Monday, June 30, 2014

Bulgaria Blues ( June 30 , 2014 ) -- With Bulgaria's banking system already under the threat of bank runs - note they now take their begging bowl to the EU for a bailout of their banking system ! And as they are now formally under the thumb of the EU , how can they not do its biding - whether that means blocking South Stream or whatever else the EU demands ?




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EU APPROVES BULGARIA CREDIT LINE TO STEM BANK RUNS

June 30, 2014
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SOURCE: REUTERS

The European Commission said on Monday it had approved a Bulgarian request to extend a credit line of 3.3 billion levs ($2.30 billion) in support of banks that have come under speculative attack. “The Commission concluded that the state aid implied by the provision of the credit line is proportionate and commensurate with the need to ensure sufficient liquidity in the banking system in the particular circumstances,” the EU executive said in a statement. The statement said Bulgaria’s banking system was “well capitalised and has high levels of liquidity compared to its peers in other member states. For precautionary reasons, Bulgaria has taken this measure to further increase the liquidity and safeguard its financial system”. The move follows runs by jittery depositors on two major Bulgarian commercial banks in the space of a week.



Zero Hedge.....


Europe Gives Bulgaria A Bank System Lifeline As Battle Over "South Stream" Pipeline Heats Up

Tyler Durden's picture





As we reported a week ago, as a result of various political developments (and potentially other reasons, still unknown) the poorest EU country, Bulgaria, suddenly found itself gripped by the worst bank run it has suffered in 17 years, when first its fourth largest bank, Corpbank, was nationalized, followed by a second bank runslamming its third largest bank, Fibank. Promptly thereafter, in an attempt to preserve calm, Bulgaria’s central bank issued a dramatically-worded statement on Friday warning of “an attempt to destabilise the state through an organized attack against Bulgarian banks” coupled with the issuance of €1.5 billion in 10 year bonds at a 3.055% yield, to demonstrate that the country still has access to capital markets (in the biggest bond bubble in history that is a given) and has liquidity.
Alas since that too failed to preserve calm in a country in which even the leader of the opposition (which has every interest in destabilizing the economy) piled on and said the banks are essentially insolvent, Bulgaria resorted to arresting two men who were suspected of involvement in what they have described as an organized attempt to destabilise the country's financial system by encouraging citizens to withdraw bank deposits.
Which brings us to today, when moments ago, Reuters reportsthat the European Commission said on Monday it had approved a Bulgarian request to extend a credit line of 3.3 billion levs ($2.30 billion) in support of banks that have come under speculative attack.
“The Commission concluded that the state aid implied by the provision of the credit line is proportionate and commensurate with the need to ensure sufficient liquidity in the banking system in the particular circumstances,” the EU executive said in a statement.

The statement said Bulgaria’s banking system was “well capitalised and has high levels of liquidity compared to its peers in other member states. For precautionary reasons, Bulgaria has taken this measure to further increase the liquidity and safeguard its financial system”.

The move follows runs by jittery depositors on two major Bulgarian commercial banks in the space of a week.
And while this latest backstop of the Bulgarian bank system should provide a respite from bank insolvency fears (if only for the time being), one wonders.
Recall that as we explained earlier, Bulgaria is the critical first European leg of the Russian "South Stream" pipeline as it emerges from the Black Sea: a pipeline which the European Commission has sternly objected to, yet which Russia recently signed a deal with Austria (which balked at European demands to isolate Russia) to activate.
Which means that with Austria siding with Russia, Europe has to isolate and convert the "feeder" countries, those which the South Stream crosses on its way to central Europe.
Ludicrous? Not really. This is what we reported last week:
Recall that it was in January, two months before the Ukraine government was overthrown that the prime minister of Bulgaria - a country that has a very distinguished love/hate relationship with Russia (a relationship which the US would love to make more "hate") - Plamen Oresharski, surprisingly ordered a halt to work on the South Stream, on the recommendation of the EU. The decision was announced after his talks with US senators.

"At this time there is a request from the European Commission, after which we've suspended the current works, I ordered it,"Oresharski told journalists after meeting with John McCain, Chris Murphy and Ron Johnson during their visit to Bulgaria on Sunday."Further proceedings will be decided after additional consultations with Brussels."

At the time McCain, commenting on the situation, said that "Bulgaria should solve the South Stream problems in collaboration with European colleagues," adding that in the current situation they would want "less Russian involvement" in the project.

"America has decided that it wants to put itself in a position where it excludes anybody it doesn't like from countries where it thinks it might have an interest, and there is no economic rationality in this at all. Europeans are very pragmatic, they are looking for cheap energy resources - clean energy resources, and Russia can supply that. But the thing with the South Stream is that it doesn't fit with the politics of the situation," Ben Aris, editor of Business New Europe told RT.

