http://news.goldseek.com/COT/1367609629.php
( Large specs net longer / commercials net longer small specs net shorter ... )
Gold COT Report - Futures
| ||||||
Large Speculators
|
Commercial
|
Total
| ||||
Long
|
Short
|
Spreading
|
Long
|
Short
|
Long
|
Short
|
193,310
|
96,258
|
20,115
|
170,211
|
265,774
|
383,636
|
382,147
|
Change from Prior Reporting Period
| ||||||
-3,878
|
3,325
|
-1,772
|
14,080
|
5,255
|
8,430
|
6,808
|
Traders
| ||||||
137
|
96
|
73
|
60
|
52
|
229
|
195
|
Small Speculators
| ||||||
Long
|
Short
|
Open Interest
| ||||
37,451
|
38,940
|
421,087
| ||||
-2,417
|
-795
|
6,013
| ||||
non reportable positions
|
Change from the previous reporting period
| |||||
COT Gold Report - Positions as of
|
Tuesday, April 30, 2013
|
Gold COT Report - Futures & Options Combined
| ||||||
Large Speculators
|
Commercial
|
Total
| ||||
Long
|
Short
|
Spreading
|
Long
|
Short
|
Long
|
Short
|
171,901
|
86,011
|
226,863
|
305,597
|
389,428
|
704,361
|
702,303
|
Change from Prior Reporting Period
| ||||||
-2,695
|
-4,894
|
-47,577
|
-19,823
|
-22,065
|
-70,096
|
-74,536
|
Traders
| ||||||
154
|
125
|
136
|
66
|
63
|
290
|
260
|
Small Speculators
| ||||||
Long
|
Short
|
Open Interest
| ||||
45,316
|
47,374
|
749,677
| ||||
-4,888
|
-447
|
-74,983
| ||||
non reportable positions
|
Change from the previous reporting period
| |||||
COT Gold Report - Positions as of
|
Tuesday, April 30, 2013
|
Silver COT Report: Futures
| |||||
Large Speculators
|
Commercial
| ||||
Long
|
Short
|
Spreading
|
Long
|
Short
| |
35,720
|
23,530
|
23,400
|
65,685
|
79,915
| |
-3,097
|
-286
|
-7,713
|
-2,573
|
-5,507
| |
Traders
| |||||
57
|
55
|
45
|
40
|
38
| |
Small Speculators
|
Open Interest
|
Total
| |||
Long
|
Short
|
143,477
|
Long
|
Short
| |
18,672
|
16,632
|
124,805
|
126,845
| ||
-2,110
|
-1,987
|
-15,493
|
-13,383
|
-13,506
| |
non reportable positions
|
Positions as of:
|
123
|
119
| ||
Tuesday, April 30, 2013
|
© SilverSeek.com
|
Silver COT Report: Futures & Options Combined
| |||||
Large Speculators
|
Commercial
| ||||
Long
|
Short
|
Spreading
|
Long
|
Short
| |
33,439
|
21,832
|
54,283
|
86,123
|
99,988
| |
-1,440
|
-453
|
-19,536
|
-9,593
|
-10,823
| |
Traders
| |||||
67
|
53
|
65
|
43
|
42
| |
Small Speculators
|
Open Interest
|
Total
| |||
Long
|
Short
|
194,361
|
Long
|
Short
| |
20,517
|
18,259
|
173,844
|
176,103
| ||
-3,138
|
-2,895
|
-33,708
|
-30,570
|
-30,812
| |
non reportable positions
|
Positions as of:
|
139
|
138
| ||
Tuesday, April 30, 2013
|
© SilverSeek.com
|
Friday, May 03, 2013
Gold and Silver Disaggregated COT Report (DCOT) for May 3
Edit 1: Adds charts of interest and short commentary.
HOUSTON -- This week’s Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) disaggregated commitments of traders (DCOT) report was released at 15:30 ET Friday. Our recap of the changes in weekly positioning by the disaggregated trader classes, as compiled by the CFTC, is just below.
In the DCOT table above a net short position shows as a negative figure in red. A net long position shows in black. In the Change column, a negative number indicates either an increase to an existing net short position or a reduction of a net long position. A black figure in the Change column indicates an increase to an existing long position or a reduction of an existing net short position. The way to think of it is that black figures in the Change column are traders getting “longer” and red figures are traders getting less long or shorter.
All of the trader’s positions are calculated net of spreading contracts as of the Tuesday disaggregated COT report.
Edit 1: If we could only point to one chart out of the 30 or so we track on the COT reports, we would point to the chart below - the net positioning of the traders the CFTC classes as "Non-Reportable" in gold. Non Reportable traders (NRs) are The Little Guys in the futures biz, trading under the number of contracts which require official reporting.
For the first time in DCOT reports history, smaller traders are net short gold. (Disaggregated COT data begins in 2006.)
(Source: CFTC, Cash Market, GGR)
As gold recovered $63.55 or 4.5% Tuesday to Tuesday smaller traders as a group were actually net sellers of 1,622 contracts, so they moved from 133 lots net long to 1,489 contracts net short.
Historically extreme lows in the NR net long positioning often correspond with important turning lows for the price of gold. We have not yet had a condition where the NRs have been net short gold, until now.
One observation we can make with just the chart above and the table at the top of this offering is that the traders generally considered as speculators, the Managed Money, Other Reportables and Non Reportables were all net sellers this week even though gold was moving considerably higher. The Specs were selling into the rally in other words (at least until Tuesday and $1,476 gold).
Meanwhile, the traders generally considered to be commercial and/or hedgers, the Producer, Merchants, Processors, Users, including bullion banks (PMs) and the Swap Dealers (SDs), were actually net buyers of gold futures even though the price of gold was moving materially higher.
For example, the chart below is the net positioning of the PMs:
(Note: Since the net position of the PMs is always a negative number in the graph above a higher blue line is actually a lower net short position and vice versa.)
For much or most of the gold bull market since 2002 it has been very unusual to see the PMs reducing their net short positions as the price of gold rose. One notable period where we did see that was as gold had broken out above all known resistance in July of 2011 and was driving higher through the $1,500s.
This week, as gold was recovering $63.55 or 4.5% the PMs, the traders we call the Big Hedgers, were actually covering or offsetting another 7,110 contracts (14.2%) of their collective net short positioning and ended the COT week with an extremely low 42,952 contracts net short - the lowest PM net short position since September 16, 2008 (27,386 then with $779 gold).
It is crystal clear that the Big Hedgers have taken advantage of this gold sell-down to strongly REDUCE their collecitve net short exposure to gold futures. Indeed, in the three reporting weeks since April 9, the PMs have covered or offset a whopping 33,610 lots or 44% of their already fairly low net short positioning (from 76,562 to 42,952 lots net short) - while gold first careened a net $218.19 or 13.8% lower (to $1,367.06 Tuesday, April 16), but has since recovered $109.27 or 8% to $1,476.33 on April 30.
To "nutshell" the thoughts above what we have is a situation where the largest , best funded and presumably the best informed commercial hedgers using the gold smash to get really, really small in their net short positioning at the same time the trend following Funds and smaller traders are still selling into the nascent gold recovery (albeit at a smaller pace than last week).
There is, of course a lot more to it than just the above and we will have a more for GGR subscribers embedded directly in our technical charts later this weekend.
That is all for now, but there is more to come.
Gold and Silver Disaggregated COT Report (DCOT) for May 3
Edit 1: Adds charts of interest and short commentary.
HOUSTON -- This week’s Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) disaggregated commitments of traders (DCOT) report was released at 15:30 ET Friday. Our recap of the changes in weekly positioning by the disaggregated trader classes, as compiled by the CFTC, is just below.
In the DCOT table above a net short position shows as a negative figure in red. A net long position shows in black. In the Change column, a negative number indicates either an increase to an existing net short position or a reduction of a net long position. A black figure in the Change column indicates an increase to an existing long position or a reduction of an existing net short position. The way to think of it is that black figures in the Change column are traders getting “longer” and red figures are traders getting less long or shorter.
All of the trader’s positions are calculated net of spreading contracts as of the Tuesday disaggregated COT report.
Edit 1: If we could only point to one chart out of the 30 or so we track on the COT reports, we would point to the chart below - the net positioning of the traders the CFTC classes as "Non-Reportable" in gold. Non Reportable traders (NRs) are The Little Guys in the futures biz, trading under the number of contracts which require official reporting.
For the first time in DCOT reports history, smaller traders are net short gold. (Disaggregated COT data begins in 2006.)
