Thursday, January 17, 2013

Harvey' Organ's blodspot - January 17 , 2013 - gold and silver data and news of the day , further discussion on Germany repatriation move ..... silver doctor pieces including a great piece from Jim Willie " The Petro Dollar Sunset "


IS TED BUTLER’S SILVER PANIC IMMINENT? APPLE CONTRACTOR CLAIMS NEW IMAC PRODUCTION DELAYED OVER SILVER SHORTAGE!

JANUARY 18, 2013 BY  12 COMMENTS
apple silver shortageSilver expert Ted Butler has long predicted and awaited an eventual industrial shortage of physical silver, and a resulting panic silver buying that terminates the bullion bank cartel’s manipulation of the silver market.  
Butler may be about to be finally proven correct, if an Apple contractor is right that Apple has delayed production on the new 27” iMacs over an industrial silver shortage in China.
With the US Mint sold out of Silver Eagles and production shut down for the 2nd time in 2 weeks, and shortages of nearly all retail silver products rapidly developing along with spiking physical premiums, it appears that a widespread retail, and perhaps industrial physical silver shortage is developing and escalating by the hour. [Read more...]


JANUARY US MINT SILVER EAGLE SALES PASS 6 MILLION, MINT SUSPENDS SALES, STATES EAGLES ARE SOLD OUT!!

JANUARY 17, 2013 BY  40 COMMENTS
*Update: as if on que, the Mint has just notified the primary dealers that Silver Eagles are sold out, and that sales are suspended effective immediately through 1/28!
The US Mint reported another 1 million Silver Eagles sold Thursday, bringing the January sales total to an astonishing 6.007 million ounces in less than 2 weeks of sales! 
With nearly half of January remaining, it is now all but certain (barring a complete shut-down by the mint) that January 2013 Silver Eagles sales will absolutely shatter the all-time monthly sales record for the Mint set in January 2011 at 6,422,000 ounces.
The Mint is currently on pace to sell a COMEX sucking 12.66 MILLION OUNCES OF SILVER EAGLES IN THE FIRST MONTH OF 2013, more than the YEARLY sales total for ANY year prior to 2008 at the US Mint!!! [Read more...]












http://truthingold.blogspot.com/2013/01/germany-pays-visit-to-united-states.html


THURSDAY, JANUARY 17, 2013


Germany Pays A Visit To The United States


Press Release from the Bundesbank:  LINK
         
Knock Knock.

Ben Bernanke:   Who's there?

Bundesbank (German Central Bank):   We would like our  gold
                                                                     back please.

Ben Bernanke:   ROFLMAO

(note: "roflmao" is texting-code for, "rolling on floor, laughing my ass off")


Here's what Jame Turk has to say about this - for the record, in studying/researching the gold market exclusively for the better part of 12 years, I believe Turk knows as much as about the subject of Central Bank gold manipulation as anyone I've encountered:  
It’s quite clear that the German gold is being held hostage.  They are not getting what they want.  They are getting what the Federal Reserve is telling them they can have.  The fact that they are doing it over 7 years rather than 7 weeks, is just an indication that gold probably isn’t in the Federal Reserve, and the Federal Reserve doesn’t want to have to go out and buy it overnight to fulfill the German demand.  They are trying to stretch it out as long as possible in order to keep gold prices controlled.
Here's the link to his interview with Eric King:  LINK

The most likely scenario is that, while it's possible, though not a certainty,  that the bars may be sitting in the West Point deep storage Fed gold vault, it has been leased out and swapped out in legal transactions designed to manipulate the price of gold.  What this means is that private parties (think:  China's central bank, very wealthy foreigners, India, etc) have the legal title to any gold that has been leased or swapped and sold outright.

If you are skeptical as to the credibility of this reality, please take the time to read this paper authored by James Turk in January 2002 - it is quite revealing:  Fed Gold Swaps














http://harveyorgan.blogspot.com/2013/01/gold-and-silver-have-upside-day.html


THURSDAY, JANUARY 17, 2013


Gold and silver have upside day reversals/more discussion on German repatriation of gold/

Good evening Ladies and Gentlemen:

Gold closed:up today by $7.70 to finish the comex session at $1690.40  Silver finished up 27 cents at $31.79.  Both silver and gold have upside outside day reversals.  The gold and equity shares languished despite the high precious metals price.  The banking cartel never allow a follow through on an upside outside day reversal and with the languishing equity prices with tomorrow being Friday (options expiry on equities) you can probably assume that they will raid again tomorrow.

We have witnessed many analyst try and decipher the German announcement of the repatriation of their gold reserves in New York and France.
I would have to agree with James Turk and T. Ferguson that the real reason for the announcement is that the Americans are refusing to supply the metal.  The Americans will only provide 43 tonnes per year which is around 18% of American production. No doubt Germany will be taking a lot of pressure to bring the gold hoard much faster.  Many talking heads are still demanding a full auditing of the gold together with proper ownership. The world is beginning to understand that the USA may have this gold sitting in NY but it has issued many obligations on this gold and in so doing they have sent these obligations through multiple hypothecation and rehypothecation occurrences.  It is important to understand that many countries are also witnessing this and probably they have come to the same conclusion as us.  Although the USA may not hand over it's metal, you can bet the farm that countries will try to repatriate their gold reserves to the motherland.The French issue is also important.  France will deliver 53 tonnes of gold per year or 374 tonnes at the end of the 7th year.  It is a short distance from Paris to Frankfurt.  Why the wait for 7 days?  By guess>>>
this gold has also been hypothecated time and time again. The bulk of the physical stories today is one this issue.  Before delving into these discussions.........



Let us now head over to the comex and assess trading today.

