Lloyds TSB and Halifax customers unable to access cash
Lloyds spokeswoman acknowledges a 'systems error' but cannot say how many customers are affected or when it will be resolved
http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/2012-10-04/incredibly-ballooning-bailout-cyprus
The Incredibly Ballooning Bailout Of Cyprus
Submitted by testosteronepit on 10/04/2012 23:27 -0400
- Corruption
- European Central Bank
- Eurozone
- Greece
- Gross Domestic Product
- International Monetary Fund
- Saudi Arabia
- Unemployment
Wolf Richter www.testosteronepit.com
Cypriot President Christofias dug in his heels. On Greek TV. Not behind closed doors with the Troika, the austerity gang from the European Commission, the IMF, and the ECB that have performed such miracles in Greece. But as Cyprus veers toward bankruptcy, his game of playing the Russians against the Troika has fallen apart, banks are in worse condition than imagined, and the bailout amounts jumped again. How can a tiny country get in so much trouble in such a short time?
The real-estate and construction bubble, fed by corruption and abetted by banks, burst two years ago. Home sales and prices have collapsed. Some 130,000 homeowners (in a country of 840,000 souls) are tangled up in a nationwide title-deed scandal [Another Eurozone Country Bites the Dust]. The Troika estimated that 50,000 homes would be dumped on the market—though only 4,876 homes were sold during the first nine months of the year! Losses have gutted banks. Unemployment has reached record levels. And the construction industry, once a major employer, is being annihilated.
The index of building contracts, after a two-year downhill slide, has reached the lowest point in its history, and “activity is expected to continue dropping,” lamented the Federation of Associations of Building Contractors (OSEOK). Contractors are going out of business. Over the last four months, the morass has deepened. And now there are only enough pending construction projects for seven months, and after that, there are no projects.
Locked out from the financial markets since early summer 2011, Cyprus was bailed out by Russia last November with a €2.5 billion loan. In June, as the banks began to topple under a mountain of Greek debt and rotting mortgages, Cyprus asked for a bailout. The Troika took a look and figured €6 billion for the banks and €4 billion for the government. €10 billion in total. Alas, in August, Central Bank Governor Panicos Demetriades told parliament that the banksalone would need €12 billion! And the rumor consensus has settled on €15 billion for both the banks and the government.
Then Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov spilled the beans last week: Cyprus would indeed seek a €15 billion bailout from the Troika, and an additional €5 billion from Russia, for a total of €20 billion. A vertigo-inducing 107% of GDP.
But he cautioned that Russia and the Troika would need to coordinate the loans—thus throwing a monkey wrench into Christofias’ efforts to use the negotiations with Russia as a lever against the Troika to get a better deal and more lenient conditions.
Conditions that the Troika had already spelled out in a memorandum. Which was promptly leaked. It included measures that would make Cyprus a more efficient and competitive economy. Cypriots have seen how well that has worked in Greece. So, a whackat the bloated public sector: privatization of state-owned enterprises, a 15% cut in the public payroll by the end of 2013, a 10% cut in benefits, elimination of the automatic Cost of Living Adjustments (CoLA) that index salaries to inflation, and an increase of contributions to pension plans. The CoLA elimination would also hit unionized private sector employees, as would the elimination of the 13th month salary.
“You cannot tell someone they won’t receive a 13th salary. It automatically means you paralyze the market” declared communist President Christofias during the TV interview yesterday. “I can assure you, I will not sign any memorandum which scraps CoLA. The same applies to two or three other measures.” Hence, no privatizations, no public sector payroll reductions.... But he also made some sense: “What happened with the banks was a crime,” he said.
He would, however, try to cooperate with the Troika. “We aren’t just saying ‘no’ to them,” he added. “We are giving them counterproposals.” His cabinet met on Wednesday to finalize them. They focus apparently on a VAT increase, a luxury car tax, sin taxes on cigarettes and alcohol, disincentives for public sector workers to take early retirement, and a 5% wage cut for those earning over €1,500—the mindboggling phenomenon of a government cutting private sector pay plans is something we have already seen in Greece.
Yet, Cyprus has something that Greece and other Eurozone debt-sinners don’t have: lots of Russians with money. The island has become an offshore haven for their businesses, and the money-flows are staggering. For that amazing twist to the bailout story, read.... The Russian Connection.
