Friday, May 24, 2013

Spain spends 680 million on a submarine that is too heavy and would sink to the Ocean floor - were the designers reflecting on Spain's Bank bailout for design parameters ?

http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/-/world/17307567/mass-sell-off-in-spains-bankia-hit-small-investors/


Mass sell-off in Spain's Bankia hit small


 investors

ReutersMay 24, 2013, 6:25 am
UK-BANKIA-SHARES:Mass sell-off in Spain s Bankia hit small investors












massive losses on Thursday as the stock plunged by more than 50 percent amid an abnormally high volume of trading which the stock market regulator said would be looked at closely.
Tens of thousands of small savers, who were often missold preference shares and hybrid debt in Bankia, swapped their investment for ordinary shares on Thursday at a an average discount of around 40 percent.
But while they had hoped the move would help them recoup part of their money, they instead saw how the new shares, initially valued at 1.35 euro each and which they cannot exchange until next Tuesday, lost 51.4 percent on the day to close at 0.68 euro.
While analysts had widely expected the share price to drop and adjust to 1.35 euro before the bank received 15.5 billion euros (13.2 billion pounds) of fresh funds, the abnormally high trading volume registered on Thursday raised eyebrows at the stock market regulator.
In a statement, the Comision Nacional del Mercado de Valores (CNMV) said it would be looking closely at the trades to establish if some of them were in breach of market rules.
A source with knowledge of the matter said some institutional investors who were also forced to swap their hybrid debt and preference shares at a discount may have engaged in naked short-selling to compensate for their losses.
Naked short-selling, where traders sell a stock they don't own in order to make a profit by buying it at a later date at a lower price, is not allowed under Spanish market rules.
One fund manager, who has traded Bankia stock in the past and shorted it recently, said many professional investors in the subordinated debt had traded their positions on Thursday, ahead of the settlement of their trades in three working days' time.
"People are protecting themselves, everyone is terrified that the shares will collapse further next Tuesday, so if you sell your position today you still make a gain versus what you think the shares will sink to next week," he said.
Close to 50 million shares in Bankia changed hands on Thursday, or about 42 times the average daily volume over the last three months and 5 times the free float in the lender.
The stock has lost 90 percent since May 6 and new downward pressure could materialise next Tuesday when the small investors will be able to start trading their shares.
Bankia said in a statement that after the new cash injection its parent group BFA owned 68.4 percent of its capital while former holders of hybrid debt and preference shares owned 31 percent and current shareholders hold the remaining 0.5 percent.




and......





http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-05-24/rout-spain



The Rout In Spain

Tyler Durden's picture




From Mark Grant, author of Out Of The Box
There Are Those Weeks
The Rout in Spain

Overnight the shares of Bankia plunged 51.4%. This, by any definition, is a rout. The citizens of Spain had bought preferred shares, hybrid bonds on the basis of an "implied guarantee" from the sovereign. No such luck. It had been a tout sold by the bank and guaranteed by no one. Now the owners are suffering the disastrous consequences.

Many European analysts had suggested that the swap out of these instruments into equity would drop the price of the stock to about 1.35 Euros but reality emerged today as the equity price plunged to 0.68 Euros. The shares traded today were forty-two times the normal average trading volume and indicated the size of the problem. The stock has lost 90% of its value since May 6.

In the meantime the central bank of Spain has said that the Spanish banks might have to reserve 5-10 billion Euros in more provisioning. This number is a joke and one more IMF/EU/ECB projection with all of the merits of two sparrows lifting a 747 for take-off. The number is more like 50 billion Euros and possibly twice that much the way things are going in Spain.

Spain has already gone bankrupt. It is not spoken of in this fashion, no one mentions it in public but that is the truth of it. The money, some $172 billion, was funneled to the banks and not to the sovereign in one more European ruse to distract everyone but the results are the same. Now it is becoming apparent that even this amount of money was not enough so more will have to be given. The money will go to the Spanish banks, the debt will be guaranteed by Spain, the contingent liability will not be counted as part of Spain's debt to GDP ratio but we will know the truth of it. Whatever direct money from Spain that goes into their banks will be called an "investment" and put on the left side of their balance sheet as an asset and the mockery will continue but I can still read a ledger; thank you very much.

