Sunday, November 25, 2012

Catalonia votes in the Key Spanish Regional Election ...........Note the smear campaign against Mas right before the Election - wonder if this backfires ?

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-11-25/spain-mas-trouble-layers-constitutional-crisis-economic-depression-20-gdp-demands-in


Spain In Mas Trouble: Layers Constitutional Crisis Onto Economic Depression As 20% Of GDP Demands Independence

Tyler Durden's picture




Catalonia's exit polls confirm almost two-thirds of votes will go to pro-independence parties that will push for a referendum to break away from Spain, which the central government will challenge as unconstitutional. The more-populous-than-Denmark region is home to car factories and banks that generate one-fifth of Spain's economic wealth (larger than Portugal's). The incumbent, Artur Mas, has converted to a more radical separatist biassince huge street demonstrations in September showed the will of the people. AsReuters notes, growing Catalan separatism is a huge challenge for Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy, who is trying to bring down painfully high borrowing costs by persuading investors of Spain's fiscal and political stability. Critically, the exit polls suggest the dominance of separatist parties will mean a referendum for secession within two years - leaving us asking the simple question: who will buy any Spanish debt, even fully backstopped by the ECB, if there is a real risk that in under two years, 20% of Spanish GDP will simply pick up and leave.


    • *CATALAN PRO-INDEPENDENCE PARTIES WIN MAJORITY, EXIT POLL SHOWS
    • *CIU WINS 54-57 OF 135 SEATS IN CATALAN VOTE, EXIT POLL SHOWS (Separatist)
    • *ERC HAS 20-23 SEATS IN EXIT POLL BY TV3 (Separatist)
    • *PP HAS 16-18 SEATS IN CATALAN EXIT POLL (Anti-Separatist)
    • *SOCIALISTS HAVE 16-18 SEATS IN CATALAN EXIT POLL
    • Via Reuters:
      Spain's Catalonia region, fed up with the tax demands of cash-strapped Madrid, was expected to elect on Sunday a separatist government that will try to hold a referendum on independence.

      ...

      "It's time for Catalans to pursue their own nation. When you're in a relationship and you're not getting along you work for mutual respect. We've tried, but Spain hasn't," said Jose Manuel Victoria, 67, who voted for the main pro-independence party.

      ...

      With more people than Denmark and an economy almost as big as Portugal's,Catalonia has its own language. Like Basques, Catalans see themselves as distinct from the rest of Spain.
      Growing Catalan separatism is ahuge challenge for Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy, who is trying to bring down painfully high borrowing costs by persuading investors of Spain's fiscal and political stability.

      ...

      He will have to team up with smaller pro-independence groups such as the Republican Left, or ERC, to push ahead with the plebiscite that he promised to voters.

      Up until recently Mas was a moderate nationalist who had pushed Spain to give Catalonia more self-governing powers. He has followed the popular mood in converting to a more radical separatism, but it is not clear he can hold a referendum legally.

      Many Catalans are angry thatRajoy has refused to negotiate a new tax deal with their largely self-governing region. Annually, an estimated 16 billion euros ($21 billion) in taxes paid in Catalonia, about 8 percent of its economic output, is not returned to the region.

      Home to car factories and banks that generate one fifth of Spain's economic wealth, ...

      MONEY PROBLEMS

      After a decade of overspending,Catalonia's debt has been downgraded to junk. Blocked from the bond markets, Mas has had to seek billions of euros in rescue funds from the central government in Madrid, itself fighting to prevent financial meltdown.

      But, on the campaign trail, Mas focused on the region's gripes with Madrid. He told supporters he wanted to be the last president of Catalonia within Spain.
      Wary that separatism could spread to the Basque Country and beyond, Rajoy said this week that the Catalan election is more important than general elections.

      ...

      "Don't stay at home (on election day) if you don't want them to kick us out of Spain and out of Europe," she said at a campaign rally this week.

      ...

      MAS RISK

      Enthusiasm for independence could ebb if voters think the price is having to leave the European Union, leaving Mas high and dry.