And here is a thought: there is little that would rock the oil world more than a revolution in Saudi Arabia. And with a coming leadership crisis, it is becoming all too likely. Read.... Why an Islamic Revolution in Saudi Arabia Is a Surefire Way to Send Oil to $300 a Barrel.
and.....
http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-10-04/eu-said-to-doubt-viability-of-spain-s-2013-deficit-cut-target
While European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said yesterday the ECB is ready to start buying bonds of sovereigns that qualify for aid, officials from Spain, Germany and now the EU have damped expectations of a rescue this week. Rajoy on Oct. 2 denied reports a rescue request would come this week. Economy Minister Luis de Guindos last night said no bailout was needed.
There’s “a potential slowdown in Spain’s application for a European program,” Thomas Costerg, an economist at Standard Chartered Bank in London, said yesterday by e-mail. “There is a rising fear that the 2013 budget and the stress tests may have been some sort of window dressing to get European assistance.”
Olli Rehn, the European commissioner in charge of policing budget rules, told Spanish officials their plans to reduce the shortfall to 4.5 percent of gross domestic product next year are based on excessively optimistic assumptions about economic growth, two people familiar with the issue said. Central bank governor Luis Maria Linde, who met Rehn on his Oct. 1 visit to Madrid, echoed that view in comments to lawmakers yesterday.
Bonds Climb
Spanish bonds rose for the first day in three, with the 10- year yield falling 13 basis points to 5.77 percent as of 12:09 p.m. in Madrid. The spread to German bunds narrowed 17 points to 429 points while the differential over Italian debt closed by 5 points.
Spain’s 2013 budget assumes the economy will shrink 0.5 percent, less than the 1.3 percent median contraction predicted by 21 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Linde, the Bank of Spain chief, said targets were “certainly optimistic” in testimony to the parliament’s budget committee.
“The macroeconomic assumptions underlying the budget shouldn’t be a source of uncertainty and lack of credibility,” Deputy Finance Minister Fernando Jimenez Latorre argued when he took his turn in front of the committee today.
Latorre said a larger-than-expected contraction next year won’t affect Spain’s ability to meet its budget commitments. Spain is still analyzing the possibility of asking for a bailout even though the procedures involved are “complex,” he added.
More Austerity
Weaker economic performance would widen the deficit, forecast at 6.3 percent of GDP in 2012, forcing the government to impose more austerity or plead for a looser target. Spain has been let out of its 2013 commitments before. European governments in July raised the deficit target from 3 percent.
Linde urged Rajoy to prepare additional austerity measures to ensure Spain meets the deficit obligations, which may determine whether EU officials grant financial support.
“Given the importance of achieving this, additional measures that would make it possible should be considered,” the governor said.
The 2013 budget, released Sept. 27, included the fifth set of tax increases and spending cuts since Rajoy took office in December. Public opposition has grown fiercer each time, climaxing last week with two days of protests in Madrid.
Already tapping 100 billion euros ($130 billion) in aid to overhaul its banks, Spain is considering a broader European support package to shore up the government’s finances.
The ECB’s offer of unlimited bond purchases “helped to alleviate tensions over the past few weeks,” Draghi said yesterday after the monthly meeting of the ECB’s governing council. “Now it’s really in the hands of governments.”
and trading " technical issues " today........
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-10-05/trading-halted-again-all-nyse-liffe-commodities
Trading Halted (Again) On All NYSE Liffe Commodities
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/05/2012 09:05 -0400
For the second time this week, NYSE Liffe has halted all London Commodities, Paris Commodities, and London Universal Stock Futures trading - due to a 'technical issue'. Simply remarkable...
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-10-05/indias-stock-exchange-closes-after-state-bank-flash-crash
India's Stock Exchange 'Closes' After State Bank 'Flash-Crash'
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/05/2012 01:01 -0400
Greek leader Antonis Samaras told a German paper in an interview published on Friday his country could not manage beyond November without the next tranche of international aid and suggested the ECB could help by easing the terms of its Greek debt holdings.
"The key is liquidity. That is why the next credit tranche is so important for us,» Samaras told the business daily Handelsblatt. Asked how long Greece could manage without it, he said: «Until the end of November. Then the cash box is empty."
The European Central Bank could help by accepting lower interest rates on its existing Greek debt holdings «or it could approve a rollover when these bonds mature», he said.
"I could also imagine the recapitalization of Greek banks as is being considered for Spain, which would be not accounted for on its state debts but carried out directly via the ESM. That would be a significant relief,» said Samaras.