(Source: CFTC, Cash Market, GGR)
As gold recovered $63.55 or 4.5% Tuesday to Tuesday smaller traders as a group were actually net sellers of 1,622 contracts, so they moved from 133 lots net long to 1,489 contracts net short.
Historically extreme lows in the NR net long positioning often correspond with important turning lows for the price of gold. We have not yet had a condition where the NRs have been net short gold, until now.
One observation we can make with just the chart above and the table at the top of this offering is that the traders generally considered as speculators, the Managed Money, Other Reportables and Non Reportables were all net sellers this week even though gold was moving considerably higher. The Specs were selling into the rally in other words (at least until Tuesday and $1,476 gold).
Meanwhile, the traders generally considered to be commercial and/or hedgers, the Producer, Merchants, Processors, Users, including bullion banks (PMs) and the Swap Dealers (SDs), were actually net buyers of gold futures even though the price of gold was moving materially higher.
For example, the chart below is the net positioning of the PMs:
(Note: Since the net position of the PMs is always a negative number in the graph above a higher blue line is actually a lower net short position and vice versa.)
For much or most of the gold bull market since 2002 it has been very unusual to see the PMs reducing their net short positions as the price of gold rose. One notable period where we did see that was as gold had broken out above all known resistance in July of 2011 and was driving higher through the $1,500s.
This week, as gold was recovering $63.55 or 4.5% the PMs, the traders we call the Big Hedgers, were actually covering or offsetting another 7,110 contracts (14.2%) of their collective net short positioning and ended the COT week with an extremely low 42,952 contracts net short - the lowest PM net short position since September 16, 2008 (27,386 then with $779 gold).
It is crystal clear that the Big Hedgers have taken advantage of this gold sell-down to strongly REDUCE their collecitve net short exposure to gold futures. Indeed, in the three reporting weeks since April 9, the PMs have covered or offset a whopping 33,610 lots or 44% of their already fairly low net short positioning (from 76,562 to 42,952 lots net short) - while gold first careened a net $218.19 or 13.8% lower (to $1,367.06 Tuesday, April 16), but has since recovered $109.27 or 8% to $1,476.33 on April 30.
To "nutshell" the thoughts above what we have is a situation where the largest , best funded and presumably the best informed commercial hedgers using the gold smash to get really, really small in their net short positioning at the same time the trend following Funds and smaller traders are still selling into the nascent gold recovery (albeit at a smaller pace than last week).
There is, of course a lot more to it than just the above and we will have a more for GGR subscribers embedded directly in our technical charts later this weekend.
That is all for now, but there is more to come.
and.....
Jeff Nielson: China's real gold reserves at 4,000 tonnes?
Submitted by cpowell on Fri, 2013-05-03 19:23. Section: Daily Dispatches
3:20p ET Friday, May 3, 2013
Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:
Jeff Nielson of Bullion Bulls Canada writes today that China has probably raised its gold reserves to as much as 4,000 tonnes, far beyond the 1,054 announced in 2008 and reported officially today, and that it is probably talking gold down so it can get more metal inexpensively. Nielson's commentary is headlined "China's Real Gold Reserves at 4,000 Tonnes?" and it's posted at Bullion Bulls Canada here:
CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.
FRIDAY, MAY 3, 2013
Plenty Of 400 oz. Gold Bars Available?
A reader alerted me to the fact that Bron Suchecki, one of the proprietors of the Perth Mint - the notoriously untrustworthy and fractional bullion account seller - made the claim that there's plenty of 400 oz. gold bullion bars to be had on the world market. This is contrary to every news report and first-hand accounting of shortages that have been presented over the last week.
So I have this question for Bron: If there's plenty of 400 oz. gold bullion LBMA-standard bars available, how come it's taking the United States Government SEVEN YEARS to send just 300 tonnes of the said 400 oz. gold bars that it owes back to the German Government and its citizens? Tell me Bron, if you can find an ample supply of bars, how come the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury can not? How come the Chinese Gold and Silver Exchange Society is now forced to back-order bars from Switzerland? LINK
I rest my case.
So I have this question for Bron: If there's plenty of 400 oz. gold bullion LBMA-standard bars available, how come it's taking the United States Government SEVEN YEARS to send just 300 tonnes of the said 400 oz. gold bars that it owes back to the German Government and its citizens? Tell me Bron, if you can find an ample supply of bars, how come the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury can not? How come the Chinese Gold and Silver Exchange Society is now forced to back-order bars from Switzerland? LINK
I rest my case.
kingworldnews.com / May 3, 2013
Today a former US Treasury Official told King World News that today’s jobs report is a total farce, and any hint that there is an economic recovery is a lie. Dr. Paul Craig Roberts also warned, “the country is being increasingly deceived by disinformation.” Below is what Dr. Roberts had to say in part I of this extraordinary and exclusive series of written interviews that will be released today.
Eric King: “We just had the employment report come out, Dr. Roberts, your thoughts there?”
Dr. Roberts: “Well, it’s not believable, Eric. They claim 185,000 new private service jobs. They are showing jobs in retail trade. Of course the statistics show that retail sales are falling, so why are they having more employment?
They show a tremendous number of jobs in professional and business services, 73,000 (new jobs). This is not believable either. They also have 38,000 jobs in waitresses and bartenders. Now, for an economy that’s not going anywhere, you won’t have people hiring in retail trade and general merchandise stores where a lot of that employment is alleged to be.
FRIDAY, MAY 3, 2013
The Government's Non-Farm Payroll Report Has Taken The Term "Farce" To A Whole New Level
I'm not even sure where to start to with today's April employment report. It was so out of line with all the other economic indicators and with what we know about big banks, big retailers and big manufacturing companies and their numerous announcements of big job-count reductions this year.
Let me give just one example. The Government and Wall Street has been telling us that there a big recovery going on the housing market. And yet, if you go to Table B1 in this report from the BLS -LINK - you see that the construction sector was said to have lost 6,000 jobs in April. That makes no sense. The Birth/Death model (see below) shows construction adding 29,000 jobs. This is completely inconsistent with the story line that housing is improving. Bernanke said so himself on Wednesday.
And on the heels of this rather "robust" employment report, the Commerce Dept releases the factory orders report for March which shows a big decline of 4%, vs an expected decline of -2.8%. Not only that, but prior report of +3% for February was revised to lower to +1.9%. And then the ISM - Institute of Supply Management (formerly the Nat'l Assoc. of Purchasing Managers) releases its "services" report, which shows a decline from March to April and the index level was lower than expected. Someone is lying. I don't think the factories and private businesses reporting data that affects their bottom line are the ones.
I could go on all day boring you with the line by line analysis of today's jobs report. But you can peruse through the report linked above if you like. Trust me, there's better things to do with your time. What I will mention, however, is that according the Government - from their nefarious "Birth/Death" model - new business formations by small businesses theoretically added 193,000 thousand jobs to the number that the Government then "seasonally adjusts." I don't really know of anyone who believes that the Birth/Death model has an credibility whatsoever.
The thinking is that people who leave their job for whatever cause - i.e. get "headcount reduced" for cost cutting purposes - decide to all of a sudden take all of the money they haven't saved and start a new business. The theory is that these "businesses" add jobs or subtract, depending on what the BLS's "voo doo black box" decides was the likely number of businesses started vs. closed. Sound credible?
Anyway, when I went through my initial glance at the non-farm payroll report, I noticed a big bulge in the number of "business and professional" jobs that the BLS said were added in April. In fact, it was 73,000 of the 165,000, or nearly 50%. Then I noticed that according to the birth/death model, new businesses in this sector created 63,000 new jobs. Know anyone who started a business consulting business last month? Certainly IBM - probably the largest "professional services" employer in the country was hiring consulting employees, because they just significantly cut hours for that segment of their workforce: LINK
In addition, the Government, despite what we know about the fact that most of the big box retailers are closing something like 10% - 20% of their stores this year, added another 29,300 jobs. No way. Sorry. That number is a complete fabrication. Here's a link this "Alice In Wonderland" fairy tale called "the birth/death model:" LINK
The sad part is that there's 89 million people "not in the labor force," most of whom would probably like to have a job if they could get one. I wonder how what's going through their mind - at the least ones not getting disability, student loans, food stamps, etc - as they see a completely fictitious jobs number and then the stock market rocketing up 155 points (the Dow) on the heels of that fictitious jobs report.
I have a feeling it's going to get very ugly in this country in the second half of this year. That's why there's a record number of people buying up a record amount of gold and silver coins minted by the U.S. mint. In fact, now there's shortages of gold and silver eagles. The mint has not reported any silver eagle sales so far for May, but it's because they don't have the silver required to produce them. I also have a feeling it's why Ben Bernanke is going to leave the Federal Reserve in January. He doesn't want to be left holding the empty bag he inherited from Greenspan and then proceeded to blow up himself with even more helium. Have a good weekend.