      "I have no interest in independence. It's totally irresponsible," said 45-year-old Luis, a Peruvian immigrant and salesman who voted for the PP.
      "It means exiting the EU and a drop in Gross National Product... Mas is an economist. He knows this but he isn't saying it. Why?" said Luis, who declined to give his last name.

      After the vote Mas will struggle to push conflicting agendas: his promised referendum on independence and his drive to cut Catalonia's high deficit.




    and.....



    http://elpais.com/elpais/2012/11/23/inenglish/1353700228_287157.html


    Just two days ahead of regional elections in Catalonia, Deputy Prime Minister Soraya Sáenz de Santamaría on Friday did nothing to quell the political ruckus raised by a dubious report, which is unsigned, unstamped and not addressed to anyone, suggesting that Catalan premier Artur Mas is corrupt.
    During a news conference after the regular Cabinet meeting, Sáenz de Santamaría was asked five times about the “phantom” draft report insinuating that Mas and former Catalan premier Jordi Pujol have secret bank accounts in Switzerland where they reportedly deposited kickbacks-for contracts money.
    Without mentioning Mas by name, Sáenz de Santamaría said that in line with the government’s current anti-fraud campaign, “the first thing that those who have overseas bank accounts must do is to declare them.”
    Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy was more circumspect. “Allow me not to contribute more to this spectacle,” he said.
    The report does carry a supposed employee number, which has been redacted. But police sources say that no officer would ever include this number in a report without adding their signature and a stamp.
    Sources involved in the case suspect that no one in the National Police’s economic and tax delinquency squad (UDEF) compiled the report. The head of the UDEF, Manuel Vázquez, has already told a judge that he believes no one in his department was responsible for the document.
    The money that Mas and Pujol supposedly received, according to the document, came from the so-called Palau case, in which Mas’ center-right nationalist coalition CiU is alleged to have received kickbacks for awarding contracts.
    However, the details contained in the phantom report do not provide any new information about the Palau case, otherwise this would have been passed on to the investigating judge.
    After a 24-hour investigation, the Interior Ministry confirmed that they had no record of the report, but the content, as reported by Spanish daily El Mundo, contained information about the case from the internet and from other minutes.
    Vázquez corroborated comments by the Interior Ministry to the effect that the report appeared to have been drawn up outside normal procedures of the UDEF.
    The existence of the draft report was announced last week by El Mundo, just 10 days ahead of the Catalan regional elections, due to take place on November 25.
    Mas has attributed the furor sparked by the report to a ploy of the “sewers” of the state to try to influence the outcome of the elections, in which the CiU is hoping to garner an absolute majority in order to push ahead with plans to hold a referendum on independence for Catalonia. Opinion polls suggest Mas will fall short of what he needs.

