Germany......
Europe Elects @EuropeElects
Another political earthquake in the making.
@suranie
Turnout up nearly 10 points in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern compared to 2011
Merkel's CDU beaten by anti-immigrant AfD in 4th fed state election since refugee crisis. http://reut.rs/2cc2jOw
Interesting item ! Source of Afd votes today...
#Germany regional elex #MecklenburgVorpommern projection:
SPD 30,5 %
AfD 21 %
CDU 19 %
Linke 12,5 %
Grüne 5 %
NPD 3,5 %
FDP 3 %
CDU faces backlash Sunday, AfD expects major gains - a year after Merkel opened the borders to refugees.
Will AfD beat Merkel's CDU Sunday - in her home state ?
Day of reckoning in
State election a test of #Merkel's refugee policy http://dw.com/p/1JvOo
Good morning from Berlin that could be rocked by federal state elections in Mecklenburg. http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/german-nationalists-seek-gains-merkels-political-base-41841901 …
Takeaways to consider A) Merkel "an agreement is likely still several weeks away." B) Turkey's stance re: VFT ( by Oct ) unchanged.
@fredwalton216 C) Welt am Sonntag reported on Sunday that Turkey now says it is willing to accept the liberalization deal with the EU 2
@fredwalton216 by the end of the year instead of October - Turkey says this is unsourced false rumor. 3
Merkel, Erdogan held 'constructive' talks at G20 http://dw.com/p/1JvUJ
Kurds protest in Germany against Erdogan and Turkey...
Thousands of Kurds in Germany rally ‘against dictatorship & for equality’ http://dw.com/p/1JvP8?tw
Chancellor Merkel still says Turkey must fulfill all 72 preconditions to get visa-free travel for its citizens.
Greece.....
Alternate Migration Min Mouzalas Announces Transfer of Refugees to Mainland from Greek Islands http://dlvr.it/MBLQNy #Greece
Meeting of Southern European Countries in Athens on Friday http://dlvr.it/MBLQRB #Greece
Reminder: the first #Eurogroup meeting of the season to take place on Friday, September 9th. #Greece is on top of the agenda. Should be fun.
#Greece - Economic disaster: Tourist arrivals in Chios tumble 76,32% during August http://www.tornosnews.gr/en/tornos/trends/18253-tourist-arrivals-in-chios-tumble-76-32-during-august.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter …
Gov’t reform speed dents EU trust http://dlvr.it/MBFnZ5
Supporting my argument that this is an ongoing economic depression in Greece https://notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com/2016/09/02/the-greek-economic-depression-continues-to-the-sound-of-silence/ …
If programme is implemented as
agreed, the expectations are that #Greece can return to the market next year, #ESM head Regling tells @ta_nea
If programme is implemented as
agreed, the expectations are that #Greece can return to the market next year, #ESM head Regling tells @ta_nea
#Greece may submit MTFS in the same period w/ '17 draft budget (Oct 3) retaining 2019-20 fiscal targets at 3.5% of GDP (via @kathimerini_gr)
Manos Giakoumis @ManosGiakoumis
Libya....
Omer Aswad joins UN-installed PC as it continues debate in its HQ in Abu Sittah Naval Base to pick a new cabinet
HoR political advisor: Pres. Council has violated #Libya political agreement on 71 occasions
http://alwasat.ly/ar/news/libya/116809/ …
The dialogue meeting in Tunis tomorrow is going to be extra complicated. Some of the boycotting members are returning to make a point #Libya
A new round of dialogue sessions in Tunis set to start tomorrow. PM Faeiz Serraj will be present. No sign of new GNA cabinet list yet #Libya
HoR president appoints new Libya Dialogue committee ahead of fresh Dialogue meetings ... - https://www.libyaherald.com/2016/09/04/hor-president-appoints-new-libya-dialogue-committee-ahead-of-fresh-dialogue-meetings-in-tunis/ …
#Libya forces take over #ISIS' largest explosive manufacturing & storage facility in #Sirte
http://alwasat.ly/ar/news/libya/116829/ …
Libya unity govt forces make progress, say 4 #ISIS fighters surrender only 100 left in Sirte
http://alwasat.ly/ar/news/libya/116810/ …
#Libya NOC chief Sanalla: PFG/Jadran forces massively overstated (1000 men max) and not reopening oil infrastructure https://www.libyaherald.com/2016/09/04/sanalla-suggests-direct-oil-income-for-noc-accuses-pfg-of-massive-numbers-exaggeration/ …
Sanalla suggests direct oil income for NOC, accuses PFG of massive numbers exaggeration - https://www.libyaherald.com/2016/09/04/sanalla-suggests-direct-oil-income-for-noc-accuses-pfg-of-massive-numbers-exaggeration/ …
Great read on another dangerous facet of failed gov't leadership in Libya...