The total comex gold OI fell by 4222 contracts from 447,773 down to 443,551. The non active January contract month fell by 3 contracts from 96 down to 93.  We had 0 delivery notices filed yesterday so in essence we lost 3 contracts or 300 oz of gold standing for the January delivery month.  The next big delivery month is February and here the OI fell by 13,163 from 200,441 down to 187,278 as many rolled into April and June. The estimated volume today was OK at 218,821,however you must consider the many rollovers.  The confirmed volume yesterday was a lot lower at 182,194.

The total silver comex continues to play to a different drummer.  It's OI rose by 580 contracts from 140,443 up to 141,023.  Our bankers are having a tough time shaking these longs out of silver.  The non active January contract month saw it's OI fall by 19 contracts from 45 down to 26.  We had 22 delivery notices filed yesterday so again we gained 3 contracts or 15,000 in additional silver ounces standing. The next big active month for silver is March and here the OI rose by 464 contracts from 75,226 up to 75,690.  The estimated volume at the silver comex was very high at 53,002.  The confirmed volume yesterday was much lower at 34,899.


Comex gold figures 



Jan 17.2013    The  January contract month




Ounces
Withdrawals from Dealers Inventory in oz
nil
Withdrawals from Customer Inventory in oz
nil
Deposits to the Dealer Inventory in oz
0   (nil)
Deposits to the Customer Inventory, in oz
nil
No of oz served (contracts) today
 0    (nil)
No of oz to be served (notices)
93 (9,300 oz)
Total monthly oz gold served (contracts) so far this month
902  (90,200 oz) 
Total accumulative withdrawal of gold from the Dealers inventory this month
17,799.16
Total accumulative withdrawal of gold from the Customer inventory this month


 
316,767.55 oz

and silver...


Silver:




January 17.2013:   The January silver contract month





Silver
Ounces
Withdrawals from Dealers Inventorynil
Withdrawals from Customer Inventory  1,085,428.39 oz (Brinks,Delaware, Scotia)
Deposits to the Dealer Inventory nil
Deposits to the Customer Inventory   800,622.37 oz (CNT, Brinks)
No of oz served (contracts)10  (50,000 oz)
No of oz to be served (notices)16  (80,000 oz)
Total monthly oz silver served (contracts)682  (3,410,000 oz)
Total accumulative withdrawal of silver from the Dealers inventory this month2,465,925.6
Total accumulative withdrawal of silver from the Customer inventory this month4,284,014.0


****


And now for the major physical stories we faced today:

Goldcore also thinks the public does not like the 7 year wait for it's gold.

your early morning gold trading courtesy of Goldcore

(courtesy Goldcore)



Germany's Gold Repatriation Unlikely To Assuage Public Concerns

Tyler Durden's picture
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/17/2013 09:44 -0500



Submitted by GoldCore
Germany's Gold Repatriation Unlikely To Assuage Public Concerns
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,683.25, EUR 1,260.11, and GBP 1,050.85 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,679.75, EUR 1,262.78 and GBP 1,047.55 per ounce.
Silver is trading at $31.53/oz, €23.68/oz and £19.75/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,687.50/oz, palladium at $725.00/oz and rhodium at $1,125/oz.

Gold inched up $1.00 or 0.06% in New York yesterday and closed at $1,679.90/oz. Silver rose to $31.46 in Asia before it dropped off to $31.07 in London, but it then climbed to as high as $31.551 in New York and finished with a gain of 0.25%.
Gold held firm on Thursday, as investors weighed concern about slowing global economic growth and expectations for more stimulus measures. 
Platinum supply shortages in South Africa limited its 7 day rally.
Thomson Reuters GEMS reported that gold investment favoured by negative real interest rates and debt concerns, is expected to drive prices to a record average high in 2013.
Although the U.S. Fed minutes earlier in the month stirred concerns about tightening monetary policy, the U.S. debt ceiling issue still looms and without an agreement the U.S. government will run out of money by mid February.
The Bundesbank announced yesterday that they will repatriate 674 metric tons of their total 3,391 metric ton gold reserves from vaults in Paris and New York to restore public confidence in the safety of Germany’s gold reserves.

IMF Germany Total Reserves Minus Gold in Millions of USD 
Whether the repatriation of only some 20% of Germany's gold reserves from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and the Banque of Paris back to Frankfurt manages to allay German concerns remains in question. 
Especially given that the transfer from the Federal Reserve is set to take place slowly over a seven year period and will only be completed in 2020.

The German Precious Metals Association and Germany's ‘Repatriate Our Gold’ campaign said that the move by the Bundesbank did not negate the need for a full audit of Germany's gold. 
They want this to take place in order to protect against impairment of the gold reserves through leases and swaps. Indeed, they have called for independent, full, neutral and physical audits of the gold reserves of the world's central banks and the repatriation of all central bank gold - the physical transport of gold reserves back into the respective sovereign ownership countries.
It seems likely that we may only have seen another important milestone in the debate about German and global gold reserves.
Mohamed El_Erian of PIMCO in an op-ed piece in the Financial Times said that the German gold move should have “minimum systemic impact”. 

But he acknowledged the risk that this could be wrong and the decision could “fuel greater suspicion” which could result in a “hit to what remains in multilateral policy cooperation would be problematic for virtually everybody.”
He warned that “growing mutual mistrusts” could  “translate into larger multilateral tensions, then the world would find itself facing even greater difficulties resolving payments imbalances and resisting beggar-thy-neighbor national policies.”
For breaking news and commentary on financial markets and gold, follow us on Twitter.
NEWS
Germany Repatriates Gold Reserves – The Wall Street Journal
COMMENTARY


****



I want everyone to read the following conversation between Jame Turk and Eric King of Kingworld news. I have met James several times including a dinner outing with Reg Howe.  I consider this gentleman one of the best in analyzing gold (and silver).