It was also in January when EU authorities ordered Bulgaria to suspend construction on its link of the pipeline, which is planned to transport Russian natural gas through the Black Sea to Bulgaria and onward to western Europe. Brussels wants the project frozen, pending a decision on whether it violates the EU competition regulations on a single energy market. It believes South Stream does not comply with the rules prohibiting energy producers from also controlling pipeline access.

Therein, of course, lies the rub, because as Europe has learned the hard way so many times, its overrliance on Russia for both the production and the transit of gas means that it has absolutely no leverage over the Kremlin - something recent events in Ukraine have only confirmed.
...
“They do everything to disrupt this contract. There is nothing unusual here. This is an ordinary competitive struggle. In the course of this competition, political tools are also being used,”the Russian president said after holding talks with his Austrian counterpart, President Heinz Fischer, in Vienna.
So, one wonders: will a key condition for this $2.3 billion "rescue" loan be that Bulgaria turn its back on Putin, halt the South Stream permanently, and block any further work on what has suddenly become Europe's most important pipeline alternative - one which makes Ukraine (and all western investment therein) the most irrelevant country in Europe (asexplained earlier today).
One also wonders if the recent escalation of troubles in Bulgaria's banking sector were not, perhaps, Brussels inflicted. After all, who had the most to win from a financial, economic and political crisis in the country?
Finally, one wonders if the above is true, and this is merely the latest act in a play starring Russian gas (as was the case with Syria and Ukraine, and so on) just how much deeper will the Bulgarian crisis will escalate until Europe gets its way, and - alternatively - just when and under what conditions will Putin step in with his own counterproposal? After all the Kremlin already got Crimea and east Ukraine, followed swiftly by the heart of Europe itself: Vienna. What is a small, former USSR satellite country to the former KGB spy?



Fourth Largest Bulgarian Bank Seized After Bank Run: "Let's Not Tear Down Our House" Central Banker Begs

Tyler Durden's picture





The small, impoverished country of Bulgaria may not be in the Eurozone (even though its currency is pegged to the Euro), but it is in the European Union. Which is why we find it surprising that there has been relatively little mention that overnight the fourth largest Bulgarian bank, Corporate Commercial Bank (Corpbank) and which in recent weeks has made headlines due to the political exposure of one of its largest shareholders, was seized by the Bulgarian central bank following what Reuters reports was a run on the bank.
With preserving confidence in the banking system key, and since the small country is not immune from failure unlike its southern neighbor which knows Europe will now never let its banks fail, the central bank promptly took to boosting morale, when its governor Ivan Iskrov begged depositors to stay calm, saying: "Let's not tear down our house."
Reuters also reports that the Bulgarian National Bank said it had taken control of Corpbank's operations for a period of three months and removed its  management and supervisory board, but stressed it was not bankrupt.  A Reuters photographer saw dozens of people queuing outside the main office of the bank in the Bulgarian capital on Friday.
The central bank said the run on the lender was triggered by adverse media reports, and that it acted after receiving information from Corpbank on Friday morning that it had stopped all payments and bank operations due to a liquidity drain.

"As you know, there has been a lot of talk about the bank and one of its shareholders, which triggered bank runs," central bank governor Ivan Iskrov said at a news conference. "It is very important to be very careful when we talk about banks. Let's not tear down our house alone unnecessarily."

"Let me make this very clear. Corporate Commercial Bank is not a bankrupt bank. We are acting swiftly to avoid a bankruptcy," said Iskrov.
Iskrov said the banking system was not so interlinked that Corpbank's situation would affect other commercial banks in the country.
Alas, appeals to keep calm failed when as AP adds, long queues could be seen Friday at the bank's offices as people become worried over media reports about the bank's poor finances. Turns out the media reports were right, although in a world of self-fulfilling prophecies one never knows what came first: the rumor (pardon fact) of insolvency, or the reports surrounding it.
While relatively small by European standards, there are 29 commercial banks operating in Bulgaria and about three quarters of the banking system's assets are foreign-owned. Among foreign banks with operations in Bulgaria are Unicredit, Raiffeisen Bank, Hungary's OTP , National Bank of Greece, EFG and Alpha Bank. Curiously, Russia's largest bank, VTB Bank, is a minority owner of Corpbank - it said it was ready to support the bank.
Bulgarian website Noviniteprovided further details about what may be the first domino in Bulgaria's banking sector:
Bulgarian National Bank (BNB)'s Governing Council held a press conference just an hour after the central bank announced it had placed KTB under special supervision upon the commercial bank's request. It decided to do so after KTB sent a letter asking for the step, due to “exhaustion of liquidity and termination of all payments and banking operations”.
With its move, as of June 20, 2014 BNB revokes the rights of KTB shareholders and appoints a supervisory board.

In the Governing Gouncil's statement to the media delivered at the press conference, Iskrov reminded that KTB was “among the banks with the highest liquidity" before a "rumor" involving a BNB Deputy Governor and his alleged dependency on "a certain bank" (implying the role of KTB) was spread by an anonymous e-mail sent from a purported central bank employee to the media.

The rumor coincided with the start of pre-trial proceedings against BNB Deputy Governor Tsvetan Gounev.

