France.....
Exit Polls & Results....
Macron To Get 24% of Votes In Parliamentary Election - KANTAR
- Republicans 22%
- National Front 21%
French election - Macron's gap is even bigger
65.1%.....Macron wins convincingly.....
Emmanuel Macron has been elected French president with 65-66% of the vote, first projections suggest.
First @IfopOpinion estimates for final round of #Presidentielle2017
: Macron 65.5%, Le Pen 34.5%
: Macron 65.5%, Le Pen 34.5%
Macron has given his victory speech. He pledged to "defend France and Europe". Perhaps willing to display gravitas, he didn't smile once.
Le Pen concedes defeat, congratulates Macron for his victory in the French presidential election
Mélenchon is giving a speech. He is calling his voters to mobilize. He is already working for the legislative elections #Presidentielle2017
France, Ifop early exit poll:
Macron (EM-*): 66%
Le Pen (FN-ENF): 34%
#AVote #Elections2017
#Elections2017
France, Ipsos early exit poll:
Macron (EM-*): 63%
Le Pen (FN-ENF): 37%
#AVote #Elections2017
#Elections2017Mid-Day Update....
Voter turnout in France's presidential runoff reaches 65.3 percent, 6 percent less than the last presidential vote http://sabahdai.ly/a90WT1 pic.twitter.com/FePhwZnNMw
Final participation could fall as low as 1969 Election - electorate clearly not enthused by choices presented and voting dilemma.
Voter turnout at 5pm in French election is the lowest since 1981... #Macron won't like the sound of that...#ElectionPresidentielle2017
Le Soir reporting Macron is expected to win by over 60% based on "voting day" surveys acc to 3 different institutions #Presidentielle2017
French presidential election LIVE: France chooses between Le Pen and Macron http://dlvr.it/P4tlQ5
France's cybersecurity agency will investigate Macron hack http://hill.cm/PPop0xi
.@lesoir reporting that Macron is leading in French overseas territories #Presidentielle2017
But keep coming and voting! There is no queue at the moment in both location in #London. Do not wait till the last minute! Elections2017
All clear at the Louvre Museum area after security scare, police say evacuation was just a precaution. #Presidentielle2017
The Louvre museum in Paris, where Macron plans to hold celebrations tonight, has been evacuated over a security alert. More to follow.
French election: Voter turnout down from 2012 (but the same as first round) http://dlvr.it/P4sNYt
Voter turnout at noon is 28.23%, compared to 30.66% in 2012 and 34.11% in 2007. #Presidentielle2017
Excellent synthèse de @PedderSophie de la campagne
UK News....
Journos still sulking about Brexit
Quote of the Day is from @chrismullinexmp on @johnmcdonnellMP https://order-order.com/quote/mullin-marxist-mcdonnell/ …
Martin Selmayr, the Eurocrat who leaked details of Juncker’s Downing Street dinner, played right into May’s hands:
Check out our scholars' work on the #Brexit bill, by @ZsoltDarvas @efstathk & @inesgraposo: http://bru.gl/2qIMEL8
EU Infighting: Merkel and Tusk Attack Juncker for Sabotaging Brexit Negotiations; Choice Quotes – MishTalk
The stakes are high in this election - and I need your support to strengthen my hand in the Brexit negotiations: https://www.facebook.com/notes/theresa-may/the-stakes-are-high-and-i-need-your-support-to-strengthen-my-hand-in-the-brexit-/1719831784700254/ …
EU ignored advice to pursue legally impossible 100bn brexit tab against UK..
UK govt has found a way to operate airlines without flying rights. Impressive.
Germany....