However, in a press conference on Thursday, ECB president Mario Draghi said that a rollover of the Greek debt held by the central bank would be considered “monetary financing” of Greece and therefore against the lender’s regulations.
In his interview with Handelsblatt, Samaras also stressed the fragile political and social situation in Greece, likening it to Germany’s Weimar Republic.
The prime minister stressed the importance of high unemployment and the rise of neofascist Golden Dawn as destabilizing factors.
"Greek democracy is perhaps facing its biggest challenge,» he said.
Samaras said that if the coalition government fails in its task, “chaos awaits” for the country.
The premier also suggested that Chancellor Angela Merkel is “always welcome” to visit Athens. “We greatly appreciate that Germany and the Europeans are helping us at this difficult time,” he said.
While we have grown accustomed to the daily gyrations on mega-volume in the US equity markets, it seems the HFT-virus has spread as far afield as India this evening. India's National Stock Exchange was halted - with no price dissemination - as State Bank of India plunged over 14% in seconds on massive relative volume (and HDFC and Infosys also fell), dragging the Nifty Index down 3%. Of course, the 'error' is being investigated and SBIN has recovered its losses...
- *STATE BANK OF INDIA SHARES FALL 14% ON NATIONAL STOCK EXCHANGE
- *INDIA'S NIFTY INDEX EXTENDS DECLINE TO 2.8%
- *NATIONAL STOCK EXCHANGE SAYS VERIFYING SOURCE OF PRICE ERROR
- *NATIONAL STOCK EXCHANGE SAYS NIFTY INDEX LEVELS NOT UPDATING
- *INDIA'S NATIONAL STOCK EXCHANGE RESUMES TRADING
- *INDIA'S SENSEX INDEX ERASES LOSS; GAINS 0.3% IN MUMBAI
- *INDIA'S NSE SAYS `LOOKING INTO' THE FREAK TRADE
Sigh!
State Bank Of India - oops!
State Bank of India (smaller crash) close-up...
Source: Bloomberg
and.....
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/debt-crisis-live/9588503/Debt-crisis-live.html
11.20 Is the German powerhouse losing steam? Economy ministry figures out this morning show that industry orders fell more than forecast in August. Economists polled by Reuters had expected a fall of 0.5pc, but they fell 1.3pc month-on-month. On the year, they fell 4.8pc.
11.11 Ireland's central bank has said today that the government should speed up its recovery programme, arguing that this would encourage a faster recovery in the economy and the jobs market.
The central bank said Ireland's success so far in meeting the targets under its EU/IMF bailout means it does not need to increase the scale of the cutbacks. But, it added that accelerating the pace could be helpful:
Meeting these targets has helped Ireland to go some way towards re-establishing its reputation for credible policymaking and, in turn, has contributed significantly to lowering Irish bond yields.
...[But] there is a case for getting the adjustment over more quickly. This would shorten the already lengthy period of uncertainty which has been bad in itself and has doubtless slowed investment and other spending plans.
The central bank cut its forecast for 2012 gross domestic product growth to 0.5pc from the 0.7pc it estimated three months ago.
10.34 Another meeting is in the offing. Angela Merkel is apparently due to fly to Athens on Tuesday to meet Antonis Samaras; topics they will cover include Greece, the eurozone and bilateral relations.
10.27 Given the French statistics' office halving its growth forecast for this year to 0.2pc (see 08.32), M&G's comment on the 'toxic French economic cocktail' seems especially pertinent.
Jim Leaviss of M&G writes about several ingredients in that cocktail, including that German growth has tended to be stronger than French growth over recent years; France looks more like periphery than core on its current account deficit; Spanish and Greek labour costs are adjusting, but France looks uncompetitive.
Here's his graph illustrating France's current account deficit versus Netherlands, Germany, Italy and Spain:
He writes about the challenging French fiscal outlook:
Delivering growth (or defaulting) has always been the most successful method of reducing government indebtedness, and even an optimistic 2% per year real growth rate (pencilled in by the government from 2014) doesn’t deliver a significant reduction in the debt to GDP ratio – certainly the 40% to 50% level that we used to associate with a AAA rated economy seems a long way away.
It may be that the aggressive tightening in French government bond yields to those of AAA rated (for the time being) Germany has gone far enough. There are plenty of economic and social buy-in risks to come for France – let us not forget that Spain’s Rajoy was also elected on a platform of fiscal consolidation, and it took less than a year for its population to change its mind about that.