Let me give just one example. The Government and Wall Street has been telling us that there a big recovery going on the housing market. And yet, if you go to Table B1 in this report from the BLS -LINK - you see that the construction sector was said to have lost 6,000 jobs in April. That makes no sense. The Birth/Death model (see below) shows construction adding 29,000 jobs. This is completely inconsistent with the story line that housing is improving. Bernanke said so himself on Wednesday.
And on the heels of this rather "robust" employment report, the Commerce Dept releases the factory orders report for March which shows a big decline of 4%, vs an expected decline of -2.8%. Not only that, but prior report of +3% for February was revised to lower to +1.9%. And then the ISM - Institute of Supply Management (formerly the Nat'l Assoc. of Purchasing Managers) releases its "services" report, which shows a decline from March to April and the index level was lower than expected. Someone is lying. I don't think the factories and private businesses reporting data that affects their bottom line are the ones.
I could go on all day boring you with the line by line analysis of today's jobs report. But you can peruse through the report linked above if you like. Trust me, there's better things to do with your time. What I will mention, however, is that according the Government - from their nefarious "Birth/Death" model - new business formations by small businesses theoretically added 193,000 thousand jobs to the number that the Government then "seasonally adjusts." I don't really know of anyone who believes that the Birth/Death model has an credibility whatsoever.
The thinking is that people who leave their job for whatever cause - i.e. get "headcount reduced" for cost cutting purposes - decide to all of a sudden take all of the money they haven't saved and start a new business. The theory is that these "businesses" add jobs or subtract, depending on what the BLS's "voo doo black box" decides was the likely number of businesses started vs. closed. Sound credible?
Anyway, when I went through my initial glance at the non-farm payroll report, I noticed a big bulge in the number of "business and professional" jobs that the BLS said were added in April. In fact, it was 73,000 of the 165,000, or nearly 50%. Then I noticed that according to the birth/death model, new businesses in this sector created 63,000 new jobs. Know anyone who started a business consulting business last month? Certainly IBM - probably the largest "professional services" employer in the country was hiring consulting employees, because they just significantly cut hours for that segment of their workforce: LINK
In addition, the Government, despite what we know about the fact that most of the big box retailers are closing something like 10% - 20% of their stores this year, added another 29,300 jobs. No way. Sorry. That number is a complete fabrication. Here's a link this "Alice In Wonderland" fairy tale called "the birth/death model:" LINK
The sad part is that there's 89 million people "not in the labor force," most of whom would probably like to have a job if they could get one. I wonder how what's going through their mind - at the least ones not getting disability, student loans, food stamps, etc - as they see a completely fictitious jobs number and then the stock market rocketing up 155 points (the Dow) on the heels of that fictitious jobs report.
I have a feeling it's going to get very ugly in this country in the second half of this year. That's why there's a record number of people buying up a record amount of gold and silver coins minted by the U.S. mint. In fact, now there's shortages of gold and silver eagles. The mint has not reported any silver eagle sales so far for May, but it's because they don't have the silver required to produce them. I also have a feeling it's why Ben Bernanke is going to leave the Federal Reserve in January. He doesn't want to be left holding the empty bag he inherited from Greenspan and then proceeded to blow up himself with even more helium. Have a good weekend.
http://azstarnet.com/business/local/brewer-nixes-gold-silver-coin-measure/article_1fe2b1cd-0be9-5edb-8e51-fcaa822154b5.html
Brewer nixes gold, silver coin measure
SAYS BILL COULD COST STATE REVENUE, CREATE UNFAIR TAX ADVANTAGE FOR SOME
PHOENIX - Gov. Jan Brewer refused Thursday to make Arizona the second state in the nation to declare privately minted gold and silver coins, bars and ingots to be legal tender in the state.
In vetoing the measure, Brewer said she shares the concerns of proponents that the dollar isn't worth what it used to be. And she said it's likely to get worse "as a result of an unsustainable federal deficit."
But the governor said she's not ready to take the plunge - one that so far only Utah has taken.
The legislation would have put these precious-metal coins and even bullion on the same legal footing in Arizona as dollars printed by the Federal Reserve Board.
Sen. Chester Crandell, R-Heber, said the legislation, by itself, would not have meant Arizonans would start paying for their grocery and utility bills in precious metals.
But he said it would set the stage for a time when he predicts people will want to use these coins rather than the paper currency now being issued by the Federal Reserve, money that some people contend could become worthless because of hyperinflation.
Sen. Steve Farley, D-Tucson, worried about the problems the legislation would create for merchants, if they were stuck trying to figure out the purity of the metal coins and bars presented to them, or even if they were counterfeit.
The proposal would not have required merchants to accept the coins. Conversely, nothing in current law prevents people from trading goods and services for precious metals.
Brewer's concerns appear to be more with the other half of the legislation, which would spell out that gold and silver coins issued at any time by the U.S. government are money and not a commodity.
That difference is crucial.
Someone who invests in gold or silver coins is subject to capital gains taxes if they eventually are sold for a profit. But if those coins are "legal tender," then the exchange of those for dollars - even at a gain - would be tax-exempt.
"This would result in lost revenue to the state, while giving businesses that buy and sell collectible coins or currency originally authorized by Congress an unfair tax advantage," Brewer wrote.
http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com/2013/05/gold-daily-and-silver-weekly-chart.html
Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Chart - The Metal Bears Advance To Stalingrad
This from UBS:
"On the physical front, strong appetite out of Asia continues. Our index of physical flows to India continues to indicate very strong demand coming in, at least five times the average over the last 12 months.
Premiums in India are now quite high, particularly for the 0.9995 purity kilo bar, the more popular product, amid extremely limited supplies at the moment."
The bullion supply lines for this recent market operation seem a bit overextended and ill equipped for the ferocious waves of physical buying that has been reported, especially in Asia.
The bullion bears are drawing a line in the sand for gold at 1480. The physical drawdowns are going to eat them alive if they try to hold the easy ground they gained by heavy selling in quiet market periods. Welcome to the winter of your discontent.
I think that level will fall, and the real test will be in the area of 1580 when gold takes on the longer term downtrend.
But let's not get ahead of ourselves, and let the markets show us what is really happening.
Here is a recent chart linked to below that purportedly compares housing and gold as a hedge against inflation.
Gold Versus Housing As An Inflation Hedge
The scales are utterly misleading. If you wish to compare two things over the same period of time a percentage increase is much more effective than splitting it across two unrelated nominal scales on opposite sides of the chart.
Housing on the left scale went up on the chart 2x, and gold on the right has gone up 6x at least.
The chartist *could* be trying to show that housing, as the major measure of inflation, was not closely followed by gold. But that does not come out in the commentary, and is a bit off the wall, since housing was not a major measure of general inflation. Housing was a secular phenomenon, a flat out bubble marked by significant fraud and highly leveraged mispricing of risks.
The central banks were net selling gold into the first part of the chart. As you may recall the period of 1999 to 2002 was the infamous"Brown's Bottom." They turned to net purchasing around 2006, and now there are shortages of bullion.
And I don't see the government subsidizing and promoting the purchase of gold as they had been doing with housing, at least not directly. However, the US financial system is doing a pretty good job of incenting the world to buy gold by creating negative real interest rates of return on the dollar, and allowing the bullion banks to game the metals markets. But I think that has hardly run its course.
As you may have heard today, JP Morgan and their derivatives diva Blythe Masters are under scrutiny for gaming the energy markets, among other things. I am convinced that the scandals that keep coming out are still just the tip of the iceberg. As Jeffery Sachs said, Wall Street has become a pathological environment, and it is so 'in your face' that is hard to miss.
The G20 has its conference on Reinventing Bretton Woods next week. I do not expect anything dramatic to come out of it. This process of change is going to move slowly.
http://silverdoctors.com/jim-willie-bank-runs-bullion-bank-runs-to-climax-soon-in-the-us/#more-25970
JIM WILLIE: BANK RUNS & BULLION BANK RUNS TO CLIMAX SOON IN THE US!
http://www.caseyresearch.com/gsd/edition/bill-bucklers-farewell-denying-gold-market-manipulation-is-silly
¤ YESTERDAY IN GOLD & SILVER
Gold got sold down about ten bucks [down to around $1,449 spot] in early Far East trading on their Thursday...and didn't get back to unchanged until minutes before the Comex open in New York...and it got there on the back of a rally that began shortly after the noon London silver fix.