Germany (Schleswig-Holstein): Preferred Prime Minister, FGW exit poll:
Albig (SPD-S&D): 43%
Günther: (CDU-EPP): 37%
#ltwsh
Germany (Schleswig-Holstein): GRÜNE (G/EFA) with best election result in history of the state: 13.5% (ARD exit poll). #ltwsh
Why is the #SchleswigHolstein vote so important ahead of #Germany's federal election? #BTW17 @MaraBierbach explains: http://dw.com/p/2cVW6
#Merkel popularity test: #SchleswigHolstein is voting in a regional election ahead of #Germany's federal vote #BTW17 http://p.dw.com/p/2cXkg
Merkel challengers fight to hang on in north Germany http://dlvr.it/P4pqG4
German local vote is test for Merkel's challenger Schulz. #SPD has dropped to 28% in latest polls for fed elections. http://abcn.ws/2qcFqSA
After the reported #MacronLeaks how safe is #Germany's #BTW17 federal election from hacking and cyberattacks? http://p.dw.com/p/2VeOO
US Politics.....
Senate Republicans Plan Health Bill That Keeps Some of Obamacare https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-05-07/senate-republicans-plan-health-bill-that-keeps-some-f-obamacare … via @bpolitics
One will have to see what Senate offers in its version of ACHA...
Ryan not worried about backlash in midterms to GOP healthcare bill: "We're keeping our word" http://hill.cm/9nce1s5
GOP senator: "The Senate is starting from scratch" on GOP healthcare plan http://hill.cm/ImhSa9B
Ryan on GOP healthcare plan: "This is a rescue mission" http://hill.cm/ClRW6dG
Priebus: Trump won’t "let you down" if you have pre-existing conditions http://hill.cm/uMS71MC
Trump health secretary: Medicaid cuts under GOP healthcare plan make "a lot of sense" http://hill.cm/7IQx5M5
Priebus: "It is up to the Senate" to make major improvements on GOP healthcare bill http://hill.cm/Uot7o5s
The House health-care disaster is really about taxes
Top Democrats say Americans will “die” from ObamaCare overhaul passed by GOP House
House Republicans passed their health care bill with a narrow 217-213 vote Thursday http://ow.ly/MCrc30bto4b
Republican Senators will not let the American people down! ObamaCare premiums and deductibles are way up - it was a lie and it is dead!
When will the Fake Media ask about the Dems dealings with Russia & why the DNC wouldn't allow the FBI to check their server or investigate?
Odds & Ends....
Venezuela....
#Venezuela march of “Musicians and Artists for Life” is a tribute to the fallen during the protests against the regime of Nicolas Maduro.
Amid Venezuela’s chaos, elites play a high-stakes game for survival http://nyti.ms/2pkahYm
#Venezuela #May7 780 detentions were carried out in the state #Carabobo yesterday and could be prosecuted by military justice @tibisayromero
Chavez statue smashed in #Venezuela oil state. General population is losing longtime fear of the regime. See link https://m.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10155401355300406&id=626235405&set=a.448573650405.240328.626235405¬if_t=like¬if_id=1494141281200158&ref=m_notif …
#Venezuela govt. blames peaceful protestors for looting done by the government-funded "milicia." Civilians to be tried in military courts.
Astonishing. #Venezuela unarmed women's march chanting "No to the repression!" causes soldiers to retreat into fort #heroism #WomensMarch
From a couple of days ago , but this could be the tipping point....if this is a trend that continues , rather than exception to the rule.
Our statement on the humanitarian and human rights situation in Venezuela: pic.twitter.com/ikB3Cyg0Eh
Turkey....
Hatay Governor's office debunks rumors / fake news from certain arabic websites and social media of Turkey deploying its Army to Idlib.
Consumer prices in Turkey rose 11.87% (YoY) in April , from 11.29% in March. April CPI was driven by food prices- which rose 1.23% (MoM.)
Since the declaration of a state of emergency in #Turkey, nearly 4,200 judges and prosecutors have been expelled.
#Turkey lifts ban on 82 judges and prosecutors, issues new warrants https://goo.gl/mvFdrL
Syria....
