http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/blog/4673/if
( Between demand soaring and supply issues - a set up for rising silver and gold also seems to be reflected in the positioning of Commercials in today's Commitment of Traders.... But we shall see.... )
Next week should be interesting...............
http://www.gata.org/node/12513
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-04-26/jpmorgan-receives-no-new-comex-gold-today-converts-registered-eligible
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-04-26/jpmorgan-accounts-993-comex-gold-sales-last-three-months
and......
http://silverdoctors.com/jim-sinclair-the-big-dirty-secret-is-out-there-is-no-gold/#more-25764
http://www.caseyresearch.com/gsd/edition/alasdair-macleod-physical-vs.-paper-gold-waiting-for-the-dam-to-break/
Gold and silver evening wrap report......
Next gold / silver smash down looming - 4/29 through 5/1 ? China national holidays would remove buying support , just something to watch for next week ! Hong Kong , Malaysia , Philippines , Singapore , Thailand also closed on 5/1 for Labor Day ! FWIW.....
http://www.timeanddate.com/holidays/china/
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-04-25/jpmorgans-eligible-gold-plummets-65-24-hours-all-time-low
( Between demand soaring and supply issues - a set up for rising silver and gold also seems to be reflected in the positioning of Commercials in today's Commitment of Traders.... But we shall see.... )
IF
If the CoT is true and accurate...and I have always thought it to be...then there can be no doubt that we are on the verge of major fiat-conversion price rallies in both metals, perhaps even something more dramatic.
(By "on the verge", I DO NOT mean "starting Monday". That is not what CoT analysis is all about. CoT analysis simply tells us how the sides are aligning and preparing for the next major move.)
I simply cannot stress enough how unusual and extraordinary this data is, particularly in silver. I gasped when I saw it. It is breathtaking...and you know I try very hard to avoid hyperbole. Let's get to it.
GOLD
For the reporting week of 4/17 thru 4/23, gold was up about $21. Total open interest increased by 2,000 contracts. Sounds nice and simple...perhaps even mundane and boring. WRONG!
This week, AFTER gold had already fallen over $200, we saw these changes:
- The Large Specs sold 7,500 longs and initiated 17,100 new shorts for a net long reduction of 24,600 contracts. They are now net long at a ratio of just 2.12:1.
- The Small Specs sold 5,900 of heir longs and began 7,000 new shorts. This net long reduction of 12,900 contracts leaves them flat. Long 39,868 and short 39,735.
- The Gold Cartel utilized all of this Spec selling to buy 11,600 new longs and cover an amazing 25,900 existing shorts. This is a net short reduction of 37,500 contracts and leaves their net short ratio at a must-be-seen-to-be-believed 1.67:1.
Clearly, The Gold Cartel Bullion Banks have used the occasion of the $240 selloff in paper price to aggressively cover shorts and add longs. Which side do you think will profit from these changes? The Specs now nearly crowded into the short side (the SmallSpecs are net neutral, for Pete's sake!) OR The Cartel?
SILVER
Oh my goodness gracious, I really don't know what to say about the CoT picture in silver. There is now NO DOUBT that the oft-mentioned "Civil War" in silver, where the entire commercial category rises up and takes on JPM, is ON! It's happening right now, in real time.
I was amazed last week that the silver commercials, who had openly challenged JPM by building a gross long position in excess of 60,000 contracts, had not been forced out of the long side by the $5 drop and the attendant margin hikes. You'll recall that last week, the Comm longs added contracts, instead. Not a lot but who cares? Just the simple fact that they didn't capitulate was HUGE. And now get a load of the action from this week:
- The Large Specs sold 884 longs and added 1,713 new shorts for a net long reduction of 2,597 and a new net long ratio of just 1.63:1.
- The Small Specs did the same. They dumped 1,895 longs and added 842 new shorts. Just like the gold Small Specs, the silver Small Specs are nearly neutral at long 20,782 and short 18,619.
- Now, hold onto your hat. The Commercials in silver...this is the everybody but JPM crowd...added 6,617 new longs this week. Yes, that's right. After the brutal and malicious beatdown, not only didn't the CommLongs sell, they increased their gross position by over 10%! They are now long a could-it-be-a-misprint 68,258 contracts. This is unbelievable and, literally, twice the size of their historical average position. Because the other commercials were such heavy buyers, JPM and their two pals actually had to add shorts this week. ADD! At $23! The shorts now total 85,422 and the all-important Silver Cartel net short ratio has fallen all the way to a preposterously bullish 1.25:1.
Look. I don't want to be over-dramatic here. However, I simply can't overstate how remarkable this is. There are some VERY COMMITTED, VERY DEEP POCKETS who are directly challenging the long-standing status quo in the silver pit. The questions are:
- Why now?