That rally attempt ran into resistance almost immediately...and the high of the day [$1,475.20 spot] came around 9:15 a.m. Eastern time...and then every subsequent rally attempt got sold off before it could get anywhere. After the 1:30 p.m. EDT Comex close, the gold price traded sideways for the rest of the Thursday session in New York.
Gold closed at $1,467.40 spot...up $9.30 on the day. Net volume wasn't terribly high...around 142,000 contracts.
Here's the New York Spot Gold [Bid] chart...and you can see from the saw-tooth pattern that there was a not-for-profit seller at every turn during the Comex session.
Silver's price action was pretty similar to gold's...with silver's high tick coming at the same moment as gold's as well. And, like Wednesday, silver got sold off far more aggressively after its New York high was in.
Silver's low on Thursday was around $23.40 spot in Far East trading....and the 9:15 a.m. high tick was $24.33 spot. With the market being as illiquid as it is, it was obvious that there were no legitimate sellers prepared to go short against the longs that were coming into the market...a 'no ask' market...so JPMorgan et al had to step in as short sellers of last resort, as the silver price was about to go vertical.
Silver closed at $27.83 spot...down 50 cents from its high tick. Net volume was pretty chunky at around 44,000 contracts.
Here's the New York Spot Silver [Bid] chart...complete with the NASA space launches that the silver price was about to become in a couple of spots in early Comex trading if "da boyz" hadn't shown up.
The dollar index closed on Wednesday at 81.65...and then didn't do much until shortly before 8:00 a.m. in New York where it spiked down to its 81.56 low of the day. Then away it went to the upside...which may or may not have been on the back of the interest rate news out of Europe...and the index peaked out at 82.33 shortly after 11:00 a.m. EDT. It backed off a hair from there before trading virtually ruler flat into the close...finishing the day at 82.20...up 55 basis points from Wednesday's close.
It was obvious to me that the dollar index was allowed to trade 'normally' on whatever news drove it...and the associated rallies in the precious metals were capped as they attempted to respond in a like manner.
The CME's Daily Delivery Report showed that 48 gold and 241 silver contracts were posted for delivery on Monday within the Comex-approved depositories. It was virtually all JPM and Scotiabank in gold...but in silver the two big short/issuers were Credit Suisse and ABN Amro, with 132 and 88 contracts respectively. JPMorgan and Canada's Scotia bank were the biggest long/stoppers with 120 and 76 contracts respectively. The link to yesterday's Issuers and Stoppers Report is here.
GLD continues to cough up gold. This time an authorized participant removed 193,410 troy ounces. It's obvious that these continuing withdrawals are not linked to the current gold price action...and as I've stated before on this issue, one has to wonder what is really going on behind the scenes and who is ending up with all this gold. And as of 10:33 p.m. Eastern time, there were no reported changes in SLV. But when I checked the website again at 3:45 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time as I was editing today's missive, I noted that they had finally updated it...and an authorized participant had withdrawn 678,877 troy ounces.
The U.S. Mint did not have a sales report yesterday.
Over at the Comex-approved depositories on Wednesday, they didn't report receiving anysilver, but shipped 358,244 troy ounces of the stuff out the door. The link to that activity is here.
In gold on Wednesday, the Comex-approved depositories reported receiving 128,099 troy ounces of gold...and shipped 29,994 troy ounces out the door as well. The link to that activity ishere.
Selected news and views.....
JPMorgan Caught in Swirl of Regulatory Woes
Government investigators have found that JPMorgan Chase devised “manipulative schemes” that transformed “money-losing power plants into powerful profit centers,” and that one of its most senior executives gave “false and misleading statements” under oath.
The findings appear in a confidential government document, reviewed by The New York Times, that was sent to the bank in March, warning of a potential crackdown by the regulator of the nation’s energy markets.
The possible action comes amid showdowns with other agencies. One of the bank’s chief regulators, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, is weighing new enforcement actions against JPMorgan over the way the bank collected credit card debt and its possible failure to alert authorities to suspicions about Bernard L. Madoff, according to people who were not authorized to discuss the cases publicly.
Mr. Dimon acknowledged in a recent letter to shareholders that “unfortunately, we expect we will have more” enforcement actions in “the coming months.” He apologized for letting “our regulators down” and vowed to “do all the work necessary to complete the needed improvements.”
One has to wonder if the rigging of the precious metals market, silver in particular, is one of the many that Jamie may be referring to. Here's hoping! This story showed up on The New York Times website late yesterday evening...and I thank Roy Stephens for today's first story.
Albert Edwards: The Party is Over, the US is Just One Recession Away From Japan-Style Doom
Here's your happy thought of the day from SocGen strategist Albert Edwards:
Over the last 15 years most investors have refused to contemplate that events in the West are playing out in a similar fashion to Japan in the 1990s. But the latest inflation data out of both the US and eurozone should ram home the fact that we are now only one short recession away from Japanese-style outright deflation. Similarly, investors refuse to believe that equities can fall in an environment of rampant QE. They are wrong.
Basically, we're so close to deflation, that all it will take is another downturn, and we'll be toast.
This short piece, along with a couple of excellent charts, was posted on thebusinessinsider.com Internet site yesterday...and the story is courtesy of Roy Stephens as well.
German bond yields hit record low after ECB rate cut falls short
The European Central Bank cut interest rates a quarter point to a record low of 0.5pc and threatened to punish banks for hoarding funds, but was faulted for doing too little to pull Europe out of deep recession.
Yields on 10-year German Bunds fell to an all-time low of 1.16pc, signalling the risk of a deflationary crisis and a slide towards outright depression.
Mario Draghi, the ECB’s chief, said the bank “stands ready to act” with further stimulus if needed but insisted that the economy would recover “later this year”.
“They are a long way behind the curve. A quarter point cut is a drop in the ocean at this stage and nothing that Draghi said will turn things around,” said David Owen from Jefferies Fixed Income.
This commentary was written by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard and was posted on the telegraph.co.uk Internet site early yesterday evening BST...and I thank Manitoba Ulrike Marx for sending it our way.
Turkey becomes partner of China, Russia-led security bloc
NATO member Turkey signed up on Friday to became a "dialogue partner" of a security bloc dominated by China and Russia, and declared that its destiny is in Asia.
"This is really a historic day for us," Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglusaid in Kazakhstan's commercial capital Almaty after signing a memorandum of understanding with Shanghai Cooperation Organisation Secretary General Dmitry Mezentsev.
"Now, with this choice, Turkey is declaring that our destiny is the same as the destiny of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) countries."
China, Russia and four Central Asian nations - Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan - formed the SCO in 2001 as a regional security bloc to fight threats posed by radical Islam and drug trafficking from neighboring Afghanistan.
Turkey has displayed interest in closer ties with the SCO at a time when it is upset by the slow progress of accession talks with the European Union.
One has to wonder if this is a ploy to get the E.U. interested again...or is the real deal? Time will tell. This is a must read for all students of the "New Great Game"...and this Reuters piece from a week ago was picked up by the news.yahoo.com Internet site...and I thank reader 'David in California' for sharing it with us.
Pepe Escobar: The Syria-Iran red line show
This eminently Bushist Obama "red line" business, applied to Syria, Iran or both, is becoming a tad ridiculous.
Take Pentagon head Chuck Hagel's tour of Israel and the "friendly" GCC (the de facto Gulf Counter-revolution Club) last week. US defense contractors had the Moet flowing as Hagel merrily congregated with that prodigy of democracy - United Arab Emirates (UAE) Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed - to celebrate the sale of 25 F-16 fighter jets.
The weaponizing free fest to Israel and the Gulf petro-monarchies - missile defense, fighter jets, mega-bombs - could not but be duly hailed as the proverbial "message" to "counter Iran's nuclear ambitions", or "the air and missile threat posed by Iran", or the general "worry about Iran's pursuit of a nuclear weapon" or "Washington's determination to stop Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons."
There's no "red line" here; just hardcore weaponizing of Israel and the GCC. Any doubts, blame it on Iran. And this while Saudi-controlled media in the Middle East - roughly everything except al-Jazeera - was breathlessly spinning that Tel Aviv is pursuing a deal to use Turkish soil for an attack on Iran.
Take Pentagon head Chuck Hagel's tour of Israel and the "friendly" GCC (the de facto Gulf Counter-revolution Club) last week. US defense contractors had the Moet flowing as Hagel merrily congregated with that prodigy of democracy - United Arab Emirates (UAE) Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed - to celebrate the sale of 25 F-16 fighter jets.
The weaponizing free fest to Israel and the Gulf petro-monarchies - missile defense, fighter jets, mega-bombs - could not but be duly hailed as the proverbial "message" to "counter Iran's nuclear ambitions", or "the air and missile threat posed by Iran", or the general "worry about Iran's pursuit of a nuclear weapon" or "Washington's determination to stop Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons."