He correctly states that Germany was caught in a corner as the Americans have refused to deliver gold stored at the Federal Bank of NY. He feels that Germany tried to put a good light on the situation and not cause an avalanche of selling in equities buy saying that the gold will arrive in 7 years.  No doubt that this is the only amount that the Americans state that they would supply them. The Bundesbank official when questioned as to why they are keeping gold in NY, stated that it was  because the FRBNY is a major gold trading centre, which is totally false.  London and Zurich are the major physical gold trading centres, not New York



I would put your money with James Turk as both him and Reg Howe together with James Sinclair are your authorities on gold.

(courtesy James Turk/Kingworldnews)  


Germany's gold is hostage to worldwide market default, Turk tells King World News

Submitted by cpowell on Thu, 2013-01-17 19:23. Section: 
11:17a PT Thursday, January 17, 2013
Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:
Germany's gold is being held hostage by the Federal Reserve because it is long gone and can't be recovered without defaulting the gold market worldwide, GoldMoney founder and GATA consultant James Turk today tells King World News. Turk adds that the Bundesbank's statement about its limited plan for gold repatriation lied when it said that New York is a gold trading center, when it is not. An excerpt from the interview is posted at the King World News blog here:
CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.



Jim Sinclair comments on the Ambrose Evans Pritchard below on a new gold standard about to be born:

First Jim Sinclair:


GOLD WILL SAVE THE FINANCIALLY COLLAPSING WORLD OF DEBT

January 17, 2013, at 4:11 pm
by  in the category General Editorial | Print This Post Print This Post | Email This Post Email This Post
My Dear Extended Family,
The following article from the Telegraph was sent to us from Dean Harry Schultz. It was Dean Harry Schultz that gave me my first great opportunity. I worked for him for 11 great years.
I have been outlining this evolution to you for more than a decade. This article touches on it, but does not outline it. This article smells it but does not yet fully appreciate it. This process is behind the ascendancy of the euro despite every bear argument to the settlement currency of choice.
This is happening in the marketplace, and not behind closed doors in smoke filled rooms. Yes, there are closed doors involved in it, but they are free market proponents. I know more about this than even the people who have already adopted a name for it.
Gold is going to and beyond $3500 based entirely on this initiative certain to become completed as a reality. It is already happening right in front of your eyes, but the world is still blind to it.
This is why gold will rise to $3500 and beyond, but never do a 1980 fall again.
This is why silver is a great trading vehicle, but not a great long term holding.
This is why I have invested $32,000,000 in my own approach towards gold.
This is why I sold ALL of my personal material treasures to make this investment when only I would do it.
This is why I took on large debt to accomplish my plan.
This was the basis for my career interview by Forbes in Dec 2000.
No government fund, no gold bank, and no long cycle analyst can stop the progression of gold. The capitalization of the forces behind gold will overcome all these other bearish considerations. I say this because I know this, not because I think this.
I knew gold’s first most important number was $1650 11 years ahead of time. I did not think it. I am telling you now because I know it that gold will go to and beyond $3500. It will be gold that saves a financially collapsing world of debt.



A new Gold Standard is being born

Last updated: January 17th, 2013
London Telegraph

The world is moving step by step towards a de facto Gold Standard, without any meetings of G20 leaders to announce the idea or bless the project.
Some readers will already have seen the GFMS Gold Survey for 2012 which reported that central banks around the world bought more bullion last year in terms of tonnage than at any time in almost half a century.
They added a net 536 tonnes in 2012 as they diversified fresh reserves away from the four fiat suspects: dollar, euro, sterling, and yen.
The Washington Accord, where Britain, Spain, Holland, South Africa, Switzerland, and others sold a chunk of their gold each year, already seems another era – the Gordon Brown era, you might call it.
That was the illusionary period when investors thought the euro would take its place as the twin pillar of a new G2 condominium alongside the dollar. That hope has faded. Central bank holdings of euro bonds have fallen back to 26pc, where they were almost a decade ago.Neither the euro nor the dollar can inspire full confidence, although for different reasons. EMU is a dysfunctional construct, covering two incompatible economies, prone to lurching from crisis to crisis, without a unified treasury to back it up. The dollar stands on a pyramid of debt. We all know that this debt will be inflated away over time – for better or worse. The only real disagreement is over the speed.
The central bank buyers are of course the rising powers of Asia and the commodity bloc, now holders of two thirds of the world’s $11 trillion foreign reserves, and all its incremental reserves.
It is no secret that China is buying the dips, seeking to raise the gold share of its reserves well above 2pc. Russia has openly targeted a 10pc share. Variants of this are occurring from the Pacific region to the Gulf and Latin America. And now the Bundesbank has chosen to pull part of its gold from New York and Paris.
Personally, I doubt that Buba had any secret agenda, or knows something hidden from the rest of us. It responded to massive popular pressure and prodding from lawmakers in the Bundestag to bring home Germany’s gold. Yet that is not the end of the story. The fact that this popular pressure exists – and is well-organised – reflects a breakdown in trust between the major democracies and economic powers. It is a new political fact in the global system.
Pimco’s Mohammed El Erian said this may have a knock-on effect:
“In the first instance, it could translate into pressures on other countries to also repatriate part of their gold holdings. After all, if you can safely store your gold at home — a big if for some countries — no government would wish to be seen as one of the last to outsource all of this activity to foreign central banks.
If developments are limited to this problem, there would be no material impact on the functioning and well-being of the global economy. If, however, perceptions of growing mutual mistrusts translate into larger multilateral tensions, then the world would find itself facing even greater difficulties resolving payments imbalances and resisting beggar-thy-neighbour national policies.
“The most likely outcome right now is for Germany’s decision to have minimum systemic impact. But should this be wrong and the decision fuel greater suspicion – a risk scenario rather than the baseline – the resulting hit to what remains in multilateral policy co-operation would be problematic for virtually everybody.
As I reported on Tuesday, gold veteran Jim Sinclair thinks it is an earthquake, comparing it to Charles de Gaulle’s decision to pull French gold from New York in the late 1960s – the precursor to the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system three years later when Nixon suspended gold conversion.Mr Sinclair predicts that the Bundesbank’s action will prove the death knell of dollar power. I do not really see where this argument leads. Currencies were fixed in de Gaulle’s time. They float today. It is within the EMU fixed-exchange system – ie between Germany and Spain – that we see an (old) Gold Standard dynamic at work with all its destructive power, and the risk of sudden ruptures always present. The global system is supple. It bends to pressures.