- What do they know? AND
- What are they expecting next?
Chew on that over the weekend and come back Monday with your game face on. Things are about to get very, very interesting.
TF
Next week should be interesting...............
http://www.gata.org/node/12513
11:47a ET Friday, April 26, 2013
Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:
Here's something you seldom see: a gold mining company taking note of suspicions of manipulation of the gold market. Until the gold mining industry is prepared to defend itself against market manipulation, it will remain the helpful patsy of the Western central banks and the enemy of its own investors.
CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.
* * *
Discovery Gold Comments on Gold Price Drop and Strategic Geologic Location
Company Press Release
via PR Newswire
Tuesday, April 23, 2013
via PR Newswire
Tuesday, April 23, 2013
DENVER -- On April 2nd, 2013, Discovery Gold Corp.(OTCQB-DCGD) (the "Company") commented in a press release about its geologic similarity (per its recent 43-101 report) to gold deposits being mined nearby in Ghana's prolific Ashanti Gold Belt; and the company's president, Steve Flechner, noted his belief "that gold prices will remain strong."
Ten days later, the price of gold plunged 4.7% on Friday and another 9.6% on Monday. This press release, therefore, is to briefly summarize a few of the reported apparent reasons for the historic price drop, and for continued confidence in the future for gold prices and for the potentially significantly underpriced stocks of strategically located gold exploration companies.
Widely followed and highly accomplished gold-bulls like Jim Sinclair (CEO of Tanzanian Royalty Exploration & former advisor to the Hunt family), Eric Sprott (Sprott Asset Management), Frank Holmes (President of US Global Investors), and others suggest literal market manipulation beginning with the US Federal Reserve which arguably wants to support the value of the dollar and reduce the value of gold reserves such as those that it recently was asked to return to the German Bundesbank, and agreed to do so over seven years, raising speculation that some of their physical gold inventory has perhaps been leased, loaned, or used as collateral for other leveraged financial transactions.
Former Assistant of the US Treasury, Dr. Paul C. Roberts was quoted by The European Gold Center (EGC) on April 12th saying, "The exchange value of the dollar is threatened and if that collapses the Fed loses control over interest rates…they've got to establish in people's mind that the dollar is the only safe place…not gold."
Meanwhile, the EGC reported that a major investment bank turned negative on gold and recommended that their clients go "short" gold, which is selling future contract paper. The investment bank cited US growth and further rises in the stock market expected later in 2013 as rational. Then, according to EGC and London monetary metals trader, Andrew Maguire, another major investment bank "stunned the markets right at the opening by selling massive gold futures contracts." This steam rolled as highly leveraged gold futures investors faced margin calls requiring more cash collateral or gold sells, until the price reached down to $1550, which had been commonly established as a basic support level, triggering an avalanche of automatic "stop loss" selling.
Adam Hamilton of the acclaimed Zeal Intelligence Newsletter explained on April 19th that this "gold panic was a forced selling phenomenon driven by a support break crushing over-leveraged futures players ... traders got scared…bullish fundamentals for gold did not change one bit…central banks didn't suddenly drop their vast gold hoards…and no massive new gold mines suddenly came on line…And after panics even in the stock markets, prices always double over the subsequent two or three years. ... Global central banks are drastically ramping up their paper money supplies, leading to overbought stock markets. ... Once these inevitably turn, demand for alternative investments will soar…And investors are woefully underinvested in gold, it is still on the order of only 0.5% of Americans' total portfolios…The bargains among dirt cheap hyper-oversold gold stocks are truly epic."
Discovery Gold's president, Steve Flechner, concluded that "I believe that our company's stock could be one of these bargains. Since January 2013, Discovery Gold has been pleased to report that; (i) its Edum Banso mineral concession Option rights were formally approved by the Ghana Ministry of Lands and Natural Resources; (ii) that independent geologists from CME & Co visited Edum Banso, collected gold bearing rock samples, and completed a 43-101 compliant Assessment Report now posted on the Company's website; and (iii) that the Assessment Report includes trenching and initial drilling work program recommendations for exploring high priority gold targets that have similar geology to gold deposits being produced nearby on an adjacent property."
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-04-26/jpmorgan-receives-no-new-comex-gold-today-converts-registered-eligible
JPMorgan Receives No New COMEX Gold Today, Converts Registered Into Eligible
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/26/2013 17:24 -0400
Anyone waiting with bated breath for the moment when cell H25 in the daily Comex gold inventory update (the one showing JPM's total holdings of Eligible gold) shows 0.000 will have to wait at least one more day. According to today's update, as of Thursday (so excluding today's post-Europe close gold shenannigans) JPM's eligible for delivery gold inventory did not receive any new gold, which started the day at yesterday's record low (for the firm) level of 141,581.5 troy ounces, and would have ended flat, had it not been for the reclassification of 17.5k ounces of registered gold into eligible.