There's no "red line" here; just hardcore weaponizing of Israel and the GCC. Any doubts, blame it on Iran. And this while Saudi-controlled media in the Middle East - roughly everything except al-Jazeera - was breathlessly spinning that Tel Aviv is pursuing a deal to use Turkish soil for an attack on Iran.
Pepe is at it again...and is another must read for students of the "New Great Game". It was posted on the Asia Times website yesterday...and I thank Roy Stephens for sending it our way.
Chinese Soldiers March Into Indian Territory, Pitch Tents, Declare Land For China
China and India are once again at each other’s throats over an unmarked border in the Himalayas.
But this time, oddly, nobody seems to know why.
In mid-April, around 30 Chinese troops marched across the de facto border between China and India and pitched tents 19 kilometers inside Indian territory, just when relations between the two were going so well. The Indian government, which has so far exercised relative restraint, was accused by opposition politicians as being “weak, cowardly and incompetent” for not driving the troops off. The Chinese, on the other hand, deny that their soldiers ever crossed into Indian territory.
China and India haven’t been able to agree on how to carve up the Himalayas since they fought over the border in 1962, but this latest development has baffled experts. As recently as March, Chinese leader Xi Jinping met with the Indian prime minister at a summit in South Africa, calling for India and China to deepen military ties and come to a border solution “as soon as possible.”
This very interesting news item, which I would normally save for the weekend, was posted on the businessinsider.com Internet site yesterday...and is another must read for all serious students of the New Great Game. It's also another offering from Roy Stephens, for which I thank him.
THree King World News Blogs
The first interview is with Jean-Marie Eveillard...and it's headlined "The Man Who Oversees $65 Billion Discusses Action in Gold". Next comes Rick Rule...and it bears the title "What Investors Should Do With Their Money Right Now". The last blog is with John Hathaway...and it's entitled "This is the Truth About Where the Gold Market Is".
Chris Powell commented on Hathaway'sKWN interview thusly..."Interviewed by King World News yesterday, Tocqueville Gold Fund manager John Hathaway gets closer than ever to acknowledging gold market manipulation. Hathaway observes that someone -- "whoever" -- "is sitting on the gold price." Maybe in his next interview with King World NewsHathaway will be emboldened to speculate on that someone's initials. Maybe "B.B."? And not the "Big Brother" of George Orwell's novel "1984" but the "B.B." who in testimony to Congress in July 2011 affected to believe that central banks hold gold only as "tradition".
Hong Kong gold retailers overwhelmed by mainland shoppers
Hong Kong retailers report they were swamped over the three-day May Day holiday by tens of thousands of mainlanders in search of one thing: cheap gold.
After the recent slump in gold prices, Hong Kong's already healthy community of gold shops, mainly in its traditional tourist areas, has increased, with a flurry of new openings. But traders report they have been overwhelmed by the mainland shoppers.
Gold prices in Hong Kong are lower than in the mainland.
On Wednesday in Causeway Bay there were long queues outside shops, which blocked the popular shopping area's narrow streets and sidewalks.
"It's cheap, so what else do you need to know?" said Wang Zhongxin, a shopper from Shanghai as he left one Chow Tai Fook outlet.
This much more substantial story was posted on the chinadaily.com.cn Internet site yesterday...and I consider it a must read. I thank Roy Stephens for sending it.
Krugerrand sales soar following gold price slump
The Scoin Shop, the UK and the world’s only gold coin retail chain, has reported a 468 percent increase in Krugerrand sales, above average weekly sales of the bullion coins, directly linked to the fall in international gold prices.
Alan Demby, an international bullion expert since 1978, founder of the Scoin Shop and chairman of the South African Gold Coin Exchange, commented, “Since the gold price has dropped we have seen an enormous interest in buying gold at what is seen as a competitive rate – many of our existing clients in both the UK and South Africa see it as a tremendous buying opportunity they would otherwise not have.
“Having closely monitored gold’s performance over 40 years I can safely say that the media and gold skeptics have got it wrong on this occasion: it is not bad news. Gold is smart money at a time when currencies have never been so volatile. We only have to look at the Eurozone or America’s $16 trillion dollar debt to know that gold is the one tangible currency which can be used against depleted cash reserves which are liable to devalue further.
This story was posted on thesouthafrican.com Internet site late yesterday afternoon local time in Johannesburg...and it's courtesy of Matthew Nel.
Italy should use its gold reserves to force a change in EMU policy
The World Gold Council has advised Italy to deploy its 2,000 tonnes of gold to break free of EMU austerity dictates.
By using the reserves – the world's fourth largest – to collateralise the first chunk of any losses for bondholders, Italy could raise €400bn or so on the capital markets and determine its own future for a while.
Italy did this in 1974 when it borrowed $2bn from the Bundesbank, using gold as collateral.
Portugal did the same thing to borrow $1bn from the BIS in the 1975-1977, and India used its gold to borrow from Japan in 1991.
The WGC advising Italy on financial policy??? That's fine, I suppose...but this idea is a dead duck at current prices for gold. But at five or ten times today's price, then it's an idea whose time has come. This interesting blog byAmbrose Evans-Pritchard showed up on The Telegraph's website yesterday...and is worth reading. The first person through the door with this story yesterday was Marshall Angeles.
Bill Buckler's farewell: Denying gold market manipulation is silly
Bill Buckler, editor of the incisive The Privateer market letter, closed it down the other day after 29 years, sounding not just worn out from the work and needing a break but also a bit depressed by the world's increasing illiteracy in economics and maybe by the recent attack on gold as well.
From the start Buckler had documented much of the war waged against gold by Western central banks -- and maybe that's why in recent years he declined to mention efforts to document more of that war and agitate against it. He considered it a given.
In fact, of course, obvious as the war against gold was to Buckler and a few others who have thought deeply about gold's function as money, the war still cannot be acknowledged and discussed by 99 percent of monetary metals mining companies and the financial news media. And so the war continues to be waged largely surreptitiously at the expense of not only the monetary metals markets but also markets everywhere that are no longer free.
But as Buckler retires, free gold marketeers and advocates of transparency in government can claim him as their own and salute him, as by quoting from his final letter...
Buckler's most eloquent commentary was posted in the clear in this GATA release yesterday evening...and if I had to pick just one must read story for you out of today's column...this would be it.
¤ THE WRAP
The most notable feature of the recent dive in the "price" of gold on the global futures markets is that the lower the "paper price" went, the higher the demand grew for the physical metal. This is the most dangerous event to have hit the overseers of the financial system since the credit freeze of 2008. And there is no "cure" for this one because physical gold cannot be created out of thin air. - Bill Buckler, The Privateer...28 April 2013
It was another day where all four precious metals made rally attempts...and all four rallies were turned back. After yesterday's small rise in the gold price, it's now back knocking on the door of its 20-day moving average.
I have no idea what will happen from here...but I do know what should happen...and whether it does or not is entirely in the hands of JPMorgan Chase et al.
As silver analyst Ted Butler said in this space yesterday..."This current set up seems to have my entire wish-list in place. A super-bullish COT structure, following an epic sell-off...amid indications that physical silver conditions, both retail and wholesale, are as tight as a drum...and public sentiment on gold and silver in the gutter. I wish the crooks at JPMorgan were less short, but it’s not a perfect world. As it stands, this is the best silver set up I think I’ve seen."
And as Bill Buckler said in his quote above, this world-wide demand for precious metals on the engineered price decline in mid-April was..."the most dangerous event to have hit the overseers of the financial system since the credit freeze of 2008."
As I said several days ago, I would think we'll find out pretty quick how the powers-that-be are going to react to this shocking [at least to them] turn of events which, in their sociopathic arrogance, they misjudged badly. One has to wonder if their answer to that will turn out just as badly.
If they're looking for advice, I've already given it on many occasions in this column over the years...but here it is again. They need to print shockingly high prices for both metals that will cut off all physical demand and turn the world into net sellers of precious metals, instead of bargain hunters.
Either that, or it's death by a thousand cuts. It's their call.
All four precious metals made rally attempts in the Friday morning hours of Far East trading...and haven't done much since. London has been open about an hour as I type this paragraph...and except for minor hiccups, the prices haven't moved much their either. Volumes are about 'normal' for this time of day...and the dollar index is down 11 basis points.
Nothing much has changed as I hit the 'send' button at 5:15 a.m. Eastern time...gold is up about nine bucks, silver is up two bits...and the dollar index is now down 20 basis points. Volumes are only slightly higher than they were ninety minutes ago...and mostly of the high-frequency trading variety.