Fire destroys prominent Tripoli café - https://www.libyaherald.com/2016/09/04/fire-destroys-prominent-tripoli-cafe/ …
Syria.....
Buffer zone has allegedly been achieved between Azaz & Jarablus.
BREAKING Turkish Armed Forces have confirmed #Azaz-#Jarablus front liberated from #ISIS. #EuphratesShield
DAILY SABAH
UPDATE — Daesh loses all territory along Syria-Turkey border http://sabahdai.ly/ePE2kO pic.twitter.com/3j3Ggnb7Ww
#ISIS has lost its last direct official access to the Turkish borders
#Aleppo:
All academia have been taken by #Hezbollah now in #Aleppo, closing the circle once again around the city. #Syria.
@EjmAlrai yes. do you inow what elements russia apparently walked back in the deal that the US rejected?
US wants Aleppo demilitarised (rebels+regime). Russia knew Hezbollah is closing the circle before Thursday, rejected the offer. @lrozen
We are still processing data @TheStudyofWar, but it seems #RuAF launched a considerable barrage 2 make regime's re-siege of #Aleppo possible
I don't entirely buy the argument that Iran is driving the Aleppo fight. Russia still playing a sophisticated mil-diplo game in #Syria
Effectively, as of noon today, rebel-held districts in eastern Aleppo are once again under siege.
Turkish-backed FSA forces make rapid gains in N #Aleppo, West of Jarablus & East of Azaz.
May capture whole borderline in nxt 72 hrs. #Syria
ISIS lose swathe of territory to Turkey-backed jihadists, Free Syrian Army
https://aml.ink/geTOw
#Aleppo #MAP UPDATE: Military situation after restoring the entire #Artillery base.
HD: https://wp.me/p77t1Y-mOm
#SAA
Protest in Manjib over Turkey's military incursion....
Kremlin spox: Meeting between obama and putin will take place tomorrow. format still not settled
At 11th hour, US-Russia deal on Syria in jeopardy. @JohnKerry says he'll meet Lavrov Monday to "see if it is possible to bridge the gap"
UPDATE: The U.S. and Russia again failed to reach a deal for a cease-fire in Syria http://bloom.bg/2bLMu1E
Odds & Ends....
UK Gov't aides have fallen victim to spying on previous official trips to China....
As of 8 am, #Hermine still moving ENE. Good news in terms of rain, but dangerous surge & big waves still expected
Life-threatening is life-threatening. It doesn't take a Sandy. Please take this one seriously #Hermine
The Automatic Earth @AutomaticEarth
Negative Interest Rates and the War on Cash (1) | Nicole Foss returns to the #AutomaticEarth
https://www.theautomaticearth.com/2016/09/negative-interest-rates-and-the-war-on-cash-1/ …
#IMF, #WTO and #OECD leaders warn #G20 of risk from populist backlash on trade. http://bloom.bg/2cyOpYR
Don't overestimate G20 as recent summits have had less impact on stock mkts or on volatility over last couple of yrs
Draghi nears his QE3 as #ECB seen relying on ever-more stimulus. http://bloom.bg/2c4i9vM
#Russia's Putin keen to patch together the pieces of an accord for a #oil freeze w/o #Iran. http://www.bloomberg.com/gadfly/articles/2016-09-04/putin-oil-freeze-exemption-for-iran-raises-questions-for-saudis …
SPÖ, the majority partner in the governing grand coalition, is also opposed to both TTIP & CETA deal with Canada.
Here we go...
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