The tiny move barely registered on the long-term chart, however, which still remains just a hair's width away from record lows, and from zero.
To find out what happens with JPM's gold after today's volatile gold session, check back same time, same place on Monday.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-04-26/jpmorgan-accounts-993-comex-gold-sales-last-three-months
JPMorgan Accounts For 99.3% Of The COMEX Gold Sales In The Last Three Months
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/26/2013 14:28 -0400
- Ben Bernanke
- Citigroup
- Exchange Traded Fund
- Fortress Balance Sheet
- Jamie Dimon
- Lloyd Blankfein
- President Obama
- Testimony
Submitted by Mark McHugh from Across The Street
Jamie Dimon Has Issues
When just one firm accounts for 99.3% of the physical gold sales at the COMEX in the last three months it’s not what most of us on this side of the rainbow would consider “broad-based” selling. Of course discovering this kind of relevant information requires an internet connection, 2nd grade math and reading skills, and the desire to do a teeny-weeny bit of reporting. Sadly they’ve wandered so far down the rabbit hole that the concept of “physical demand” (i.e. people actually wanting to take possession of the stuff) is puzzling to them because the vast majority of the world’s so-called “gold-trading” takes place in the realm of make believe (which is their natural habitat). It’s all fun and games until somebody loses their metal and “somebody” has lost one hell of a lot of metal in the last 90 days.
This is the CME Group’s COMEX metals issues and stops year-to-date report, which can be found here everyday for free. It chronicles the physical delivery notices of various metals, including gold. Let’s have a look:
“I” is for “Idiot”
That’s how I remember it, anyway. “I” actually stands for “issues,” meaning the firm parted with its metal (@ 100 troy ounces a shot), and “S” stands for “stops,” meaning the firm took delivery of gold. “C” is for customer accounts, “H” is house accounts. The first thing you should notice is that most transaction net out to zero in a given month (blue boxes), meaning the firm’s gold holdings didn’t change. What they delivered one day they got back the next, or vice versa. The green boxes show firms who received more than they delivered and the red boxes indicate firms who coughed up gold for Bernanke bucks (aka idiots). Note that Deutsche Bank’s massive take in February more than offsets its deliveries in December and April.
That’s how I remember it, anyway. “I” actually stands for “issues,” meaning the firm parted with its metal (@ 100 troy ounces a shot), and “S” stands for “stops,” meaning the firm took delivery of gold. “C” is for customer accounts, “H” is house accounts. The first thing you should notice is that most transaction net out to zero in a given month (blue boxes), meaning the firm’s gold holdings didn’t change. What they delivered one day they got back the next, or vice versa. The green boxes show firms who received more than they delivered and the red boxes indicate firms who coughed up gold for Bernanke bucks (aka idiots). Note that Deutsche Bank’s massive take in February more than offsets its deliveries in December and April.
Notice one more thing before we move on: Despite Goldman’s much ballyhooed “Gold Sucks!” call a few weeks ago, the squid has not parted with any yellow metal whatsoever in 2013. Hmmm.
Now for the main event:
J P Morgan has fumbled ownership of 1,966,000 Troy ounces of gold since February 1. That’s 74% more gold than the US mint delivered through the US mint’s American Eagle program in all of 2012. I mention this because there’s little doubt in my mind that the US government is one of JPM’s gold “customers.” So (if I am correct) the same US government who just let the Morgue dump its gold on the COMEX floor will once again be suspending gold sales to peasants.
Maybe Jamie Dimon figures he’ll buy back all that gold on the cheap when the rest of the world realizes how smart he is. Or maybe he’s once again displaying that his firm doesn’t have the slightest idea what “hedging” is and is teetering on the brink of collapse. That would explain the April 11th meeting between President Obama and the Pig 5 bank CEOs, wouldn’t it? And you just have to get a little misty that Lloyd Blankfein was nice enough to provide some hot-air cover for his competitor, don’t you?
One thing’s very clear: When it comes to selling physical gold, J P Morgan is acting alone. The 130 contracts NOT delivered by JPM in the last three months (of which 110 were fromABN AMRO) are but a footnote. If Jamie’s right, he’ll look like a genius in a few months, if not he should be able to recycle his quote regarding the infamous “London Whale” losses: “Just because we’re stupid, doesn’t mean everybody else was.” Time will tell.
100 years ago John Pierpont Morgan famously testified to Congress, “Money is gold, and nothing else.” (Note: That is the exact quote, the full testimony can be foundhere). One has to wonder what the big guy would think of his legacy’s disregard for sound money, $70 Trillion derivatives book, and "House of Cards" "Fortress" balance sheet.
One more very, very important thing.