With today being Friday, nothing will surprise me when I switch my computer on later this morning...and I'll be looking forward to today's Commitment of Traders Report with some interest.
I hope you have a good weekend...or enjoy what's left of it if you live west of the International Date Line...and I'll see you here tomorrow.
and......
http://harveyorgan.blogspot.com/2013/05/comex-gold-declinesgld-inventory.html
Thursday, May 2, 2013
Comex gold declines/GLD inventory declines by 6 tonnes again/gold and silver rise/ECB lowers interest rate signaling gold /silver to rocket northbound
Good evening Ladies and Gentlemen:
Gold closed up $21.40 to $1467.70 (comex closing time). Silver rose by 49 cents to $23.79 (comex closing time).
In the access market at 5 pm gold and silver are the following :
gold: $1467.40.
silver: $23.86
Gold and silver got a little boost this afternoon after the release of the ECB report where the ECB cut lending rates by 1/4% down to 0.50%. They also cut the marginal lending rate by 1/2%. Initially the euro rose but then cooler heads prevailed and the Euro fell and gold and silver skyrocketed. We now have the entire globe in a recession as the need for stimulus through government purchases will remain of prime importance.
At the comex, the open interest in silver rose 2259 contracts to 145.736 contracts as we had new players entering the silver arena taking on the bankers. The silver OI is holding firm at elevated levels . The open interest on the gold contract rose by 2800 contracts to 423,887. It is interesting that the gold deliveries for May has now exceeded 5 tonnes at 5.766 tonnes and this is an off month for gold.
Today, physical gold continues to leave London with 6.02 tonnes of gold departing the GLD for the shores of China/and or Russia. The game ends when the last physical ounce held at the GLD departs.
In paper stories China announced another drop in their PMI. Europe also reported poor PMI numbers with Germany recording a drop well below 50.00 at 48.1. The rest of Europe remains well below the magical 50 barrier where above 50 means growth and below 50 recession.
The USA reported a drop in jobless claims which stimulated the USA markets.
It also recorded a lower trade deficit but that was due to lower imports and that is not good for the USA economy.
We will go over these and other stories but first.........................
Let us now head over to the comex and assess trading over there today:
The total gold comex open interest rose by 2800 contracts today from 421,087 up to 423,887, with gold falling by $25.90 on Wednesday. The front non active delivery month of May saw its OI fall by 392 contracts. However we had 394 delivery notices filed for yesterday. Thus we actually gained 2 contracts or an additional 200 oz will stand for May's delivery. The next active contract month is June and here the OI rose by 1488 contracts to 246,433. June is the second biggest delivery month in gold's calender. The estimated volume today was fair at 149.074. The confirmed volume on Wednesday was a little better at 184,676 contracts.
The total silver comex OI rose by a hefty 2259 contracts from 143,477 up to 145,736 despite silver's fall in price of 88 cents yesterday. It seems that one big raid days, we have some new players entering the arena willing to play with the crooked bankers, and the older longs refuse to buckle under the weight of the attack. The front active silver delivery month of May saw it's OI fall by 32 contracts. We had 357 delivery notices filed yesterday so we gained 325 contracts or 1.625 million additional oz will stand. The next delivery month for silver is June and here the OI fell by 65 contracts to stand at 422. The next big active contract month is July and here the OI rose by 1508 contracts to rest tonight at 80,256. The estimated volume today was very good, coming in at 50,620 contracts. The confirmed volume yesterday was extremely good at 65,964.
Gold closed up $21.40 to $1467.70 (comex closing time). Silver rose by 49 cents to $23.79 (comex closing time).
In the access market at 5 pm gold and silver are the following :
gold: $1467.40.
silver: $23.86
Gold and silver got a little boost this afternoon after the release of the ECB report where the ECB cut lending rates by 1/4% down to 0.50%. They also cut the marginal lending rate by 1/2%. Initially the euro rose but then cooler heads prevailed and the Euro fell and gold and silver skyrocketed. We now have the entire globe in a recession as the need for stimulus through government purchases will remain of prime importance.
At the comex, the open interest in silver rose 2259 contracts to 145.736 contracts as we had new players entering the silver arena taking on the bankers. The silver OI is holding firm at elevated levels . The open interest on the gold contract rose by 2800 contracts to 423,887. It is interesting that the gold deliveries for May has now exceeded 5 tonnes at 5.766 tonnes and this is an off month for gold.
Today, physical gold continues to leave London with 6.02 tonnes of gold departing the GLD for the shores of China/and or Russia. The game ends when the last physical ounce held at the GLD departs.
In paper stories China announced another drop in their PMI. Europe also reported poor PMI numbers with Germany recording a drop well below 50.00 at 48.1. The rest of Europe remains well below the magical 50 barrier where above 50 means growth and below 50 recession.
The USA reported a drop in jobless claims which stimulated the USA markets.
It also recorded a lower trade deficit but that was due to lower imports and that is not good for the USA economy.
We will go over these and other stories but first.........................
Let us now head over to the comex and assess trading over there today:
The total gold comex open interest rose by 2800 contracts today from 421,087 up to 423,887, with gold falling by $25.90 on Wednesday. The front non active delivery month of May saw its OI fall by 392 contracts. However we had 394 delivery notices filed for yesterday. Thus we actually gained 2 contracts or an additional 200 oz will stand for May's delivery. The next active contract month is June and here the OI rose by 1488 contracts to 246,433. June is the second biggest delivery month in gold's calender. The estimated volume today was fair at 149.074. The confirmed volume on Wednesday was a little better at 184,676 contracts.
The total silver comex OI rose by a hefty 2259 contracts from 143,477 up to 145,736 despite silver's fall in price of 88 cents yesterday. It seems that one big raid days, we have some new players entering the arena willing to play with the crooked bankers, and the older longs refuse to buckle under the weight of the attack. The front active silver delivery month of May saw it's OI fall by 32 contracts. We had 357 delivery notices filed yesterday so we gained 325 contracts or 1.625 million additional oz will stand. The next delivery month for silver is June and here the OI fell by 65 contracts to stand at 422. The next big active contract month is July and here the OI rose by 1508 contracts to rest tonight at 80,256. The estimated volume today was very good, coming in at 50,620 contracts. The confirmed volume yesterday was extremely good at 65,964.
Comex gold/May contract month:
May 2/2013
Ounces
Withdrawals from Dealers Inventory in oz
nil
Withdrawals from Customer Inventory in oz
29,994.181 oz (HSBC.JPM)
Deposits to the Dealer Inventory in oz
nil
Deposits to the Customer Inventory, in oz
128,099.009 (HSBC)
No of oz served (contracts) today
23 (2300 oz)
No of oz to be served (notices)
149 (14,900)
Total monthly oz gold served (contracts) so far this month
1705 (170,500)
Total accumulative withdrawal of gold from the Dealers inventory this month
nil
Total accumulative withdrawal of gold from the Customer inventory this month
347,415.47 oz
We had good activity at the gold vaults.
The dealer had 0 deposits and 0 dealer withdrawals.
We had 1 customer deposits today:
Into HSBC: 128,099.009 oz (this arrived as a withdrawal form HSBC yesterday)
thus no new gold entering.
total customer deposit: 128,099.009 oz
We had 2 customer withdrawals:
i) Out of HSBC: 5,966.51 oz
ii) Out of JPM*: 24,027.671 oz
total withdrawal: 29,994.181 oz oz
We had 2 big adjustments
1.From the HSBC vault: 63,838.832 oz is adjusted out of the dealer account into the customer account
2. From JPMorgan: 57,860.329 oz is adjusted out of the dealer and back into the customer account.
*JPMorgan's eligible account (customer account) slightly rises to 195,338.61 or only 6 tonnes of gold.
Thus the dealer inventory rests tonight at 1.981 million oz (61.61) tonnes of gold.
The total of all gold declines again at the comex and this time breaking below 8 million oz as it rests at 8.099 million oz or 251.1 tonnes.
Ladies and Gentlemen: gold is leaving the comex vaults.
The CME reported that we had 23 notices filed today for 2300 oz of gold today.
To calculate the quantity of gold ounces that will stand, I take the OI standing for May (172) and subtract out today's notices (23) which leaves us with 149 notices or 14,900 oz left to be served upon our longs.
Thus we have the following gold ounces standing for metal in May:
1705 contracts x 100 oz per contract or 170,500 oz (served) + 149 notices or 14,900 oz (to be served upon) = 185,400 oz or 5.766 tonnes of gold.
This is extremely high for a non active month. We gained an extra 200 oz standing for May today.