This path then leads to our own Federal Reserve Bank. They have lent more than one trillion dollars now to foreign banks. Now many people nod and go to sleep as this number floats past. "Not so fast," I say, "Not so fast."

The Fed is lending about $700 billion to American banks and $1.03 trillion to foreign banks. Two issues are raised here in my opinion. Why is America lending all of this money to foreign institutions and I would hope that Congress will begin an inquiry into this question. The second issue is that since we are engaged in this lending why is it? One assumes that it is not for nothing and so it raises the question of the health of the European banks that must be so serious that the Fed is forced to come to their rescue. I repeat, the financial health of the European banks must be so impaired that the Fed has been forced to lend them ever increasing amounts of money.

Our world is like a Dali painting; distorted, out of balance and disjointed. The central banks pump in the money, the governments distort the data and lie, the markets head every higher and Puff the Magic Dragon flies on unencumbered.

In fact, according to the most recent data, the Fed now owns 30.32% of all ten year equivalent government debt. At the current trajectory the Fed will own all of the government's debt by 2018. The value of the Dollar may be three Nigerian bananas by then but not to worry because the Euro will only fetch two bananas and the Yen only one. It is indeed hard to see where we are going here. Deception and monetary creation have gotten us where we are but how long until someone actually climbs up Mt. Olympus and discovers that there are no gods is anyone's guess.
 
“There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades happen.”
                     -Vladimir Ilyich Lenin

Watch out for those weeks!










http://finance.yahoo.com/news/spain-just-spent-680-million-203200757.html


Spain just spent $680 million on a submarine that can’t swim

The S-80, clearly computer-generated. Navartia
One of Spain’s largest defense splurges may also be one of its most embarrassing. After spending nearly one-third of a $3 billion budget to build four of the world’s most advanced submarines, the project’s engineers have run into a problem: the submarines are so heavy that they would sink to the bottom of the ocean.
Miscalculations by engineers at Navantia, the construction company contracted to built the S-80 submarine fleet, have produced submarines that are each as much as 100 tonnes (110 US tonnes) too heavy. The excess weight sounds paltry compared to the 2,000-plus tonnes (2,205 US tonnes) that each submarine weighs, but it’s more than enough to send the submarines straight to the ocean’s floor.
Given the mistake, Spain is going to have to choose between two costly fixes: slimming the submarines down, or elongating them to compensate for the extra fat. All signs point to the latter, which will be anything but a breeze—adding length will still require redesigning the entire vessel. And more money on top of the $680 million already spent.
Spain’s defense ministry, the government arm responsible for overseeing the project, has yet to say how much the setback will cost in both time and money. But Navantia has already estimated that its mistake will set the project back at least one or, more likely, two years. And the Spanish edition of European news site The Local reported that each additional meter added to the S-80s, already 71 meters in length, will cost over $9 million.
It’s a costly mistake on many fronts. The state-of-the-art submarines were meant to be the first entirely Spanish-designed and built. Incompetence is likely going to cost the country at least some of the glory. Electric Boat, a subsidiary of US-based technology firm General Dynamics, has already evaluated the project and could be hired as a consultant to save the job.
Another bailout for Spain. This is getting all too familiar.

http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2013/05/another-warning-call-for-depositors.html
( Banks to the bottom of the Sea..... ) 

Thursday, May 23, 2013 2:34 PM


Another Warning Call for Depositors! Bank of Spain Says Spanish Banks Need €10bn More Loan Loss Provisions; Mish Asks €10bn or €100bn?


Here's an optimistic headline on the Financial Times that could easily be off by a factor of 10 or more: Spain’s banks need €10bn more provisions
 Spanish banks will need to put aside extra provisions of up to €10bn to cover loans that borrowers will struggle to repay, according to an internal estimate by the Bank of Spain.

According to recent data, Spanish banks rolled over more than €200bn of loans before they expired – often because corporate borrowers would be unable to repay their debt on time and in full. The €10bn estimate is the first official assessment of the likely impact of the central bank’s new approach towards these refinanced loans.