Anybody who says there’s been gold selling in the GLD is a freaking moron (Bob Pistrami, I’m looking in your direction). The GLD works much like a coat check. Unless you think checking your coat constitutes a real transaction of some kind you shouldn’t think of changes in the GLD’s gold holdings as sales. They’re not. When you check your gold into the GLD you get shares (like a claim check). Where it gets wierd is you can sell these claim checks to nimrods who seem to think they’ve bought your coat, but aren’t actually allowed to wear it.
Anybody who says there’s been gold selling in the GLD is a freaking moron (Bob Pistrami, I’m looking in your direction). The GLD works much like a coat check. Unless you think checking your coat constitutes a real transaction of some kind you shouldn’t think of changes in the GLD’s gold holdings as sales. They’re not. When you check your gold into the GLD you get shares (like a claim check). Where it gets wierd is you can sell these claim checks to nimrods who seem to think they’ve bought your coat, but aren’t actually allowed to wear it.
What nobody seems to appreciate is that every share of GLD is allowed to be sold TWICE (long and short, and it’s really important to understand that). If you’re foolish enough to doubt me (and foolish enough to short gold), go short GLD shares and see if anyone knocks on your door demanding gold. Saying the GLD is 100% backed by gold is a bold face lie because they’re can be twice as many shares in play as gold backing them, which means GLD shares may be only 50% backed by gold before any rules are broken.
When GLD (or any ETF for that matter) shares sold exceed the existing shares PLUS all the shortable (double-sold) shares, legitimate shares can not be found for settlement and that must be reported to the SEC’s “Fails to Deliver” list, which is published twice a month with about a four-week delay (here).
April 15, 2013 was this biggest volume day ever for GLD (93.7mm) and I’ll guarantee you right now that record fails to deliver will be reported on or around that date, which should have required more gold to be deposited with the GLD (but that didn’t happen). So instead of the half-assed explanation Pistrami offered (here) of how he thinks the GLD works, he should have raised the question of whether or not there were enough legitimate shares of GLD to facilitate trading (I say no way in hell).
Gold continues to be pulled from the GLD (which really means people want their coats back) and still no one’s concerned about the number doubled-owned shares. Worse yet, the responsibility for sorting this unholy mess out falls to SEC chief Mary Jo White who is celebrating her 16th day in office.
I can’t wait to see what happens next….
Notes for Nerds: This piece is not intended to describe the inner workings of the COMEX or GLD in detail, so don’t bust my balls with minutiae, unless it is relevant to the discussion of JPM’s massive gold sales or the double-ownership of ETF shares. Double-owned ETF shares are huge problem with ETFs in general, but the misrepresentation (by omission) of this fact by ETFs supposedly backed by tangible assets like gold and silver seems more egregious to me.
In addition to the YTD CME Group metals report, you can track the hilarity on a day-by-day basis here.
The February 1 to April 25 delivered gold contracts info referenced included only transactions between firms. For that reason Morgan Stanley’s 307 contracts transferred from house account to customer account was excluded from the calculations.
Total Net gold deliveries Feb 1 to April 25:
Vision Financial – 1 contract
R J O’Brien – 2
ADM Investor Services INC – 2
Marex – 5
Citigroup Global Markets – 10
ABN AMRO – 110
JP Morgan – 19,660
R J O’Brien – 2
ADM Investor Services INC – 2
Marex – 5
Citigroup Global Markets – 10
ABN AMRO – 110
JP Morgan – 19,660
and......
http://silverdoctors.com/jim-sinclair-the-big-dirty-secret-is-out-there-is-no-gold/#more-25764
JIM SINCLAIR: THE BIG DIRTY SECRET IS OUT: THERE IS NO GOLD!
http://www.caseyresearch.com/gsd/edition/alasdair-macleod-physical-vs.-paper-gold-waiting-for-the-dam-to-break/
¤ YESTERDAY IN GOLD & SILVER
Gold added about seven or eight bucks to its price in the hours leading up to lunch time in Hong Kong on their Thursday morning...and then traded more or less flat into the London p.m. gold fix...10:00 a.m. in New York. From there, the gold price rallied another ten bucks up until 2:00 p.m. Eastern time...and then traded flat into the 5:15 p.m. electronic close.
Gold closed at $1,468.20 spot...up $36.70 spot... and virtually on its high of the day, which was $1,470.50 spot. Volume was way up there...around 209,000 contracts, so it's obvious that this rally did not go unopposed.
Silver also rallied in early Far East trading...and then wandered around either side of $23.25 spot right up until 1:00 p.m. in London...twenty minutes before the Comex open in New York. Then the price popped for about 60 cents in the next thirty minutes of trading...and rallied at a much slower pace from there.
