
Congress will struggle to find votes to raise the debt limit this month. Mnuchin is using tying hurricane $ to debt likit hike as a wedge
Mnuchin on Fox: If Congress appropriates.$ but I don’t have..ability to borrow..we are not going to be able to get that $ to the state
Harvey....
BP’s U.S. Headquarters In Houston To Be Closed Indefinitely on Flooding
Today, power was being cut off to homes with water in them in a W. Houston mandatory evacuation zone http://bit.ly/2x2I4xL #Harvey
'I survived': How 1 woman lived Harvey on social media
http://on.khou.com/2euiVAO
Man uses tractor to rescue more than 200 people from floodwaters
http://on.khou.com/2iTbVlV
North Korea...
Interesting short thread from Ankit Panda along with Vipin Narang on Mattis comments being subtle version of Trump's "Fire & Fury" remarks.
The Mattis statement was brief, somber and authoritative - especially with Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Gen Joe Dunford at his side.
Secretary Mattis just said something I have never heard before: "We are not seeking the total annihilation of a country, but we have 1/2
2/2 .......many options to do so."
At WH, DefSec Mattis serves notice on North Korea that any threat to US and allies will be met with "a massive military response."
Mattis said the US response to North Korean threat would be both "effective and overwhelming."
Hmm. Nat Sec Adviser HR McMaster and other senior Trump aides are fond of pointing out that 90% of North Korea trade goes through... China.
I will be meeting General Kelly, General Mattis and other military leaders at the White House to discuss North Korea. Thank you.
The United States is considering, in addition to other options, stopping all trade with any country doing business with North Korea.
Trump leaving church, asked whether he would attack North Korea: "We'll see."
U.S. SECRETARY OF STATE TILLERSON MAKING CALLS TO COUNTERPARTS IN REGION FOLLOWING NORTH KOREA NEWS: STATE DEPT SPOX
Second call between POTUS and Japan PM Abe today. Military action being discussed ?
POTUS Trump and his national security team will have a meeting today about North Korea
Also, US to prepare new draft sanctions on N.Korea
JUST IN: Trump lashes out at South Korea: I told them North Korea appeasement wouldn't work http://hill.cm/hOUjJod
Trump to withdraw US from trade deal with South Korea: report http://hill.cm/GAc2aXH
Chinese president after latest North Korean nuclear test: "A dark shadow" hangs over the world http://hill.cm/M7SPjCB
JUST IN: Trump attacks China after latest North Korean nuclear test http://hill.cm/V2Z3DoW
I'm in for @johndickerson this morning. @POTUS faces the 1st North Korean nuclear test on his watch. That's ahead on @FaceTheNation
I will be on @FaceTheNation this morning with @SangerNYT to talk North Korea. Most significant national security issue we face.
Europe....
UK
Wonder where The Times got their info for their report PM May secretly agreed to pay 50 BN pound Brexit Bill ?
The Times reporting Theresa May has secretly agreed to a 50 BN pound Brexit Bill - well , not a secret anymore.
Leavers dismiss Swiss/EU model because requires free movement. But Swiss require work contract, health/accident insurance, financial means.
Bilateral agreements since 1999 has given Switzerland de facto membership with nearly all its privileges/obligations. But not fin. services
It was part of exchange re single market membership v FTA. It did not refer to totality of uk aims in the talks.
Monday morning QBs...
Labour says Brexit stance not a "U-Turn" , therefore it's probably a u-turn...
Boris Johnson condemns NK Nuke Test...
David Davis rebuts Michael Barnier on Brexit Bill...
Germany....
Merkel posts a convincing #TVDuell victory, according to a debate survey http://www.politico.eu/article/angela-merkel-martin-schulz-german-election-tv-debate-live-blog/ …
33% think that Merkel was better in the first half of the TV debate, 24% preferred Schulz - first poll shows. #TVDuell
32% think that Merkel won the TV debate, 29% say Schulz was better. #TVDuell
51% thought Martin Schulz was better than expected in Germany's first and only TV debate between the two top candidates. #TVDuell
Final statement of Martin Schulz was much, much stronger than that of Angela Merkel. #TVDuell
More than two thirds of the TV debate before German elections are over -and it seems that the two top candidates agree on almost everything.
60 out of 90 minutes of the Merkel-Schulz TV debate before German elections were about refugees, Islam, immigration. Two thirds. #TVDuell
In his final statement Schulz commits to taking on Erdogan and Trump.
Merkel concludes: "I want to work with and for you... thank you and I wish you a good evening." [almost word-for-word her 2013 sign-off]
Verdict: Schulz & Merkel did about as well. But it was dull and bloodless. The big questions about Germany's future went unscrutinised.
Who won Germany's TV debate? Mainly the FDP, Left, Greens and AfD.