Aid entered the #Rukban desert camp near Syrian-Jordan border on Sunday for the first time in six months, camp sources tell us (1/3)
Cross-border aid entered despite reported IS bombing near #Rukban camp Sunday morning, second in 4 days (2/3)
Deliveries of food, hygiene supplies to continue for next 3 weeks to reach 75000 people says Muayid al-Abeed, head Rukban administrator(3/3)
What may be the de facto effect of "Safe Zones" & "De-Escalation Zones" ? An undeclared partition between loyalists & opposition sides.
#SYRIA: Eastern Ghouta is one of 4 DEZs, but Damascus itself isn't included - so air strikes have continued on Qabun, SOHR & residents say
#SYRIA: Senior Russian commander Sergei Rudskoi said Moscow had stopped bombing would-be DEZs from May 1, four days before deal was signed
Libya....
“An effective & viable solution would only be in Libya & through a Libyan-Libyan dialogue , sponsored by international organizations....”
Draft of new #Libya's constitutions to be discussed today. See @LibyanJustice summary of most contentious points http://www.libyanjustice.org/news/news/post/276-constitutional-drafting-assembly-to-vote-on-dangerous-constitutional-draft-without-public-consultation …
6000 migrants rescued in Mediterranean in last two days - WION
Italian FM focuses on migration in Tripoli visit but stresses support for GNA -
Kobler and Ageela Saleh hold latest round of talks - https://www.libyaherald.com/2017/05/06/kobler-and-ageela-saleh-hold-latest-round-of-talks/ …
Serraj updates Presidency Council on Hafter meeting - https://www.libyaherald.com/2017/05/06/serraj-updates-presidency-council-on-hafter-meeting/ …
Iraq....
This is not a good sign for future developments in Mosul....
Slow progress being made in Old City section .....
Middle East: GDP, 2016. ($ billion)
Turkey: 755
Saudi: 637
Iran: 412
UAE: 375
Egypt: 330
Israel: 311
Qatar: 156
Iraq: 156
Kuwait: 110
Multiple Daesh suicide bombers attacked base where US advisers are stationed in Iraq
Iraq reborn: The slow renaissance of Hammar Marshes http://ow.ly/FElf30bto1T
US troops won't stay in Iraq after Islamic State is defeated, says PM http://ow.ly/dOuu30btnG9
Musings On #Iraq #Mosul Campaign Day 202, May 6, 2017 http://musingsoniraq.blogspot.com/2017/05/mosul-campaign-day-202-may-6-2017.html …
Musings On #Iraq #Mosul Campaign Day 201, May 5, 2017 http://musingsoniraq.blogspot.com/2017/05/mosul-campaign-day-201-may-5-2017.html …
Asia Monday....
Chinese #bond mkt remains under pressure, 10-yr treasury futures closed 0.32% down, as benchmark 10-yr govt bond yield hit 3.6% at one point
China goes one way. The rest of the world pretty much going in the opposite direction.
China Jan~Apr steel exports -25.8%, crude oil imports +12.5%
China April trade (USD)
Exports 8% (est 11.3% prev 16.4%)
Imports 11.9% (est 18% prev 20.3%)
Trade surplus $38.05b (est $35.2b prev $23.93b
China April trade, yuan:
Exports 14.3% (est 16.8% prev 22.3%)
Imports 18.6% (est 29.3% prev 26.3%)
Trade surplus 262.3b (est 197.2b, 164.3b)
China's deleveraging bill since mid-Apr: $500b
$453b off stocks/bonds
$21b cancelled debt sales
$48b PBOC injections
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-05-07/china-deleveraging-bill-tops-500-billion-as-market-pain-spreads …
Copper Opens 0.4% Higher At $5,607.00 A Ton In London
Japanese JGB Futures open at 151.00 in Singapore
Euro update, sliding after early highs following Macron French election win http://news.forexlive.com/!/euro-update-sliding-after-early-highs-following-macron-french-election-win-20170507 …
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