My guess is that any new Gold Standard will be sui generis, and better for it. Let gold will take its place as a third reserve currency, one that cannot be devalued, and one that holds the others to account, but not so dominant that it hitches our collective destinies to the inflationary ups (yes, gold was highly inflationary after the Conquista) and the deflationary downs of global mine supply. That would indeed be a return to a barbarous relic.
Hopefully, it will be nothing like the interwar system. That was a dollar peg that transmitted US deflation to the whole world when the Fed tightened too hard in 1928 and went berserk in 1930.
A third reserve currency is just what America needs. As Prof Micheal Pettis from Beijing University has argued, holding the world’s reserve currency is an “exorbitant burden” that the US could do without.
The Triffin Dilemma – advanced by the Belgian economist Robert Triffin in the 1960s – suggests that the holder of the paramount currency faces an inherent contradiction. It must run a structural trade deficit over time to keep the system afloat, but this will undermine its own economy. The system self-destructs.
A partial Gold Standard – created by the global market, and beholden to nobody – is the best of all worlds. It offers a store of value (though no yield). It acts a balancing force. It is not dominant enough to smother the system.
Let us have three world currencies, a tripod with a golden leg. It might even be stable.

SLV Adds Record 572 Tons Of Silver In One Day, More Than In All Of 2012




Tyler Durden's picture
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/17/2013 11:34 -0500



Technically the addition of 572 tons, or a massive 18,378,092 ounces of physical silver, to the SLV ETF, in one day is not a record, as it excludes one amount which however was a year end rebalance at the end of 2007 offset promptly on the next day, but it certainly is the biggest one day addition of physical silver to SLV in ordinary course operations. It is also more silver added to the ETF in all of 2012, when just 544 tons were added in the entire year. This was driven by the creation of some 19,000,000 shares of SLV overnight which brought the total to 356.8 million shares. And since there has been no move in the price of silver, which certainly would have soared had this amount been purchased in the open market we can only assume this has to do with in kind basket creation taking place. Whether this was due to arbitrage, or simply the need to create inventory we don't know: we are confident however, that SLV custodian, money laundering expert extraordinaire HSBC, will have no comment. Just as there is no comment why in the days following the epic May 1, 2011 take down of silver, a nearly just as large 522 tons of silver poured out the ETF on May 4, 2011. What is certain is that a move of this size is certainly notable.

and from Silver Doctors.....funny the Mint is out of silver already ! 



JANUARY US MINT SILVER EAGLE SALES PASS 6 MILLION, MINT SUSPENDS SALES, STATES EAGLES ARE SOLD OUT!!

JANUARY 17, 2013 BY  12 COMMENTS
*Update: as if on que, the Mint has just notified the primary dealers that Silver Eagles are sold out, and that sales are suspended effective immediately through 1/28!
The US Mint reported another 1 million Silver Eagles sold Thursday, bringing the January sales total to an astonishing 6.007 million ounces in less than 2 weeks of sales! 
With nearly half of January remaining, it is now all but certain (barring a complete shut-down by the mint) that January 2013 Silver Eagles sales will absolutely shatter the all-time monthly sales record for the Mint set in January 2011 at 6,422,000 ounces.
The Mint is currently on pace to sell a COMEX sucking 12.66 MILLION OUNCES OF SILVER EAGLES IN THE FIRST MONTH OF 2013, more than the YEARLY sales total for ANY year prior to 2008 at the US Mint!!! [Read more...]

http://www.silverdoctors.com/jim-willie-the-coming-isolation-of-usdollar/


JIM WILLIE: THE PETRO-DOLLAR SUNSET

JANUARY 17, 2013 BY  22 COMMENTS
jim willieWith this week’s 600+ ton gold repatriation announcement by the Bundesbank, Germany certainly appears to be taking Jim Willie’s advice to heart that those who exit the USdollar system first will be the leading nations in the next global economic chapter.
The day is nigh where the Saudis accept non-US$ payments for crude oil. They might first accept Chinese Yuan, then Japanese Yen, then Korean won, then Gold itself through big Turkish bazaars.
The Petro-Dollar is being isolated for sunset, and what will be a key event is the removal of the USDollar as center for global trade settlement.
Those nations that depart from the entire USDollar system early will be the leading nations in the next chapter, with stronger foundations, richer solvency, emerging economies, healthier financial markets, efficient credit engines, growing wealth, stronger political helm activity, and better functioning systems generally.