It also led to the withdrawal of "huge amounts of ready money" and prevented the bank from delivering on its liabilities, the BNB Governor explained
In the statement Iskrov presented the Governing Council's decision, under which BNB places KTB under supervision for a period of three months.

The bank is to freeze any operations within that stretch of time and is forbidden to perform any activity. As a result clients of the bank would have it difficult to be provided any services. A Supervisory Board of two members, Hristina Stanova and Slavyana Danailova, has been appointed.

BNB also temporarily dismisses KTB's four Governing Council members and four Supervisory Board members and transfers their competencies to its own two-strong board.

Voting rights of shareholders controlling more than 10% of KTB assets - namely Bromak Invest (owned by Tsvetan Vasilev) and Bulgarian Acquisition Company Luxembourg - are also being suspended for three months.

The BNB Supervisory Board is now virtually KTB's governing body, with "huge competencies" and in charge of safeguarding the bank's exclusion from the Bulgarian payment system.

The Board is also to conduct an assessment of the bank so that talks could be held with shareholders "and other potential buyers".

"Conversations with the shareholder having expressed interest are starting immediately. They can end in a day, a week or a month, when the interest has been confirmed by shareholders and they provide the respective support," Iskrov explained.
Perhaps the bigger problem for Bulgaria is that its central bank itself is now the target of an official probe after its deputy governor for bank supervision, Tsvetan Gounev, took a leave as a result of a pre-trial investigation aimed at him. Furthermore, From Sofia Globe:
Bulgarian National Bank (BNB) said on June 18 that its deputy governor for bank supervision, Tsvetan Gounev, has taken leave from the central bank as a result of pre-trial investigation against him.

In a statement posted on its website, BNB said that Gounev put in his leave request in order to “not allow any doubts about obstacles to the investigation”. The central bank said that “from the moment that the BNB was notified of Mr Gounev’s repealed permit for classified information, his access to such documents has been suspended.”

Repealing the permit for access to classified information is often the first indication that a senior official is under investigation.

The prosecutor’s office initially made no comment, but later in the day, Prosecutor-General Sotir Tsatsarov said that the investigation had been under way for two weeks and was a result of allegations made by the anti-government Protest Network.

(The prosecutor’s office statement did not specify which allegations this referred, but it is presumed to be in connection to the dossier based on media reports containing various allegations, submitted to prosecutors in February, which called for an investigation into media mogul Delyan Peevski, Corporate Commercial Bank majority shareholder Tsvetan Vassilev and Nikolai Barekov, the former talk show host-turned-politician that fronts the Bulgaria Without Censorship party.)

Earlier in the day, however, Bulgarian media reported receiving an anonymous letter, whose author claims to be an employee of BNB, alleging that Gounev was under investigation by prosecutors on charges of mismanagement in office.

The letter claims that Gounev failed to exercise proper oversight of a “bank that has become the centre of attention in recent days”, but did not name the bank. The author claims that both Gounev and BNB governor Ivan Iskrov “put pressure” on the bank supervision department not to apply proper oversight on the affairs of this bank and “have been financially dependent on this bank for years.”
So is this just a political witch hunt in a country notorious for backroom dealings, or the start of something greater? The answer will depend on whether the local population does indeed, as the central bank requests, stay calm or if people decide en masse once again that the best option is simply to put what little savings they have in the ir local mattress, while they still can (or before the Fed suggest fee gates be implemented, the same way it would like to force a ran out of US bank funds).

2 comments:

  1. Good morning,

    Interesting items you added about Flt 370, the official story is indeed fishy.

    It will be interesting to see if Iraq ends up being saved by Russia, I still think ISIS is a US creation and is being used to undermine both Iraq and Syria. I haven't seen much action on the US side that would change my mind. O is talking a lot but not really doing much.

    You guys have a great day

    ReplyDelete
  2. Morning ! I thought those items ( which I came across after the original post and after your prior comment ) , were quite interesting ! Of course , the GeoResonance piece the the cherry on the top ) don't expect to see very many papers cover their well stated concerns ! )

    I don't think Russia by itself can save Iraq or perhaps save PM Maliki. As Hillary would say " It takes a village to save a head strong sectarian PM " I think Al Qaeda was a US creation , but ISIS / ISIL was probably a GCC creation - that got off the leash and now is out of control. The US probably aided ISIS/ ISIL while it was causing Assad headaches , but now is wringing its hands because of the problems in Iraq , Lebanon - and potentially in Jordan and Turkey due to ISIL / ISIL. The US , from what I can tell , isn't directly involved in fighting ISIS / ISIL in Iraq - however , to the extent that Maliki's Army seems to be much more effective against the Sunni fighter ( observing recent fighting near Tikrit ) , I think iraq Army has been assisted by U drone data to pinpoint enemy positions. Of course , when the going gets tough , drones won't stop the Iraq Army from cutting and running like before !

    Have a great morning !

    ReplyDelete