#Merkel & #Schulz go head to head tonight on live TV - most Germans are betting on their chancellor to win http://p.dw.com/p/2jGFf #TVDuell
Hello from Berlin where Chancellor Merkel & SPD Challenger Schulz to face off in TV debate, his last chance to land punch 3wks bef elections
Last-chance saloon for Merkel rival Schulz at TV showdown http://dlvr.it/PkSTWz
Turkish foreign minister defiant over arrested Germans http://dlvr.it/PkSTWw
'Blockbuster' WWII bomb to force evacuation of 60,000 in Frankfurt http://dlvr.it/PkSGlp
France......
Macron urges 'very firm' response to North Korea nuclear test http://dlvr.it/PkTtkF
New forest fire rages in southeastern France http://dlvr.it/PkTFRd
French police clash with migrants in Calais http://dlvr.it/PkTDzQ
French MP in Macron's party charged over violent clash http://dlvr.it/PkT1XV
15 injured as lightning strikes French music festival http://dlvr.it/PkT18m
Spain.....
Catalan government spokesman Jordi Turull insists on Sunday TV debate show that a new independence referendum will be held on October 1.
Catalan leader says won't accept suspension over independence vote http://f24.my/1iKA.t
Trump to host Spanish PM Rajoy at White House http://dlvr.it/PkKnjF
Emergency services tell residents of three towns in Madrid—Humanes, Moraleja and Griñón—to stay indoors after a fire produces a toxic cloud.
La Vanguardia reports separatist parties and government in Catalonia to attempt to pass new referendum law on Wednesday.
Rajoy: "We are going to preserve the unity of Spain, no one should have any doubt about that".
Odds & Ends....
Irma......
Last 9 ECMWF forecasts for Hurricane #Irma
It's spread like ensemble spaghetti exemplifying run-to-run uncertainty.
Here are your latest ensemble runs from both GFS and EURO for #Irma
Update 18 for Irma , still too far out to form judgments. But this bears watching....
Last 36 GFS ensemble runs exhibiting a significant shift southwest in #Irma's track, taking the major hurricane closer to Greater Antilles
Latest 11 a.m. AST advisory on #Irma shows a strong and dangerous Cat. 3 hurricane with sustained winds of 115 mph. http://ow.ly/rgtW30eSscS
Interests in the Leeward Island should be monitoring the progress of #Irma. Here are the latest key messages. http://hurricanes.gov
Are you concerned about Hurricane Irma? Here is a good graphic of things you can be doing now to make sure you are prepared. #flwx
There is a real possibility that a large, major hurricane either makes landfall or comes very close to the U.S. in about a week #Irma
Syria.....
8km away Brigade Base and western pocket,~20 away Airbase pocket
No changes.#DeirEzzor siege has not been broken yet. SAA units did not enter city or 137th Brigade base.
celebration premature.....
Subject to confirmation - siege may have been broken , SAA may have already reached 137 Mechanized Brigade at Deir Ezzor.
4th Division units sent from Damascus days ago towards Sukhnah is among the few that have entered DeirEzzor
SAA will now launch operations to liberate Sholah and Kabajeb to secure the line and fully remove the siege on DeirEzzor
SAA Tiger Forces have reached the 137th Brigade
ISIS defenses collapsing , SAA rapidly moving toward Deir Ezzor....
Syrian Arab Army captured Kabbajb and Shula - 12 km from Deir ez-Zor
Map: http://SyrianCivilWarMap.com
SAA capture Rasm al-Ahmar & Rasm al-Day'ah north-west of Uqayrbat. Liwa al-Quds field commander says Uqayrbat town is liberated
SAA and allies advanced east of Jabal Nirmān and captured Bīr Qusayba, Tarr al-Tarfawi & Qasr al-Tarfawi. Less than 18km until DeirEzzor
#DeirEzzor | #SAA captured Bir Qusaybah and Tar Al-Turayfawi - 17 km to Deir ez-Zor
BREAKING: #Syria's Tigers continue to advance on #DeirEzZor, 18 km to lift siege.
Syrian Army entered #DeirEzzor province from north and advances ~6km past Harbishah from south.#Syria
HD:http://imgur.com/1oxIcU6
Libya....
#Kuwait's Ambassador to #Libya says will re-open embassy in #Tripoli soon
http://alwasat.ly/ar/news/libya/151605/ …
#Libya Interim Gov't Health Minister Dr. El-Oakley appoints new chairman for #Benghazi's Cardiac Surgery Center
http://alwasat.ly/ar/news/libya/151615/ …
Three Azeri crewmen freed after 18 months in IS and then Bunyan Marsous detention - https://www.libyaherald.com/2017/09/02/three-azeri-crewmen-freed-after-18-months-in-is-and-then-bunyan-marsous-detention/ …
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