    http://elpais.com/elpais/2012/11/21/inenglish/1353521419_889882.html



    Mystery continues to surround the origin of a draft police report that suggests senior members of the CiU Catalan nationalist coalition — including current regional premier Artur Mas, Mas’ father, and the center-right bloc’s founder Jordi Pujol, who governed the region for 23 years — have been involved in fraudulent activities. The daily El Mundohas been picking over the purported document since last Friday.
    The report, which is not being used as part of any investigation, according to the Interior Ministry, was supposedly drawn up by the Fiscal and Economic Crime Unit (UDEF). Its contents supposedly contain allegations that Mas and Pujol profited from illicit commissions granted through the Palau de la Música concert hall in Barcelona. The ministry has suggested that it may have been an extracurricular undertaking leaked to the media. Mas has accused the government of waging a “dirty war” against him ahead of regional elections in Catalonia on November 25.
    According to the government, the document does not officially exist. The Interior Ministry, however, while admitting that the report is “irregular,” says that the majority of the claims it makes come from “scattered material” accumulated during the 2009 Palau Case investigation into alleged corruption at the concert hall. A Treasury investigation into the director of the Fundació Palau de la Música-Orfeó Català, Fèlix Millet, and his right-hand man Jordi Muntull, alleges that 24 million euros were skimmed from money granted to the Palau to stage performances and maintain its choir. A separate inquiry was opened when evidence emerged that some of this money was diverted to the Democratic Convergence of Catalonia (CDC) political grouping — part of the CiU coalition on which Pujol sits as president and Mas as general secretary — through the bloc’s Ramon Trias Fargas Foundation.
    Police and Treasury reports accuse the construction company Ferrovial of paying commissions for public works contracts to the government of Pujol. The company is alleged to have awarded vast sums of money to the Palau under the guise of patronage, money that in reality funded illicit commissions for contracts to build Barcelona’s Cuidad de la Justicia courthouses and Line 9 of the city’s Metro. Millet acted as intermediary for the payments, which represented four percent of the total; 2.5 percent went to the CDC and 1.5 percent to Millet, Montull and their associates.
    The material supposedly contained in the phantom document includes judicial reports on the case written between 2001 and 2012, but these make no mention of Mas, his father or Pujol. The new information, according to the ministry, derives from other paperwork connected to the investigation: anonymous police minutes and statements by informers.
    The last official UDEF report into illicit financing of the CDC through the Palau was filed in May but does not directly accuse “political leaders or their direct family members.” The phantom document, though, states that the cut from Millet’s machinations also included payments to “the personal accounts of the leaders” of the party; Mas, Pujol and the serving interior chief Felipe Puig. According to El Mundo, the document also accuses the Mossos d’Esquadra police force of hiding the existence of an anonymous letter that includes “very sensitive data and documents related to the Pujol family and Artur Mas.” This document apparently contains information about commissions allegedly paid to Mas’ father in Liechtenstein, part of which was later diverted to Mas. The accounts contained two million euros and Mas senior has also confessed to holding a Swiss account with a similar figure. The police say that “no operation exists that can justify such an amount of money.”
    The judge investigating the case has rejected the validity of the phantom document and last Friday said that he “did not know of its existence.” He has not ordered any further investigation into alleged illegal financing of CDC and reminded the UDEF that “it cannot bring any investigation to a head without the mandate of a judge.”
    Mas and Pujol have launched legal action against El Mundo for publishing the information.





    http://www.aljazeera.com/news/europe/2012/11/2012112419512707723.html

    Polls open in snap vote for Spain's Catalonia

    Regional poll may set stage for secession from Spain for northeastern region, the country's largest.
    Last Modified: 25 Nov 2012 08:42
    Polls have opened in Catalonia for a snap election that could pave the way for Spain's largest region to gain statehood.

    Artur Mas, the Catalan president, has promised 5.4 million voters he will hold a referendum on self-determination if he wins a mandate.Al Jazeera's Tim Friend, reporting from Barcelona, said Sunday's vote "could be a step into the unknown" and that the crisis in Spain's economy was pushing the Catalans to seek self-determination.