Silver closed at $24.40 spot...up $1.24 from Wednesday's close...and virtually on its high tick of the day as well. Net volume was a chunky 40,000 contracts.
The dollar index closed on Wednesday at 82.94...and then began to head south shortly after it opened in the Far East on their Thursday morning. By the time the low of the day was in 8:20 a.m. in New York...the Comex open...the index was down to 82.42. From there it rallied back to virtually unchanged on the day by 10:30 a.m. Eastern time...but then slid a hair into the close...finishing the Thursday session at 82.78...down 16 basis points on the day.
For the day, gold finished up 2.56%...and silver closed up 5.35%...so compared to the metals themselves, the shares did lousy. I'd be prepared to bet that there was a not-for-profit seller lurking about to make sure that the shares didn't have a blow-out day to the upside. But if that was the case, would someone please explain the share price action on Wednesday.
The CME's Daily Delivery Report showed that 202 gold and 10 silver contracts were posted for delivery on Monday. JPMorgan Chase was the short/issuer on all 202 contracts out of its client account...and Barclays and Canada's Bank of Nova Scotia were the long/stoppers on 133 and 67 contracts respectively. The link to yesterday's Issuers and Stoppers Report is here.
GLD's inventory levels continue to slide, as an authorized participant withdrew 87,041 troy ounces yesterday. But the big surprise was in SLV...as an authorized participant deposited 1,545,392 troy ounces!
There was another sales report from the U.S. Mint yesterday. They sold 7,000 ounces of gold eagles, along with 1,500 one-ounce 24K gold buffaloes. For the second day in a row they didn't report any silver eagles sales.
It was another busy day over at the Comex-approved depositories on Wednesday. They reported receiving 598,041 troy ounces of silver...and shipped 1,296,767 troy ounces of the stuff out the door. The link to that activity is here.
In gold, the Comex-approved depositories reported receiving 1,286 troy ounces on Wednesday...and shipped 355,996 troy ounces out the door. The link to that activity is here.
I'd love to be a fly on wall at these depositories and know for sure what this 'metal in motion' is all about.
It was another busy day at the store yesterday...and I was a tired puppy by the time I left for the day. It's not wall-to-wall people anymore, but the traffic just never stops for more than a few minutes at a time. There always seems to be someone in the store at any given moment...and we have little time to do anything else. I don't think the mints of the world could even keep up with this demand level. One thing that is worth noting, is that we went from two week delivery on gold maple leafs and bars last week, to two months...maybe...on Wednesday. This delivery delay in gold is unprecedented in this country! One can only imagine what it will be like when the gold price begins to rise in earnest once again.
Here's a group of photos sent to me by Hong Kong reader Frank Lin yesterday. He comments that "These pictures were taken from one of the largest gold jewelers in Hong Kong [on Tuesday]. I was told only expensive pieces are left." The photos of the empty cases certainly confirms that. Having spent some time in Hong Kong myself...and knowing how many jewellery stores there are just in the Kowloon area alone, one has to wonder just how long it will take all of them to restock when they've been wiped out to that extent...and that doesn't include replacing the bullion they've sold as well.
As I noted in a story posted in the 'Critical Reads' section yesterday, there's a new U.S. $100 bill coming out in October...and it's already been redesigned by someone on the Internet. It's rather fetching, isn't it?
While on the subject of money, I received the chart posted below from Casey Research's own Jeff Clark around 2:00 a.m. Eastern time this morning. According to the St. Louis Fed, the adjusted monetary base has just exceeded 3.0 trillion for the first time. That happened on April 17th.
* * *
Selected news and views.....
Fed Debate Moves From Tapering to Extending Bond Buying
Debate among Federal Reserve policy makers is shifting away from the timing of a reduction in bond buying to the need to extend record stimulus as inflation cools and 11.7 million Americans remain jobless.
At their meeting last month, several members of the Federal Open Market Committee advocated slowing purchases and stopping them by year-end. Since then, seven have voiced support for maintaining the current pace, including five who vote on the policy making panel: Governor Daniel Tarullo, New York Fed President William C. Dudley, James Bullard of St. Louis, Chicago’s Charles Evans and Boston’s Eric Rosengren.
“We heard a lot of discussion earlier in the year on the timing of tapering,”Ward McCarthy, chief financial economist at Jefferies Group LLC. in New York and a former Richmond Fed economist, said in a Bloomberg Radio interview yesterday. “Some of the more recent developments -- the slowdown in the economy, the somewhat disquieting inflation data -- has taken that off the table for now.”
It's 'print, or die'. Nothing has changed. This Bloomberg piece was posted on their website early yesterday morning Mountain Daylight Time...and I thank Manitoba reader Ulrike Marx for finding this for us.
CBOE Trading System Knocked Out in Latest Trading Black Eye
preventing investors from trading two key products used mainly by institutions to hedge the broader stock market and volatility.