Those nations that stick with the crumbling USDollar system stubbornly will find a horrible fate with devastating effects, rampant economic damage, broken financial markets, sputtering credit engines, tremendous loss of wealth, wrecked supply lines, poverty spreading like wildfire, ruined political structures, social disorder, isolation from the rest of the world, and a fast ticket to the Third World.
The typical human reaction to any infection, vermin, danger, or toxicity is to stand back, to isolate the agent, to trap it, to prevent its further spread or release, then to remove it in a safe secure way if possible using trained professionals. Eventually decisions must be made on the level of acceptable risk on the removal, like what is willing to be lost or damaged or killed in the process. Risk analysis, cost trade-offs, and minimization decisions must be evaluated and executed. The toxic agent in global trade, global banking, and global bond market is the USDollar. In 2009, the Jackass began making a certain firm point. Those nations that depart from the entire USDollar system early will be the leading nations in the next chapter, with stronger foundations, richer solvency, emerging economies, healthier financial markets, efficient credit engines, growing wealth, stronger political helm activity, and better functioning systems generally.
Imagine a contaminated blood system that infects, corrupts, and destroys all interior organs from the spread of the toxin. Those nations that stick with the crumbling USDollar system stubbornly will find a horrible fate with devastating effects, rampant economic damage, broken financial markets, sputtering credit engines, tremendous loss of wealth, wrecked supply lines, poverty spreading like wildfire, ruined political structures, social disorder, isolation from the rest of the world, and a fast ticket to the Third World. That is EXACTLY what is happening in the last several months. A division has begun, as the East has been busily installing the next generation platforms, as related to trade, banking, and commercial integration.
NEW ASIAN TRADE ZONE
The division between East and West actually accelerated when the extremely ill-advised decision for Iran sanctions was made by an increasingly desperate United States Govt and its handler on the Southern Med. The division continues, matures, and develops with each passing month. It has become a story, as the Eurasia trade zone concept has been born. It has a long way to go, but Asia however has made great strides lately in unifying commerce. The climax event of the Asian trade zone conference held in Vietnam could not have been more important, as they rejected the US-led plan. The Asians partners and players even rejected the United States from the entire Asian trade zone, but did include Australia and New Zealand. The incredibly stupid naive US-led plan, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, attempted to create a trade zone with Asia which would have blocked China. Imagine the incredibly obtuse blockheaded maneuver of trying to have all of Asia not conduct facilitated trade with China, its leading trade partner.Talk about shooting both legs and genital region with a double barreled shotgun! This is the signal flare of US political stupidity that has turned highly destructive for the USEconomy and its people. Such failed leadership and counter-productive initiatives will push the US into the Third World even faster than previously thought possible. The isolation is firming quickly. Most of Asia does not wish for strong trade ties with the United States, most likely since they do not see mutual benefit. They see a ravaging appetite to grab capital.

A Paradigm Shift is taking place, and the ASEAN-China summit gave proof positive in a seminal event of the vast changes in progress. The United States just suffered its worst humiliation ever as a nation on the Eastern global stage. It was exceeded only by the humiliation for a US president personally. The story went uncovered by the lapdog inept US press. The late November Asian summit meeting held in Phnom Penh included 15 Asian nations, which represent half the world’s population. They decided to form a Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership that excludes the United States. The Asians are pushing to isolate the United States. Regard it as punishment for hegemony, or a reaction to prevent further capital drainage, or to protect from central bank abuse, or to wall off continued bond fraud export, or to defend against military aggression. Regard it as confirmation that China is the regional leader in Asia, even for military security. Regard it as a response to banker criminality, or simply for being totally full to the brim of American corruption and arrogance and abuse of position, led by creation of the USDollar as an elaborate weapon and credit card whose balance is never to be repaid. Abuse of power and sponsored financial corruption will have extreme consequences in the reshaping of global commerce and banking. The US will be isolated, so as to protect the rest of the world from its fascist exhibitions and deep manifestations.

FLUSHED NATION
The shift is in progress, and the American people have no idea what is happening. They are too pre-occupied by the agency torture of the population, urgently needed to remove guns and to create the police state. Current events are heinous and genocide on large scale and small scale. Any comments will be limited on the orchestrated travesty, travails, and tragedy. They all have one traceable element, which connects to a certain Virginia suburb where an intelligent pillbox operates in the shadows with puppet strings to the press networks and maybe Hollywood. The security agencies turned to the dark side years ago, with full devotion to narcotics, money laundering, and collusion with the castle dwellers. When the Praetorian Guard plots to bring about a police state, the only words that come to mind are disaster, disorder, mayhem, betrayal, degradation, death. Their tools are psychotropic drugs, violent training, weather altering devices, and basic sabotage. Treason is the calling card unfortunately for much of the US leadership class, whether banking, politics, economics, pharmaceuticals, or news networks. Think Syndicate, as my work has described for several years. The United States with its harsh new visa policies, molestation at airports, heavily defended borders, sponsored gun running, has shown a vicious visible visceral fascist streak that has begun to bring memories of the national socialists of Central Europe 70 and 80 years ago. They are back, stronger than ever, not having been eliminated. They were instead assimilated within the banking and security organizations, able to plant seeds which germinated with the sons in offspring. Two sons became presidents.
DEUTSCHE MARK GONE
In the 1960 and 1970 and even 1980 decades, the favorite currencies off the standardized tables of commerce were the USDollar and DeutscheMark. At one time in the Soviet Union and the Soviet Bloc of Eastern Europe, more USDollars and DMarks were in circulation than official Russian Rubles or Polish Zlotys or Hungarian Forints or whatever. Those years are long gone, as in long gone, all paper alternatives lousy. Under a strange bizarre compromise arranged to assimilate East Germany and to conceal the French sovereign debt, the Euro Monetary Union and the common Euro currency was born. It is now in the process of disintegrating. So the powerfully strong and stable German DMark went away. Back in those decades, only limited travel was done by the Jackass, confined to a honeymoon in France and Switzerland with a cold woman no longer inflicting her plague-like touch in my life. The Jackass deals exclusively in Latin currency of paper and human variety. No exposure to alternative currency held under the table was discovered in beach locations to the south or modest hotels in the green hills to the north. But friends reported stories. My older brother spent two months in Germany and Czechoslavakia, with ample stories of hoarded USDollars and DMarks. Store owners and wise families were eager to obtain USD and DM currency, even young kids. He and some ambitious friends heard stories of vast black market activity in Russia, where the US$100 bill was a favorite. In that era, Gold was not an item of pursuit or stored wealth. Times have changed radically, and Gold is the new store of value.