    He said a huge match was held in September to mark Catalonia's national day and that Catalans signalled they were ready to secede from Spain.
    Mas called the poll two years early after failing to negotiate a new financial deal with Madrid, which would have given officials greater autonomy over taxation.
    "This decision [is] for our self determination, our freedom and, I hope, our own state within the free nations of Europe and the rest of the world," Mas said.
    "This decision, and this is the great compromise, will be taken by the Catalan people during the next four years."
    Referendum promised
    With 135 parliamentary seats available in Sunday's regional elections, Mas' centre-right Catalan Nationalist Coalition (CiU) is ahead in the polls.
    Some in Catalonia feel that the weak national economy is having a negative effect on the northeastern region's financial stability.
    The CiU has made independence from Spain a central issue and Mas' rallies have bristled with European Union flags, with the 56-year-old politician expressing optimism that an independent Catalonia would be swiftly embraced by the 27-nation bloc.
    "It will be convenient for the European Union, because from day one of membership Catalonia would be a net contributor," said journalist and political consultant Antoni Maria Pique.
    "It is a good deal for the European Union. I think that in Brussels they would try to persuade Spain it should not block the development of the European Union over issues of pride and nationalism."
    Nationhood
    Some of Catalonia's 7.5 million people already see it as a separate nation, with its own language and culture.
    "We sold on September 11 (Catalonia's national day) more than we had sold during the previous eight years," said textile shop owner Margarita Bascompte. 
    "We sold a lot. An awful lot. We sold to order. And our fabric supplier collapsed because of so many orders. He had to manufacture a lot more to cope with the demand."
    But not everyone in the region, which already holds a degree of autonomy under Spain's federal system of governance, agrees with the move for further independence.
    Albert Rivera, a candidate representing Ciutadan, a Spanish nationalist party opposed to Catalan independence, said "co-existence" should be defended.
    "People from the pro-independence side say that those of us who defend the union with Spain within the European Union give a speech of fear," he said.
    "And of course we do, because we feel fear. [Fear about] a president that has said he will ignore the constitution and any legal ruling and that nobody will stop him. All this in a democratic country obviously will cause you fear. We want to defend co-existence and we will try to avoid the Catalan citizenship being divided in two classes. We don't want Catalonia to slip away from the rest of Spain. We want to build bridges, not raise fences."
    EU membership
    Catalonians say they contribute $21bn more to the Spanish exchequer than they get back, yet infrastructure spending from Madrid goes to poorer regions, while projects such as the Mediterranean rail corridor are left unfunded.
    Opponents say that prosperity will fade if - as is possible - Spain were to veto any EU membership application by an independent Catalonia and the uncertainty will drive out many businesses.
    A survey published by El Pais newspaper this month showed that nearly half of Catalans support independence, but the number falls to 37 per cent if it means dropping out of the EU.
    Sunday's poll comes as Spain's armed Basque separatist group ETA said it was ready to discuss disbanding with the French and Spanish authorities if certain conditions were met.
    The group, which last year said it had abandoned violence after a four-decade campaign for an independent homeland in southern France and northern Spain resulted in the deaths of more than 800 lives, said one outstanding issue was the transfer of Basque prisoners to jails closer to home.






    and.....