The CBOE said the problem was "an internal systems issue" caused by a software problem and "not the result of any outside influence" or cyber-attack.
Trading resumed in the S&P 500 options contracts at 12:50 p.m. ET, and trading in all other equity and ETF options were opened by 1 p.m. Traders speculated about multiple causes but said they heard that the glitch was due to a software upgrade and a problem purging data from Wednesday's trading that affected prices.
"Customers were mad. Brokers were mad. Market makers that need to hedge their positions were mad. It wasn't good for anybody," said Brian Stutland of Stutland Equities and CNBC contributor.
This CNBC piece from very early yesterday morning is thanks to Elliot Simon once again.
E.U. against austerity: Spaniards and Portuguese take to the streets as unemployment skyrockets
The Iberian Peninsula has once again been engulfed in protest, as police used brute force to disperse thousands in front of the Spanish Parliament in Madrid while in Portugal citizens climbed on top of a tank to make themselves heard.
Police detained at least 15 in Madrid, including one minor, as they used force to quell an angry mob of protesters near the Spanish parliament, united under a“Besiege Congress” slogan calling for the government to quit.
The riots come as Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy is set to announce a raft of measures on Friday aimed at tackling the country's recession.
An estimated 1,400 policemen were deployed around the chamber as politicians cancelled the session for the day.
This Russia Today story from yesterday also has a 1:34 minute video clip embedded...and I thank Roy Stephens for his second offering in today's column.
Japan's 'wall of money' proves elusive for global markets
Japanese investors are repatriating funds from around the world at an accelerating pace, dashing hopes that stimulus from the Bank of Japan will flood global asset markets with newly-printed money.
Fresh data from Japan's finance ministry showed that large banks, insurers, and pension funds sold a net $8.7bn in foreign bonds and stocks last week, bringing the total to $35bn over the last six weeks.
Analysts had expected the big institutions to start chasing global assets in a revival of the "yen carry trade" after dramatic policy shift by the Bank of Japan's new team under Haruhiko Kuroda, but the fondly-awaited "wall of money" has yet to materialise.
Instead, Tokyo's behemoth funds are cashing windfall gains abroad generated by the 20pc slide in the yen since July, rotating the profits into assets at home.
This Ambrose Evans-Pritchard commentary was posted on thetelegraph.co.uk Internet site early yesterday afternoon BST...and I thank Ulrike Marx for sharing it with us.
Three King World News Blogs
The first interview is with Dr. Stephen Leeb...and it's headlined "The Fed's Big Lie, Gold, Silver and the Reality of Inflation". Next comes Keith Barron. It's entitled "Stunning and Massive Run on Physical Gold and Silver Continues". And lastly is this blog with Jim Sinclair. It bears the title "The Gold War and Unprecedented Financial Destruction".
Shortages of physical gold now a global phenomenon
Those who precipitated the recent fall in the gold price may have unleashed a beast that will put future efforts at market manipulation way out of their control. Physical metal is now seemingly becoming key in investors’ minds.
They are no longer putting any faith in paper gold and this is being seen in all quarters with reports from virtually all continents of demand exceeding supply of physical metal, and some hefty premiums being applied on sales of gold bullion.
Add to this particularly strong demand from Asia - reports have put the volume of deliveries into the Shanghai exchange so far this year of over 1,000 tonnes as actually exceeding estimated new mine production over the period.
There's nothing much that's really new in this commentary by Lawrie Williams over at the mineweb.com, but he's such a good writer that his take on things has a freshness about it that makes it worth the read.
Bitcoin Dealers Are Running Into Problems In Canada
Two Canadian businessmen recently got some bad news from their banks.
James Grant, owner of Canadian Bitcoins, got a letter.
Melvin Ng, proprietor of CADBitcoin, got a phone call.
Both men run online exchanges where you can purchase Bitcoins for Canadian dollars.
And both were informed their businesses’ accounts frozen by Canada’s largest banks.
“It’s a weird situation,” Ng told us by phone recently. “We’re a normal Canadian business, we’re registered with the government, and a Canadian bank can just block it off.”
Grant was more blunt: “They just don’t like Bitcoins.”
This story was filed from Australia and posted on the au.businessinsider.comInternet site early Friday morning 'down under'. I thank Michael Cheverton for bringing it to my attention...and now to yours.
Alasdair Macleod: Physical vs. paper gold -- waiting for the dam to break
GoldMoney research director Alasdair Macleod provides what is probably the most comprehensive and yet concise description of the world gold market, concluding most soberly that the recent gold price smash was likely engineered by Western central banks and that it may cost them not only control of the gold market but control of all markets.