Times have changed with the sunset of the DMark and the toxicity of the USDollar. The people, the shop keepers, the business men, the small financial firms, they all have been turned upside down in recent years as they struggle to find a safe place to store wealth. Money has been corrupted. The purveyors of money have lost control by accelerating its supply by central banks, lost control of bank solvency, lost control of anything remotely acting like an honest tether to money itself. As a result, all those people, the shop keepers, the business men, the small financial firms, have been discovering Gold & Silver bars and coins. Their combined actions have resulted in an implicit isolation of the USDollar, even an isolation of the Southern European sovereign debt. Swiss havens have grown, in parallel with Gold havens. The toxic monetary plague has been identified, and its toxic sources too. They are the US Federal Reserve and the Euro Central Bank. They are ruining money, undermining wealth, and destabilizing the entire world related to wealth, banking, commerce, and economies. The armies of people, the shop keepers, the business men, the small financial firms, are working to isolate the USDollar as toxic agent in a demonstration of survival.

FREEDOM FROM DELUSION
Many bright people within the gold community cling to hope, harbor delusions, and maintain expectations, none of which have much value in the fast changing world of fascist entanglement and full integration. The Jackass has operated without delusions, firmly in belief that the corrupt systems would flourish. That viewpoint and operating principle has proved to be correct since 2004 when the Hat Trick Letter began to spout deeply disturbing forecasts. One after the other, most of the forecasts have indeed occurred, to the detriment of the nation and its systems and its society at large. No pleasure has come from forecasting a wrecked housing market (burdened by lax underwriting and bond fraud) or a broken insolvent banking system (from bond losses and dependent upon money laundering) or a desperate chronically USGovt budget (dragged down by adopted socialism and sacred war costs) or a spreading Southern European bond crisis (addressed only by higher subordinated toxic paper).

No pleasure is taken from seeing vast legions of struggling Americans, including a few close friends, who have lost jobs, lost homes, lost savings, lost pensions, and lost a valuable sense of security, as they continue to hang on. Many might actually find the warmth of the official camps, only to disappear later on. Argentina and Chile had their desaparecidos, and so will the United States. My ugly expectation is that before their bodies are incinerated, vital organs will be extracted for black market gains. Inoculations upon entry will assure them of good health and fully functioning organs. Later, vaccines will infect them, just like with the swine flu vaccine. By the way, in Costa Rica a brief story to enlighten on vaccines. In early 2008, the Jackass advised a couple families with numerous children and cousins in school to reject the swine flu vaccine that was promoted by the school authorities at the urging of US officials. They took my advice after their confidence was won on several other matters. Only one of about 20 children took the vaccine. She has been sick with a mysterious cerebral disease for over two years. My mention of searching for Guillain Barre symptoms has not helped. The mothers are grateful, as they did not understand at first my emotional outburst to discourage following the school advice. The official US camps will involve forced vaccines. Later on, false stories will be promulgated that the dead bodies were the result of already sick people entering the camps for quarantine purposes. In reality, the people would only have suffered from hunger and exposure and despair.

Hope is not part of my forecasts, but rather the reality of the corrupt human power game mindset. The US banking, economic, and political leaders can easily be expected to continue their corrupt games, with easy forward calls. No expectation of USGovt regulatory agencies is part of my forecasts, but rather the reality of their nearly perfect track record of big bank loyalty and fraud protection. The US regulators can easily be expected to continue their corrupt games, with easy forward calls. Clinging to precious metals mining stocks is not part of my forecasts, a decision made back in early 2008. They are bound in paper wealth, subject to inflation in share dilution just like the USDollar, vulnerable to jurisdictional confiscations, and at the mercy of labor unions whose production is increasingly halted. Unfortunately, too many fine people within the gold community, including GATA, hold firm on hope, regulators, and mining stocks. Not here! The major financial networks rely upon advertisement revenue from Wall Street, fund managers, an market exchanges. GATA has a business model that has one key vulnerability, with strong links to the mining firms. It has tainted their viewpoint sadly. My support of GATA is firm on challenge of USDollar legitimacy before the Supreme Court, on challenge of US regulators to enforce the law, on challenge of the big banks to prove their solvency, on challenge of the central bank to reveal their activity. But the Jackass does not expect the Supreme Court to ever rule the USDollar as illegal, nor the US regulators to ever enforce the law, nor the big banks to ever remove themselves from corruption, nor the central bank to ever conduct business in opposition to the biggest banks under supranational orders.

My personal background has taught me well that a corrupt system never corrects itself. Instead, it spins out of control with broken platforms, layered mechanisms to impose its servitude and influence, complete with side projects to illicitly support itself. See the theft of Iraq gold and theft of Libyan gold. Their people will never again see that wealth. The US system will remain broken until it collapses, never to be corrected until after its collapse.

The Jackass does not align with the expectation of mining stock rise. The stocks are paper wealth in a new era of paper wealth implosion, during which inflation of shares through dilution is rampant. My full expectation is for physical metal prices for Gold & Silver to rise, while mining stocks continue to fall in value from dilution and reduced metal output. The leverage is a mirage when large deposits are seized by desperate foreign governments in need of income. What on earth is complicated about understanding this point?? The leverage is a mirage when workers are the focal breakdown point for a higher cost of living. If workers cannot afford to feed their families and survive, mine output will suffer. What on earth is complicated about understanding this point?? The leverage is a mirage when rising mine operation costs must be handled, by the simple practice of share dilution. Combine with regular executive stock options, and the dilution on stock shares is huge. What on earth is complicated about understanding this point??