May 1.2013: May silver:
Silver
Ounces
Withdrawals from Dealers Inventory nil
Withdrawals from Customer Inventory 358,244.711(Delaware ,CNT )
Deposits to the Dealer Inventory nil
Deposits to the Customer Inventory nil
No of oz served (contracts) 219 contracts ( 1,095,000 oz)
No of oz to be served (notices) 915 (4,575,000 oz)
Total monthly oz silver served (contracts) 2082 (10,410,000 oz)
Total accumulative withdrawal of silver from the Dealers inventory this month
Total accumulative withdrawal of silver from the Customer inventory this month 640,820.4
Today, we had good activity inside the silver vaults.
we had 0 dealer deposits and 0 dealer withdrawals.
We had 0 customer deposits:
Total deposits: nil oz
We had 2 customer withdrawals:
1) Out of Delaware: 349,682.821 oz
ii) Out of CNT: 8561.89
total withdrawal: 358,244.711 oz
we had 1 adjustments:
i) Out of CNT: 719,687.83 oz was adjusted out of the customer and back into the customer account
Registered silver at : 45.466 million oz
total of all silver: 166.081 million oz.
The CME reported that we had a small 219 notices filed for 1,095,000. To calculate the number of ounces that will stand in silver, I take the OI standing for May (1134) and subtract out today's notices (219) which leaves us with 915 notices or 4,575,000 oz
Thus the total number of silver ounces standing in this active delivery month of May is as follows:
2082 contracts x 5000 oz per contract (served) = 10,410,000 + 915 contracts x 5000 oz = 4,575,000 oz ( to be served) = 14,985,000 oz.
Two important points today:
1. we gained 1.625 million oz of silver standing.
2. We have now surpassed what was outstanding on first day notice 14,860,000 oz. It looks like Blythe's paper fiat does not interest our longs.
Six more tons of gold leave the GLD ETF today - the beat goes on but let's see what goes down when this goes flatline !
May 2.2013:
Tonnes1,069.21
Ounces34,376,316.61
Value US$50.482 billion
May 1.2013:
Tonnes1,075.23
Ounces34,569,726.95
Value US$50.265 billion
Selected news and views......
The following story states that Italy should use its gold reserves to force a change in EMU policy.
Only one problem I would suppose:
Italy probably has leased out all of its gold and cannot get it back
Anyway, here is Ambrose Evans Pritchard discussing the gold reserves at the Bank of Italy:
(courtesy Ambrose Evans Pritchard)
Italy should use its gold reserves to force a change in EMU policy
By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
Economics
Last updated: May 2nd, 2013
Telegraph UK
The World Gold Council has advised Italy to deploy its 2,000 tonnes of gold to break free of EMU austerity dictates.
By using the reserves – the world's fourth largest – to collateralise the first chunk of any losses for bondholders, Italy could raise €400bn or so on the capital markets and determine its own future for a while.
Italy did this in 1974 when it borrowed $2bn from the Bundesbank, using gold as collateral.
Portugal did the same thing to borrow $1bn from the BIS in the 1975-1977, and India used its gold to borrow from Japan in 1991.
A joint WGC-Ipsos survey found that 61pc of Italian business leaders, and 52pc of the general public would support the idea, with only a small minority opposed.
The report said:
With Italy still facing significant financial challenges, national assets – such as gold reserves – present an opportunity to buy some vital breathing space.
Gold-backed sovereign debt, or ‘gold-backed bonds’, is issued debt that is underpinned by gold collateral. By using a portion of their gold reserves in this way, sovereign states could borrow more cheaply, without selling an ounce.
This use of gold would help sovereign governments to regain the confidence of the bond markets and lower funding costs. Nations could raise between four and five times the value of their gold reserves – a bond 20% collateralised by gold could raise around 80% of Italy’s two year refinancing needs.
This would buy time for growth to take hold. It would lower sovereign debt yields without increasing inflation and would give Italy time and resources to work on economic reform and recovery. Using gold for the purposes of sovereign debt issuance would allow greater flexibility beyond austerity.
This is exactly the sort of thinking that is needed in the occupied EMU states, and Italy has been under occupation since the ECB effectively toppled the elected the government in the coup d'etat of November 2011 – with the active collusion of President Napolitano, a former Stalinist who later transferred his ideological mania to the EU Project.
Such a plan has been proposed by Alessandro di Carpegna Brivio at Camperio Sim.
However, it would require the new premier Enrico Letta to tell Europe to jump in the lake, since "reflation in one country" would violate the EMU club rules.
Mr Letta is highly unlikely to do so. He is a child of the EU Project – literally, since he grew up in Strasbourg. He formed his views in the entourage of Prodi and Andreotti.
His drive for growth is as meaningless as Hollande's vow to relaunch growth in France. Hollande in fact did the opposite. He is tightening fiscal policy by 2pc of GDP this year in a counter-cyclical fashion, during a recession, because he is so steeped in EU insiderism that he cannot bring himself to say boo to the pedants in Brussels and Frankfurt (though some members of the Socialist Party clearly can).
My worry is that the World Gold Council plan would merely prop up the unworkable EMU structure for longer, and then leave Italy even more vulnerable having played its last card.
It would not resolve the fundamental problem, which is that Italy has lost unit labour competitiveness steadily for fifteen years. To try to claw this back with an "internal devaluation" is very destructive and would test social cohesion to breaking point.
What Italy should do is to tell Germany that it will no longer participate in EMU unless the North reflates with an "internal revaluation" to close part of the gap. It should deploy its gold reserves to make this threat more credible.
Germany would know that Italy has the means to stabilise the Italian bond market after liberation. Italy is perfectly capable of doing this – and in my opinion would benefit – since it has a primary budget surplus of 2.5pc of GDP and would not face a funding crisis.
It would then be a matter of whether Germany has more to gain or lose by allowing such an even unfold.
Let the Holy Roman Emperor come to Canossa.
Read more by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard on Telegraph Blogs
Comex gold/May contract month:
May 2/2013
Ounces
| |
Withdrawals from Dealers Inventory in oz
|
nil
|
Withdrawals from Customer Inventory in oz
|
29,994.181 oz (HSBC.JPM)
|
Deposits to the Dealer Inventory in oz
|
nil
|
Deposits to the Customer Inventory, in oz
| 128,099.009 (HSBC) |
No of oz served (contracts) today
|
23 (2300 oz)
|
No of oz to be served (notices)
|
149 (14,900)
|
Total monthly oz gold served (contracts) so far this month
|
1705 (170,500)
|
Total accumulative withdrawal of gold from the Dealers inventory this month
|
nil
|
Total accumulative withdrawal of gold from the Customer inventory this month
| 347,415.47 oz |
We had good activity at the gold vaults.
The dealer had 0 deposits and 0 dealer withdrawals.
We had 1 customer deposits today:
Into HSBC: 128,099.009 oz (this arrived as a withdrawal form HSBC yesterday)
thus no new gold entering.
total customer deposit: 128,099.009 oz
We had 2 customer withdrawals:
i) Out of HSBC: 5,966.51 oz
ii) Out of JPM*: 24,027.671 oz
total withdrawal: 29,994.181 oz oz
We had 2 big adjustments
1.From the HSBC vault: 63,838.832 oz is adjusted out of the dealer account into the customer account
2. From JPMorgan: 57,860.329 oz is adjusted out of the dealer and back into the customer account.
1.From the HSBC vault: 63,838.832 oz is adjusted out of the dealer account into the customer account
2. From JPMorgan: 57,860.329 oz is adjusted out of the dealer and back into the customer account.
*JPMorgan's eligible account (customer account) slightly rises to 195,338.61 or only 6 tonnes of gold.
Thus the dealer inventory rests tonight at 1.981 million oz (61.61) tonnes of gold.
The total of all gold declines again at the comex and this time breaking below 8 million oz as it rests at 8.099 million oz or 251.1 tonnes.
Ladies and Gentlemen: gold is leaving the comex vaults.
The total of all gold declines again at the comex and this time breaking below 8 million oz as it rests at 8.099 million oz or 251.1 tonnes.
Ladies and Gentlemen: gold is leaving the comex vaults.
The CME reported that we had 23 notices filed today for 2300 oz of gold today.
To calculate the quantity of gold ounces that will stand, I take the OI standing for May (172) and subtract out today's notices (23) which leaves us with 149 notices or 14,900 oz left to be served upon our longs.
To calculate the quantity of gold ounces that will stand, I take the OI standing for May (172) and subtract out today's notices (23) which leaves us with 149 notices or 14,900 oz left to be served upon our longs.