Macleod writes: "We can only speculate about day-to-day interventions by Western central banks in gold markets. In this regard it seems that the slide in prices on the 12th and 15th April was triggered by a very large seller of paper gold; if this market story and the amount mentioned are correct, it can be only central bank intervention, acting to deliberately drive prices lower.
"Given the market position, with money managers in the futures markets already short and highly vulnerable to a bear squeeze, the story seems credible. The objective would be to persuade holders of physical exchange-traded funds and allocated gold accounts to sell and supply the market, on the assumption that they would behave as investors convinced the bull market is over."
This very long essay was posted on the goldmoney.com Internet site yesterday...and it's certainly worth reading if you can find the time.
¤ THE WRAP
The issue which has swept down through the centuries...and which will have to be fought sooner or later...is the people vs. the banks. - Lord Acton, Historian, 1834-1902
I was happy to see the rally in all four precious metals yesterday...including copper and crude oil. It certainly didn't look like short-covering to me...and looking at the volume numbers I would guess that the bullion banks were going short against all comers in all six markets. Unfortunately, what happened yesterday won't be in today's Commitment of Traders Report.
It remains to be seen how these rallies develops in the days and weeks ahead. Here's the 6-month gold chart showing the 20 and 50-day moving averages. We should start to see some signs of short covering by the technical funds once the 20-day moving average is pierced to the upside. How the bullion banks and small traders [Ted Butler's raptors] react once that event happens will be interesting to watch. Will they allow the technical funds out on the cheap, or will they inflict some pain by refusing to sell their longs positions to them until we are much higher in price? That, as Ted Butler has stated on many occasions in the past, is the key to how this rally unfolds. So we wait.
(Click on image to enlarge)
If you had time to run through Matt Taibbi's essay at the beginning of the 'Critical Reads' section further up, you will have discovered what GATA has known for almost a decade...and that is that the banks control everything. However, British economist Peter Warburton wrote about it long before we at GATA cottoned on to this fact. I discovered his essay on the Prudent Bear website about a decade ago...and what I call the 'three most important paragraphs in the world' embedded in that essay, have been the lens that I have looked at the financial system through ever since.
I've posted them many times in this space...but they bear repeating at this point in time. Needless to say they are a must read. Keep in mind while you're reading that this was written in 2001...twelve years ago to the month.
"What we see at present is a battle between the central banks and the collapse of the financial system fought on two fronts. On one front, the central banks preside over the creation of additional liquidity for the financial system in order to hold back the tide of debt defaults that would otherwise occur. On the other, they incite investment banks and other willing parties to bet against a rise in the prices of gold, oil, base metals, soft commodities or anything else that might be deemed an indicator of inherent value. Their objective is to deprive the independent observer of any reliable benchmark against which to measure the eroding value, not only of the US dollar, but of all fiat currencies. Equally, their actions seek to deny the investor the opportunity to hedge against the fragility of the financial system by switching into a freely traded market for non-financial assets."
"It is important to recognize that the central banks have found the battle on the second front much easier to fight than the first. In November [of 2000], I estimated the size of the gross stock of global debt instruments at $90 trillion for mid-2000. How much capital would it take to control the combined gold, oil and commodity markets? Probably, no more than $200bn, using derivatives. Moreover, it is not necessary for the central banks to fight the battle themselves, although central bank gold sales and gold leasing have certainly contributed to the cause. Most of the world’s large investment banks have over-traded their capital [bases] so flagrantly that if the central banks were to lose the fight on the first front, then their stock would be worthless. Because their fate is intertwined with that of the central banks, investment banks are willing participants in the battle against rising gold, oil and commodity prices."
"Central banks, and particularly the US Federal Reserve, are deploying their heavy artillery in the battle against a systemic collapse. This has been their primary concern for at least seven years. [Emphasis is mine. - Ed] Their immediate objectives are to prevent the private sector bond market from closing its doors to new or refinancing borrowers and to forestall a technical break in the Dow Jones Industrials. Keeping the bond markets open is absolutely vital at a time when corporate profitability is on the ropes. Keeping the equity index on an even keel is essential to protect the wealth of the household sector and to maintain the expectation of future gains. For as long as these objectives can be achieved, the value of the US dollar can also be stabilized in relation to other currencies, despite the extraordinary imbalances in external trade."
Warburton's essay is headlined "The debasement of world currency: it is inflation, but not as we know it". It was written on April 9, 2011...and this copy of it is posted at the gold-eagle.comInternet site. The link is here.
Today we get the latest Commitment of Traders Report for positions held at the close of Comex trading on Tuesday, April 23rd. As I've mentioned several times in this space during the last week, it's my opinion that the latest data in the Commercial and Non-Commercial category is totally compromised...and I will be more than interested to see if they have made amends in this report when it shows up on the CFTC's website at 3:30 p.m. Eastern time. I'll let you know tomorrow.