POWERFUL CORRUPTION INERTIA
Corruption Inertia is a principle firmly believed in when Jackass forecasts must be made. The corruption will continue with firm immutable momentum, without an external force acting as agent of change. At times, this is simple science. When colleagues introduce hope and what must be, the OFF button is engaged quickly here in my office. Their views are out of touch with reality. Corruption will persist as long as the Syndicate continues to hold power. It will remain the constant while the USDept Justice remains, while the USDept Treasury remains, while the US Regulators remain, even while the US debt rating agencies remain. They all support the current system. They are all subject to momentum pressures. Only an external force will result in change. When the USDollar is further isolated, that change will come. To expect change from the inside due to internal forces is lunatic, kind of like expecting an alcoholic to change on his own from an awakening. Al Capone was removed not from inside the Chicago crime boss conference of dons. He was brought down by external forces related to income tax. The world will similarly reject the USDollar for its tax on the system, unwanted, discarded as a toxic agent.

PROTECTION FROM THREAT TO WEALTH
Again, delusion works well when fashioning a creepy little shell of existence to protect oneself from the psychological damage of a predatory government syndicate or security agency apparatus. The Jackass mocks such defense mechanisms, since a guarantee for poverty and misery. The vast legions of Americans will soon awaken to find their jobs are hanging by threads, their wealth either vanished or converted to USTreasury Bonds by force, their liberties long gone, and their ability to seek out foreign lands for residence curtailed. In fact, one nation after another is actually banning acceptance of Americans for bank accounts. See Switzerland, Panama, and Hong Kong. The US subjects are seen as persona non grata not for their own characteristics, but for the passport they hold from the United States. The USGovt as lord acts like syndicate bullies, agents to abuse embassy privileges, with imposed extra legal paperwork like an extra burden. The isolation is not only of the United States, but of its citizens, whose business is not desired. Hence the Americans will increasingly be trapped in the US along with their money. The Jackass response to threat is not to embrace delusion, and not to seek a blanket to cover my head in the basement quarters. Instead, the response has been to head for the hills with pockets filled.

People, both clients and colleague, inquire when the Gold price will rise with vigor, when the mining stocks will rise with gusto. They remind that with all the central bank debasement of currency from Zero Interest Rate Policy and Quantitative Easing, the ultra-cheap, artificially cheap, desperate cheap money to finance USGovt debt should make the Gold price zoom upwards with each QE official announcement. My answer is quite simple. Each new QE program gives the dark forces more motivation to slam the gold price with naked shorts in sale of paper gold and paper silver. To be sure, the true value of Gold and the true value of Silver is higher, but it is not reflected in the COMEX price. That market is the epitome of corruption. If they were in charge of measuring fevers, they would place the thermometers on ice. Instead, a vast divergence comes between the paper Gold price and metal Gold price. Unless and until the Gold market is freed from corruption and freed from the shackles of Wall Street and London and Swiss influence, it will continue to be suppressed. My full expectation is not for the system to correct itself from within. Instead, the COMEX seeks out new sources of supply, like the GLD Exchange Traded Fund. It is probably far more gutted than publicly stated. It has been converted into a bullion bank central repository for easy raided inventory. The Gold price will not rise from internal forces to push up value, in response to central bank monetary policy or shortage of COMEX inventory.The Gold price will rise from external forces in USDollar isolation, along with isolation of the big banks in the US and London. Their gold inventory will be removed, returned, and drained. In time, the USDollar will widely be rejected in trade.

THE NEW ISOLATION HAS BEGUN
The process of isolation is not just now beginning. It is a process well along. In fact, it has been told that immediately following the Lehman Brothers death (a deliberate exploited execution) and the adoption of toxic vats by the USGovt in the form of Fannie Mae and AIG, the major foreign players located primarily in the East began to feverishly prepare for new platforms on trade and banking. They sought to develop an alternative. For the last 20 to 25 years, a backwards principal has been at work. It dictated that the USDollar would prevail in reserves management, actually the USTBond as vehicle. The rules for trade surplus recycle were constructed to lean toward usage of the USTBonds. Therefore, the global trade would be dominated by USDollars. In other words, banking would dictate trade settlement. That is backwards, and keenly exhibits the brute force of the USDollar hegemony. Also the crude oil payments have been standardized in USDollars, ever since the Saudis cut a major deal with the USGovt and UKGovt in the mid-1970 decade after the famous embargo. Protection came to the Saudi regime and Persian Gulf emirates, in return for exclusive USDollar payment on trade for oil. The Petro-Dollar defacto standard is the primary plank behind the USDollar global trade patterns shown for over three decades. It is coming to an end, a sunset.

IRAN SEMINAL EVENT
The Iranian sanctions put forth by the USGovt and adopted by the EuroZone nations have contributed more to unwinding the USDollar trade system than any event in decades. It sounded the death knell for the USDollar. It hastened numerous nations to seek a US$ alternative. It provided a fertile environment to fashion new trade settlement mechanisms. It pushed Turkey into acting as a gold bullion intermediary role in the provision of gold for usage in trade settlement. See their role with India and Iran, fully described in the December Hat Trick Letter. When an independent highly reliable gold trader source was asked to confirm the role of Turkey as a test case in developing gold based trade settlement, he gave a tacit confirmation. He has mentioned Turkey in past conversations over the last couple years frequently. Just as Turkey was a swing nation in the NATO alliance against the Soviet Union, Turkey will serve in my view as a critical swing nation in the movement to create a non-US$ trade settlement system. The new system will be decentralized, meaning not funneled through the major banks, not passing through the USFed as clearing house. Turkey will be essential in the formation of the Eurasia trade zone. First comes the Asian trade zone (the US excluded), and next comes the hand shake between the Asians and Europeans to create Eurasia. Some folks have expressed doubt toward the arrival of a vast trans-continental trade region. They seem painfully unaware of an incredible network of railway lines connecting Russia to Germany and China, and of a incredible network of liquified natural gas lines connecting Russia with all of Europe and Central Asia. Across the new trade zone and its diverse commerce, the USDollar will not be at the center. It is in fact being isolated, since it is a toxic agent. Everything US$-based is crumbling, from currencies to bonds to banks to credit lines to economies.