Thus we have the following gold ounces standing for metal in May:
1705 contracts x 100 oz per contract or 170,500 oz (served) + 149 notices or 14,900 oz (to be served upon) = 185,400 oz or 5.766 tonnes of gold.
This is extremely high for a non active month. We gained an extra 200 oz standing for May today.
May 1.2013: May silver:
Silver
Ounces
Withdrawals from Dealers Inventory nil
Withdrawals from Customer Inventory 358,244.711(Delaware ,CNT )
Deposits to the Dealer Inventory nil
Deposits to the Customer Inventory nil
No of oz served (contracts) 219 contracts ( 1,095,000 oz)
No of oz to be served (notices) 915 (4,575,000 oz)
Total monthly oz silver served (contracts) 2082 (10,410,000 oz)
Total accumulative withdrawal of silver from the Dealers inventory this month
Total accumulative withdrawal of silver from the Customer inventory this month 640,820.4
Today, we had good activity inside the silver vaults.
we had 0 dealer deposits and 0 dealer withdrawals.
We had 0 customer deposits:
Total deposits: nil oz
We had 2 customer withdrawals:
1) Out of Delaware: 349,682.821 oz
ii) Out of CNT: 8561.89
total withdrawal: 358,244.711 oz
we had 1 adjustments:
i) Out of CNT: 719,687.83 oz was adjusted out of the customer and back into the customer account
Registered silver at : 45.466 million oz
total of all silver: 166.081 million oz.
The CME reported that we had a small 219 notices filed for 1,095,000. To calculate the number of ounces that will stand in silver, I take the OI standing for May (1134) and subtract out today's notices (219) which leaves us with 915 notices or 4,575,000 oz
Thus the total number of silver ounces standing in this active delivery month of May is as follows:
2082 contracts x 5000 oz per contract (served) = 10,410,000 + 915 contracts x 5000 oz = 4,575,000 oz ( to be served) = 14,985,000 oz.
Two important points today:
May 1.2013: May silver:
Silver |
Ounces
|
Withdrawals from Dealers Inventory | nil |
Withdrawals from Customer Inventory | 358,244.711(Delaware ,CNT ) |
Deposits to the Dealer Inventory | nil |
Deposits to the Customer Inventory | nil |
No of oz served (contracts) | 219 contracts ( 1,095,000 oz) |
No of oz to be served (notices) | 915 (4,575,000 oz) |
Total monthly oz silver served (contracts) | 2082 (10,410,000 oz) |
Total accumulative withdrawal of silver from the Dealers inventory this month | |
Total accumulative withdrawal of silver from the Customer inventory this month | 640,820.4 |
Today, we had good activity inside the silver vaults.
we had 0 dealer deposits and 0 dealer withdrawals.
We had 0 customer deposits:
Total deposits: nil oz
We had 2 customer withdrawals:
1) Out of Delaware: 349,682.821 oz
We had 0 customer deposits:
Total deposits: nil oz
We had 2 customer withdrawals:
1) Out of Delaware: 349,682.821 oz
ii) Out of CNT: 8561.89
total withdrawal: 358,244.711 oz
total withdrawal: 358,244.711 oz
we had 1 adjustments:
i) Out of CNT: 719,687.83 oz was adjusted out of the customer and back into the customer account
i) Out of CNT: 719,687.83 oz was adjusted out of the customer and back into the customer account
Registered silver at : 45.466 million oz
total of all silver: 166.081 million oz.
The CME reported that we had a small 219 notices filed for 1,095,000. To calculate the number of ounces that will stand in silver, I take the OI standing for May (1134) and subtract out today's notices (219) which leaves us with 915 notices or 4,575,000 oz
Thus the total number of silver ounces standing in this active delivery month of May is as follows:
2082 contracts x 5000 oz per contract (served) = 10,410,000 + 915 contracts x 5000 oz = 4,575,000 oz ( to be served) = 14,985,000 oz.
Two important points today:
Thus the total number of silver ounces standing in this active delivery month of May is as follows:
2082 contracts x 5000 oz per contract (served) = 10,410,000 + 915 contracts x 5000 oz = 4,575,000 oz ( to be served) = 14,985,000 oz.
Two important points today:
1. we gained 1.625 million oz of silver standing.
2. We have now surpassed what was outstanding on first day notice 14,860,000 oz. It looks like Blythe's paper fiat does not interest our longs.
Six more tons of gold leave the GLD ETF today - the beat goes on but let's see what goes down when this goes flatline !
May 2.2013:
May 1.2013:
Tonnes1,069.21
Ounces34,376,316.61
Value US$50.482 billion
May 1.2013:
Tonnes1,075.23
Ounces34,569,726.95
Value US$50.265 billion
Selected news and views......
The following story states that Italy should use its gold reserves to force a change in EMU policy.
Only one problem I would suppose:
Italy probably has leased out all of its gold and cannot get it back
Anyway, here is Ambrose Evans Pritchard discussing the gold reserves at the Bank of Italy:
(courtesy Ambrose Evans Pritchard)
Only one problem I would suppose:
Italy probably has leased out all of its gold and cannot get it back
Anyway, here is Ambrose Evans Pritchard discussing the gold reserves at the Bank of Italy:
(courtesy Ambrose Evans Pritchard)
Italy should use its gold reserves to force a change in EMU policyBy Ambrose Evans-PritchardEconomicsLast updated: May 2nd, 2013Telegraph UKThe World Gold Council has advised Italy to deploy its 2,000 tonnes of gold to break free of EMU austerity dictates.By using the reserves – the world's fourth largest – to collateralise the first chunk of any losses for bondholders, Italy could raise €400bn or so on the capital markets and determine its own future for a while.Italy did this in 1974 when it borrowed $2bn from the Bundesbank, using gold as collateral.Portugal did the same thing to borrow $1bn from the BIS in the 1975-1977, and India used its gold to borrow from Japan in 1991.A joint WGC-Ipsos survey found that 61pc of Italian business leaders, and 52pc of the general public would support the idea, with only a small minority opposed.The report said:With Italy still facing significant financial challenges, national assets – such as gold reserves – present an opportunity to buy some vital breathing space.Gold-backed sovereign debt, or ‘gold-backed bonds’, is issued debt that is underpinned by gold collateral. By using a portion of their gold reserves in this way, sovereign states could borrow more cheaply, without selling an ounce.This use of gold would help sovereign governments to regain the confidence of the bond markets and lower funding costs. Nations could raise between four and five times the value of their gold reserves – a bond 20% collateralised by gold could raise around 80% of Italy’s two year refinancing needs.This would buy time for growth to take hold. It would lower sovereign debt yields without increasing inflation and would give Italy time and resources to work on economic reform and recovery. Using gold for the purposes of sovereign debt issuance would allow greater flexibility beyond austerity.This is exactly the sort of thinking that is needed in the occupied EMU states, and Italy has been under occupation since the ECB effectively toppled the elected the government in the coup d'etat of November 2011 – with the active collusion of President Napolitano, a former Stalinist who later transferred his ideological mania to the EU Project.Such a plan has been proposed by Alessandro di Carpegna Brivio at Camperio Sim.However, it would require the new premier Enrico Letta to tell Europe to jump in the lake, since "reflation in one country" would violate the EMU club rules.Mr Letta is highly unlikely to do so. He is a child of the EU Project – literally, since he grew up in Strasbourg. He formed his views in the entourage of Prodi and Andreotti.His drive for growth is as meaningless as Hollande's vow to relaunch growth in France. Hollande in fact did the opposite. He is tightening fiscal policy by 2pc of GDP this year in a counter-cyclical fashion, during a recession, because he is so steeped in EU insiderism that he cannot bring himself to say boo to the pedants in Brussels and Frankfurt (though some members of the Socialist Party clearly can).My worry is that the World Gold Council plan would merely prop up the unworkable EMU structure for longer, and then leave Italy even more vulnerable having played its last card.It would not resolve the fundamental problem, which is that Italy has lost unit labour competitiveness steadily for fifteen years. To try to claw this back with an "internal devaluation" is very destructive and would test social cohesion to breaking point.What Italy should do is to tell Germany that it will no longer participate in EMU unless the North reflates with an "internal revaluation" to close part of the gap. It should deploy its gold reserves to make this threat more credible.Germany would know that Italy has the means to stabilise the Italian bond market after liberation. Italy is perfectly capable of doing this – and in my opinion would benefit – since it has a primary budget surplus of 2.5pc of GDP and would not face a funding crisis.It would then be a matter of whether Germany has more to gain or lose by allowing such an even unfold.Let the Holy Roman Emperor come to Canossa.Read more by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard on Telegraph Blogs