Both gold and silver were rallying nicely in early Far East trading on their Friday, but got sold down the moment they got too frisky...and both metals are down a bit now that London has been open about thirty minutes. Volume in gold is already very chunky...over 45,000 contracts...most of which is of the high-frequency trading variety. Silver's volume is getting up there too, but roll-overs out of the May delivery month are very heavy as well, so net volume is very light. Monday should be the last big day for roll-overs out of the May contract in silver. The dollar index is down about 15 basis points.
And as I hit the 'send' button at 5:10 a.m. Eastern time, both gold and silver are a bit lower now that London has been open for two hours and change. Gold is down about seven bucks...and silver is down 28 cents. Gold volume is now over 70,000 contracts...and silver's net volume is very light...around 4,800 contracts. The dollar index is still down 15 basis points.
Since today is Friday, I'll be ready for any possible price scenario when I switch my computer on later this morning.
Enjoy your weekend, or what's left of it...and I'll see here tomorrow.
Gold and silver evening wrap report......
Next gold / silver smash down looming - 4/29 through 5/1 ? China national holidays would remove buying support , just something to watch for next week ! Hong Kong , Malaysia , Philippines , Singapore , Thailand also closed on 5/1 for Labor Day ! FWIW.....
http://www.timeanddate.com/holidays/china/
Monday | Apr 29 | Labour Day Holiday | National holiday |
Tuesday | Apr 30 | Labour Day Holiday | National holiday |
Wednesday | May 1 | Labor Day / May Day | National holiday |
[KR346] Keiser Report: Stalinism of NYSE
( Maguire interview start around 12:45.... )
127 Replies
We discuss the season for CRASH as algos reading Twitter cause a hack crash in New York; ghost traders in the shadow banking system cause gold ‘slaughters’ in the precious metals markets and Joe Weisenthal seeks smoke signals from the Pope of Fraud, Ben Bernanke. In the second half of the show Max talks to Andrew Maguire about precious metals markets, manipulation and failures to deliver.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-04-25/jpmorgans-eligible-gold-plummets-65-24-hours-all-time-low
JPMorgan's Eligible Gold Plummets 65% In 24 Hours To All Time Low
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/25/2013 17:30 -0400
We are confident that in the aftermath of our article from last night "Just What Is Going On With The Gold In JPMorgan's Vault?" in which we showed the absolute devastation of "eligible" (aka commercial) gold warehoused in JPM's vault just over the Manhattan bedrock at 1 Chase Manhattan Place (and also in the entire Comex vault network in the past month), we were not the only ones checking every five minutes for the Comex gold depository update for April 25. Moments ago we finally got it, and it's a doozy. Because in just the past 24 hours, from April 24 to April 25, according to the Comex, JPM's eligible gold plunged from 402.4K ounces to just 141.6K ounces, a drop of 65% in 24 hours,and the lowest amount of eligible gold held at the vault on record, since its reopening in October 2010!
Everyone has seen what a run on the bank looks like. Below is perhaps the best chart of what a "run on the vault" is.
The absolute collapse in JPM's eligible gold inventory, means total Comex eligible gold has fallen to just 5.8 million ounces, half of what it was in early 2011, and back to levels last seen in March 2009.
So, once again, just like last night, we ask the same questions which are even more critical today than they were 24 hours ago:
- What happened to the commercial gold vaulted with JPM, and what was the reason for the historic drawdown?
- Gold, unlike fiat, is not created out of thin air, nor can it be shred or deleted. Where did the gold leaving the JPM warehouse end up (especially sinceregistered JPM and total Comex goldhas been relatively flat over the same period)?
- Did any of this gold make its way across the street, and end up at the vault of the building located at 33 Liberty street?
- What happens if and/or when the JPM vault is empty of commercial gold, and JPM receives a delivery notice?
Incidentally, JPM now has just under a paltry 5 tons of eligible gold left in storage. We hope this is also the maximum exposure it faces for imminent delivery requests, because if tomorrow it receives withdrawal requests for 141,581.5 ounces +1, then things get really interesting.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-04-25/silver-having-its-best-day-15-months
Silver Is Having Its Best Day in 15 Months
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/25/2013 14:25 -0400
In all the excitement over gold, silver has been largely ignored or forgotten. Today, it was the"poor man's gold"'s turn to stae a dramatic comeback posting its biggest single-day jump in 15 months. Having now retraced the Fibonacci 38.2% level of the record plunge, it appears $25 is th enext target - which is around 50% retracement levels.
Best day in Silver in 15 months...
with a target for 50% retracement at around $25...
Charts: Bloomberg
http://silverdoctors.com/texas-university-sells-375-million-in-gold-bars-to-re-invest-in-gold-futures/