10.04 Those eurozone officials have been vocal this morning. A senior eurozone official also said that the EU summit on October 18 to 19 will not take any decisions on Greece because the preparatory work on Greek reforms will not be ready by then. "I am extremely confident there will be no such decisions at the summit," he said.
09.37 Luis de Guindos' assertion that Spain "does not need a bailout at all" (see 08.08) sparked laughter when the country's finance minister addressed students at the London School of Economics last night. CNBC has the full story on the bailout giggles here.
But, he has been (partly) vindicated by a senior eurozone official today who said that a request from the Spanish government for a bailout is "not imminent". He added that market conditions do not call for any bailout programme from Spain.
09.03 There is speculation this morning that two of Greece's biggest banks are in talks over a merger. Reuters cites a report on news website To Vima, which suggests that such a deal would have the blessing of the Greek government and Bank of Greece.
To Vima reported that another option could be a triple-merger of National Bank, Eurobank and small state-controlled lender, Hellenic Postbank.
08.44 Figures out from Spain's National Statistics Institute show that the country's industrial output slipped 3.2pc in August, marking the 12th straight month of slowing production.
08.32 Late last night, France's national statistics institute halved its growth forecast for this year to 0.2pc.
The French economy is stuck in neutral, said the head of INSEE's forecasting unit Cedric Audenis.
"It is not in 'drive' like the United States, but neither 'in reverse' like the eurozone overall" which is in recession, he added.
08.15 Greek premier, Antonis Samaras, has given a stark interview to Handelsblatt today. The German version is here and the Google translate version in English is here.
In a "dramatic" interview, he compared his country's situation with the Weimar Republic and warned of the consequences of unemployment for democracy.
He added that society "as a whole" was threatened by the extreme left-wing populists and "by what has occurred in our country than ever before: the rise of a right-wing extremist, one might say fascist, neo-Nazi party".
Samaras warned that his country could not endure many more deep cuts, saying the "previous cuts already go to the bone".
Reuters has some more details on his interview. They have taken the line that Samaras warned that his country could not manage beyond November without the next tranche of international aid and suggested the ECB could help by easing the terms of its Greek debt holdings. Reuterswrites:
"The key is liquidity. That is why the next credit tranche is so important for us," Samaras told the business daily Handelsblatt. Asked how long Greece could manage without it, he said: "Until the end of November. Then the cash box is empty."
The European Central Bank could help by accepting lower interest rates on its existing Greek debt holdings "or it could approve a rollover when these bonds mature", he said.
08.11 Mr de Guindos's speech was interrupted by a small group of protesters chanting: "They are not representing us" as they unfurled a banner saying: "Spain for Sale":
A member of the audience asks a question as protesters chant slogans against Spain's government at the London School of Economics on Thursday (Photo: AP).
08.08 Spain doesn't need a bail-out "at all". Those were the words of Spanish economy minister Luis de Guindos last night as he addressed an audience at the London School of Economics.
Mr de Guindos added:
We are going to take all the correct steps over the next months [...] I would not undervalue the political will of the members of the eurozone.
and......
http://www.ekathimerini.com/4dcgi/_w_articles_wsite1_15805_05/10/2012_464693
Samaras raises alarm about lack of liquidity, threat to democracy
"The key is liquidity. That is why the next credit tranche is so important for us,» Samaras told the business daily Handelsblatt. Asked how long Greece could manage without it, he said: «Until the end of November. Then the cash box is empty."
The European Central Bank could help by accepting lower interest rates on its existing Greek debt holdings «or it could approve a rollover when these bonds mature», he said.
"I could also imagine the recapitalization of Greek banks as is being considered for Spain, which would be not accounted for on its state debts but carried out directly via the ESM. That would be a significant relief,» said Samaras.
However, in a press conference on Thursday, ECB president Mario Draghi said that a rollover of the Greek debt held by the central bank would be considered “monetary financing” of Greece and therefore against the lender’s regulations.
In his interview with Handelsblatt, Samaras also stressed the fragile political and social situation in Greece, likening it to Germany’s Weimar Republic.
The prime minister stressed the importance of high unemployment and the rise of neofascist Golden Dawn as destabilizing factors.
"Greek democracy is perhaps facing its biggest challenge,» he said.
Samaras said that if the coalition government fails in its task, “chaos awaits” for the country.
The premier also suggested that Chancellor Angela Merkel is “always welcome” to visit Athens. “We greatly appreciate that Germany and the Europeans are helping us at this difficult time,” he said.
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