Wednesday, July 18, 2012

Bank of America releases its earnings - courtesy of reserve release.....


BofA Reports $2.5 BN Net Income On $1.9 BN Reserve Release, Private Repurchase Request Claims Soar

Tyler Durden's picture




There were several numbers one should focus on today's Bank of America earnings release. They were not the Net Income EPS ($0.19 which beat estimates of $0.15), the Income before income taxes of $3.4 billion, nor Revenue net of interest expense ($21.968 which missed expectations of $22.71 billion). Here are the numbers that did matter: Loan Loss Reserve Release $1.9b billion, or 56% of pretax net income, Sales And Trading Revenue exluding DVA plunged by $1.9 billion from Q1 to $3.3 billion (and by $263 million from a year ago), and most importantly, counterparty claims by coutnerparties for Reps and Warranties purposes (remember those? the realization of their size caused the stock to plummet last August) soared from $16.1 billion to $22.7 billion sequentially: the highest it has ever been, even as the company only took a $395 million provision against losses, and the ending Rep and Warranties balance was $16 billion (driven by nearly a doubling in Private repurchase request claims from $4.9 billion to $8.6 billion!), or well below the potential outstanding claims. BAC is now reserve deficient by about $6.7 billion! Considering the company's settlement with Syncora yesterday, and imminent settlement with MBIA this may be a tiny problem.
BofA Sales and Trading revenues implode as equity trading dries out, but a big collapse sequentially in the far more profitable Fixed Income.

Reserve release, at 56% of pretax Net Income, says why Net Income is completely meaningless.


And how BofA is once again very much underreserved: Why did private claims surge? "Increases in private-label new claims are primarily related to repurchase requests received from trustees on private-label securitization transactions not included in the BNY Mellon settlement, including claims related to third-party sponsored securitizations that include monoline insurance." The bank is once again largely underreserved.

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