CHINESE YUAN BILATERAL CURRENCY SWAPS
The advent of barter has come. It has not been noticed by the incredibly distracted, misled, deceived, poorly trained, mentally challenged, and myopic American public. They read about a currency swap accord, give it no emphasis or importance, and then turn to the fund manager opinions on rotating stocks from one sector to the next. They read about a workaround to the Iran sanctions, express some puppet-like response of anger or disgust, and then turn to IPOs and stories on Google, Apple, and Facebook shares. They do not even read about the failed Trans Pacific Partnership, since it did not make it onto the financial pages. Sadly, the Jackass is slowly adopting a cold view that vast swaths of the US populace will suffer from a Darwinian event. Their home equity has vanished. Their job security has vanished, unless they work for defense contractors. Their pension funds have been damaged. Their wealth has been over 90% dedicated to paper securities in very obedient fashion. The great majority has dismissed the arguments for sound money or gold investments. Some have a pitifully small portion devoted to hard assets like perhaps some energy companies. Only those who adopt a Gold strategy will survive the powerful storm underway, as it intensifies. Great wealth is being destroyed, and only Gold & Silver will enable that survival by the construction of lifeboats. Paper wealth is being blown away, as only hard metal assets will prevail. Add energy and farmlands.

When people ask about the best allocation, my standard response is at least 90% precious metals, the rest to energy deposits, but not actually stocks, perhaps farmland if possible. The best diversification in my view is for laddering of silver purchases, starting at $10/oz and moving to $15/oz then $20/oz and finally to $25/oz with continued accumulation at $30/oz and above. Gold will win the monetary war, but Silver will take the greatest gains. Gold is fine for a more stable long-term protection against toxic paper wealth, but my ongoing objection is that the New York, London, and Swiss syndicate centers play too many games. Silver is subject to global shortages, vast industrial demand, non-replaceable usage, and a much more dangerous situation that the powerful dark forces cannot manage. Silver coins will be widely used in commerce, while Gold bars will thrive in banking transactions. Besides, killing werewolves is the zinger factor with silver bullets.

China has made numerous bilateral swap accords with other nations. As the label indicates, they are deals cut between China and another nation to freely use Chinese Yuan from a credited account that will retain equilibrium. So far many nations have signed up and even renewed deals. The list of nations includes Brazil, Russia, Japan, and India. One might be correct to include all of Asia on the list, as nations like South Korea and Taiwan and Vietnam freely trade in Yuan transactions. The first major signal that the bilateral swaps have taken hold sufficiently to undermine the USDollar through a new trade foundation will be the complete arena of Asian trade being conducted in Yuan transactions. They have no need for USDollars in trade. They see their USTBonds held in reserves under management as vulnerable to serious loss. They see their USTBonds held as subject to grand debasement from USFed central bank monetary policy itself. They see their USTBonds held as supported by Weimar machinery in hyper-drive. They see their USTBonds held as part of a corrupted Wall Street arena and its vast trappings. They see their USTBonds held as prisoner to the USGovt debt battles and a potential crush victim on a fall from the fiscal cliff.

The Chinese bilateral swap accords are actually barter deals. They often represent rather balanced trade, unlike with what the nations have set up with the United States. Unless nations purchase enormous lots of military hardware, they have little need for US products. Hence the end result is a bigger batch of toxic USTBonds to purchase in order to balance the accounts and to avoid the local foreign currency exchange rate from rising enough to damage their export trade. The bilateral swap accords work to create numerous two-way ties as part of a latticework that eventually will form a transnational fabric without the USDollar as nuclear cores in each connection weld. The bilateral swaps are barter without the name in a direct confrontation against the USDollar and its catbird seat. That seat, once a throne, is being dismantled. The latticework of bilateral swaps has created the critical mass of a global blanket with no centralized control room, no choke points with bank transactions, no SWIFT code ticket taker. The bilateral swap accords work to build a critical mass that isolates the USDollar from an entirely new foundation for trade. The USDollar is being isolated.

COMEX PRESSURE POINT
The COMEX is under constant unrelenting pressure. They must shift around ill-gotten precious metal inventory in order to avoid a default. That would be embarrassing. The main device for maintaining order at the COMEX continues to be naked shorting of futures contracts, a blatantly corrupt practice. The naked short ambushes occur with greater frequency in recent months. The arrival of Scotia Mocatta as a provider of gold supply and naked short commitments will kill them eventually, as they have made a deal with the devils. The overnight dispatch of silver from the US to London has grown enormous. One can only suspect that the raids of GLD gold inventory and SLV silver inventory is much greater than is estimated even by its most ardent critics. The illicit sources for COMEX precious metal are fast drying up.

The new wrinkle to render damage to the COMEX is the arrival of the Shanghai Gold Exchange. The graphic displays the differential, a basis for potential arbitrage. Complex arrangements can be constructed that take advantage of the differential, basically buying the gold metal in New York, finding a way to make it available in Shanghai, where it is sold at a $20 to $30 higher price. The end result of the arbitrage is high volume drainage of gold in New York. The snapshot below is taken from December 7th. Several other snapshots are available, with similar price spreads. Finally COMEX based in New York, a major nucleus of corrupt financial markets, has some competition. Expect the spread to widen, the opportunity for arbitrage to grow, and pressure to build for a breakdown.

Sadly for the evil camp, they are fast running out of sources. They stole the entire MF Global private accounts, denied the clients their legal right to receive silver in delivery, and received legal protection by the USGovt and Appellate courts, after changing the law applied to financial firm liquidation instead of brokerage firm liquidation. It was a blatant maneuver that has depleted the COMEX of a major slice of legitimate business. The subsequent similar raid on PFG-Best had an echo effect, adding to the removal of COMEX clientele. The end result is that the risk hedge trade is finding ways to conduct their business without use of the indescribably corrupt COMEX. So the COMEX is being isolated in risk hedging just like the USDollar in global trade.



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