The Bank of Spain believes that the risks emanating from this practice, known as “extend and pretend”, have not been fully covered and is pressing all banks to reclassify their refinanced loans according to tighter standards by the end of September. The new regime will make it harder for banks to treat refinanced loans as if they were performing normally, in turn forcing lenders to take additional provisions.

“Our banks will need more provisions,” a senior official at the Bank of Spain told the Financial Times. “The provisions will affect their results, but the question is by how much. We cannot know for sure but we think the impact will be between €5bn and €10bn [in provisions] across the system.”
€10bn or €100bn?

Banks rolled over €200bn of loans because they could not pay debt on time, pretending the loans were current, and the Bank of Spain estimates the risk at a mere €10bn.

Who do they think they are they fooling?

Will 70% of those loans be paid back? 50%? 20%? I don't know but I strongly suggest it sure will not be 95%.

Given the perpetual over-optimism on Spanish bank losses, I estimate there is a 0% chance the losses on this disclosure will be as little as €10bn.

That said, I do not know what the existing loan loss provisions are, but if they are high enough (extremely doubtful), then there is some chance the losses will be on the order of €30bn or so (on the general principle things are typically 300% worse than the optimistic scenario).

This does not factor in losses on Spanish government bonds when Spain eventually seeks a massive bailout. Realistically, Spanish banks are insolvent.

Another Warning Call! 

By the way, this is yet another warning call "If you have money in Spanish banks, move it somewhere else immediately!"

Mike "Mish" Shedlock



http://euobserver.com/economic/120169


( Warning to European depositors - note the ECB wants the bail in provisions effective immediately . which means that is just one good crisis away from occurring ! ) 



MEPs vote to protect small bank depositors

21.05.13 @ 09:27
  1. BY NIKOLAJ NIELSEN
  2. Nikolaj email
  3. Nikolaj Twitter
STRASBOURG - Large depositors in the EU will from 2016 be in line to suffer losses if a bank gets into serious trouble, but deposits under €100,000 should be fully protected, MEPs in the economic affairs committee voted late on Monday (20 May).
  • Fifty-nine banks in the EU have been restructured following the start of the financial crisis, says the European Commission (Photo: Fergus Ray Murray)
“The bail-in of any creditors should be done according to a clear hierarchy, with depositors with savings over €100,000 last in line, whilst deposits under €100,000 would be fully protected,” said Green economic and finance spokesperson Philippe Lamberts in a statement.
The votes amended the European Commission’s bank recovery and resolution proposal.
The proposal outlines steps to ensure taxpayers will not have to fork out because financial institutions are “too big to fail.”
But the taxpayer is not completely out of the picture.
Deputies say the commission’s proposal will need to spell out the worse case scenario.
They added new text which states that “in times of systemic crisis member states may provide extraordinary public financial support.”
It says such government tools should only be used “as a last resort after having assessed and exploited the other resolution tools to the maximum extent possible practicable whilst maintaining financial stability.”
An EU official close to the issue said the goal is to make sure that taxpayers only come in at the very end.
“The article puts in place on how to do this,” he said.
He said the commission’s original proposal in 2012 had obtained little political support until Cyprus hit headlines earlier this year.
The island nation took on a €10 billion rescue package from the EU and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) following a massive bank failure.
Bank depositers with over €100,000 in two Cypriot banks were told to contribute some €6 billion to the package.
Those with less than €100,000 had also been told to contribute until a public backlash forced officials to retract the idea.
Deputies decided to guarantee the security of bank deposits of at least €100,000 or less following the Cyprus bailout debacle.
The European Central Bank (ECB) wants the bail-in guarantee to start immediately.
The commission proposed 2018. The parliament’s lead negotiator on the file suggested January 2016 as a compromise.
The committee deleted a commission proposal on using deposit guarantees to help out ailing banks. Instead, they replaced the commission’s proposal with an article on how to protect insured depositors.
The voted text aims to set up European standards on how resolution authorities will undergo their work but with a national slant.
Deputies say the authorities should be able to force banks to adopt a credible plan. They can also restructure the ailing bank if necessary.
The commission, for its part, is set to come out with a proposal for European resolution mechanism and a European resolution fund over the summer.
“Ultimately, the creation of a European bank resolution fund, funded by the banks themselves, would provide the greatest protection but proposals to this end have yet to be made,” said Lamberts.


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