    http://rt.com/news/catalonia-elects-new-parliament-485/


    Catalonia votes: President-elect to mull secession from Spain



    Catalonians are voting in the new parliamentary elections that could be the first step towards a referendum on independence from Spain. The incumbent president has called for a snap election, and promised to hold a vote on secession if reelected.
    Catalonians cite financial troubles as one of the main reasons for wanting to secede from Spain. 
    Catalans started voting at 9:00am local time (08:00 GMT). Polling stations across the region will close their doors at eight in the evening (1900 GMT) with exit polls expected to be announced shortly afterwards.
    More than 5 million people are eligible to vote for candidates for the 135-seat Catalan parliament.
    Recent polls showed that a majority of Catalans strongly support, and would vote for, parties that want the region to become independent from Spain.
    Catalan President Artur Mas and his center-right Convergence and Union party (CIU) is predicted to win 62 to 64 seats in Parliament. But in order to hold a majority in regional assembly, his coalition needs at least 68 seats.
    Currently, Catalonia is paying Madrid around 16 billion euro a year more in taxes than it gets back from the central government, which has insisted that public services endure austerity cuts. These measures are in turn blamed as a cause of the Catalonia region's deficit and debt issues. 
    Artur Mas, president and leader of the center-right Convergence and Union Party (CIU) has called for an early election in September after Barcelona and Madrid failed to reach agreement on a new tax scheme.
    Artur Mas, current President of Catalonia and leader of the CiU (Catalan Convergence and Unity party) gestures at the end of a final meeting for his re-election campaign on November 23, 2012.(AFP Photo / Lluis Gene) Artur Mas, current President of Catalonia and leader of the CiU (Catalan Convergence and Unity party) gestures at the end of a final meeting for his re-election campaign on November 23, 2012.(AFP Photo / Lluis Gene)
    The Catalan government asked for the right to set and collect the region's tax rates, instead of sending the money to Madrid.
    Catalonia currently owes around 40 billion euro in debt, which has forced regional authorities to introduce spending cuts in healthcare and education.
    Catalonia is an autonomous region of Spain. It consists of four provinces: Barcelona, Girona, Lleida, and Tarragona. Catalonia has a population over 7.5 million, and its capital is Barcelona.
    “The economic crisis in southern Europe has been a catalyst of this movement. And people in Catalonia feel they have the capital and resources to be better off if we are not part of Spain and there is a lot of economic research that shows this,” for CIU Party spokesperson Marc Guerrero told RT. 
    Catalonia is one of Spain’s wealthiest regions, producing one-fifth of the country’s economic output. 
    “This is not fair, we are the ones doing our best economically and we cannot have all the weight of the austerity measures when it is the central government that is doing all the spending and not in the best way,” Guerrero added.
    Catalonian anger at Madrid’s policies sparked the country's biggest separatist rally since the 1970s, with 1.5 million people coming out on September 11, Catalonian National Day. The mass protest led Mas to shift his party's official position on independence to "Let the people decide."
     Supporters of independence for Catalonia demonstrate on September 11, 2012.(AFP Photo / Josep Lago)Supporters of independence for Catalonia demonstrate on September 11, 2012.(AFP Photo / Josep Lago)
    Catalan flags can now be seen hanging from balconies throughout Barcelona, reflecting a growing desire for regional autonomy and a drive to break away the central government, Andrew Farmer reported from the region.
    However, the proposed referendum violates the Spanish constitution, and secession from Spain could also mean dropping out of the European Union. Anti-separatists believe it could do more harm than good.
    “Separatism for Catalonia would be an economic disaster. Multinational companies locate in Barcelona for access to the Spanish market and being in the EU. That would be lost. And uncertainty is the last thing the economy needs during this current economic crisis,”
    Catalonia’ Citizens Party spokesperson Jordi Canas told RT.
    Polling suggests that Artur Mas will win reelection, but may not win a majority of votes. Either way, unemployment, financial instability and the austerity measures imposed by Madrid have led 46.4% of Catalans to support independence, according to a recent survey. That number is twice as many as before the ongoing financial crisis began four years ago.
    Some prominent figures in Spain argue that secession is illegal, and could lead to a Spanish civil war.
     Leader of Catalan party ERC (Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya – Republican Left from Catalonia) Oriol Junqueras reacts during a final campaign meeting on November 23, 2012 in Girona.(AFP Photo / Quique Garcia)Leader of Catalan party ERC (Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya – Republican Left from Catalonia) Oriol Junqueras reacts during a final campaign meeting on November 23, 2012 in Girona.(AFP Photo / Quique Garcia)
    The president of the Spanish Military Association, Colonel Leopoldo Sánchez, suggested to Dutch television channel Niewsur that Spain has the right “to declare a state of war” over threats of separatism.
    Catalan members of parliament condemned the rhetoric, calling it “inconceivable,”“fascistic” and “war-time arguments.”
    No matter the outcome, the talk of secession could trigger a deterioration of relations between Barcelona and Madrid, political analyst Paolo Raffone told RT.
    “Of course the constitution does not allow separatism, the outcome is quite unpredictable. I would say that whatever the outcome will be at the end, the relationship between Barcelona and Madrid will be at strain and they risk even to become violent,” he said. “Catalonia is, anyway, key industrial area in Spain and it is the only one that can eventually compete itself with the rest of Europe,” Raffone added.
    Supporters of independence for Catalonia hold a major march to mark the Spanish region′s official day, amid growing protests over Spain′s financial crisis which has driven it to seek aid from the central government during the Catalonian National Day (Diada) on September 11, 2012 in Barcelona.(AFP Photo / Josep Lago)Supporters of independence for Catalonia hold a major march to mark the Spanish region's official day, amid growing protests over Spain's financial crisis which has driven it to seek aid from the central government during the Catalonian National Day (Diada) on September 11, 2012 in Barcelona.(AFP Photo / Josep Lago)

    No comments:

    Post a Comment