Monday, January 21, 2013

Fiscal Follies - Inauguration Day version - and items on the House agenda for the week of January 21 , 2013

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-01-21/house-votes-debt-ceiling-suspension-wednesday-pelosi-calls-it-gimmick-unworthy-chall


House Votes On Debt Ceiling Suspension Wednesday As Pelosi Calls It "Gimmick Unworthy Of Challenges We Face"

Tyler Durden's picture




While it is not news that the GOP has proposed a temporary debt ceiling extension that would suspend the provisions of the debtceiling target until May 19, as was reported last week, however which would demand that the Senate do something unthinkable, and something it has not done for 4 years, namely pass a budget by April 15, it is news that asThe Hill reports, the vote to suspend the debt ceiling in the House will take place "as soon as Wednesday."
From The Hill: "While past measures to address the debt limit have simply increased the borrowing cap, the House bill would actually suspend the debt limit for three months. Then, on May 19, the debt limit would be automatically increased from $16.4 trillion to accommodate whatever additional borrowing the Treasury had done during that time frame. The House Rules Committee posted the text of legislation as Washington prepared for President Obama’s second inauguration. In addition to preventing default, the bill would withhold members' pay if Congress fails to pass a budget by April 15."
As we explained last week, this is merely a plan to shift fiscal (ir)responsibility into the Democrat camp, as it is virtually impossible that America can have a budget now or ever again. After all with $1 trillion deficits as far as the eye can see, the possibility to bluster and claim one is fiscally responsible while demanding $4 trillion in debt until 2016, will hardly fool the majority of the people any more of the time. Sure enough, Pelosi's response has made it quite clear this entire plan is DOA: "the proposed three-month debt- limit increase does not relieve the uncertainty faced by small businesses, the markets and the middle class. This is a gimmick unworthy of the challenges we face.
That clears it up.
More from The Hill:
House Republican leaders are using the bill to put pressure on Senate Democrats to pass a budget, which they have failed to do for over four years.

“Before there is any long-term debt limit increase, a budget should be passed that cuts spending,” Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) told the Republican conference Friday in remarks to close the party’s three-day retreat in Williamsburg. “The Democratic-controlled Senate has failed to pass a budget for four years. That is a shameful run that needs to end, this year.”

Leading Senate Democrats have said they will produce a budget resolution that will included increased revenues, and will consider the debt limit boost set to come from the House.
House Republican leaders have billed their measure as "no budget, no pay." But the bill would not actually eliminate pay for members of Congress if there is no budget in place by April 15. Rather, if a chamber of Congress, such as the Senate, fails to pass a budget by April 15, all income earned by members of that chamber would be set aside. Members would receive that pay in full once a budget is passed, or on the final day of the 113th Congress at the end of 2014.

This arrangement was struck as a way to avoid running afoul of the 27th Amendment of the Constitution, which states that no law varying the compensation of members of Congress can take effect until a new Congress is in place — members cannot vote to give themselves raises or pay cuts.
Needless to say, the word "budget" to the democratically-controlled senate is like garlic stew to a graveyard of vampires:
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid’s spokesman, Adam Jentleson, said in a statement that the House must pass a “clean” debt-limit increase. He didn’t address Cantor’s statement about requiring members of Congress to forfeit their pay if a budget isn’t adopted.

House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi’s spokesman, Drew Hammill, said in a statement that the proposed three-month debt- limit increase “does not relieve the uncertainty faced by small businesses, the markets and the middle class. This is a gimmick unworthy of the challenges we face.”
Political divisions in Congress pose limits to the ability of Republicans to achieve their long-term goals of deep cuts in spending, Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan of Wisconsin told reporters at the retreat two days ago.

Ryan said Republicans want “a two-way discussion between Democrats and Republicans and out of that hopefully some progress being made on getting this deficit and debt under control.”

The last time the Democratic-led Senate adopted a budget was in April 2009. The Senate and House are supposed to pass budget resolutions early each year to set a spending framework, though there is no enforcement mechanism. Without a budget resolution, appropriations bills allocate money for the federal government.
Leaders said the tactic of short-term debt-limit increases was used in the 1980s during the presidencies of Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush as a prelude to broader agreements on spending cuts.

“No one is talking about default, no one wants to default,” South Carolina Republican Mick Mulvaney, who voted against the 2011 debt-ceiling deal, said in an interview yesterday with Bloomberg Television’s “Capitol Gains” program airing tomorrow. There is a “lot of support growing” among the rank and file for a short-term debt limit, he said.
Finally, Obama has been quite clear on the issue:
Obama has said he won’t negotiate the terms of a debt-limit legislation the way he did in 2011, and he is demanding more tax revenue to accompany further spending cuts. House Speaker John Boehner, an Ohio Republican, has said that any increase in the debt ceiling would have to be accompanied by commensurate spending cuts.
At the end of the day, the debt ceiling will naturally pass, as otherwise the market's ascent to new all time highs may be hindered.
Recall the sequence of events:
  1. Fed monetizes deficit, issues trillions in debt as collateral for reserves
  2. Banks use reserves, transformed under shadow banking, to boost risk assets, and otherwise invest in the capital markets
  3. The stock markets grinds higher, as the economy does not grow, generating even more deficits
  4. Even more deficits mean even more debt has to be monetized by the Fed, going back to step 1.
  5. Sometimes the market has to plunge just to remind Congress who is in charge and that without a debt ceiling hike, there will be no more under the table pennies on a dollar kickbacks from Wall Street to D.C.
And that, in a nutshell, is the game.


and..........


http://thehill.com/blogs/healthwatch/medicare/278369-overnight-health


OVERNIGHT HEALTH: Obama digs in on entitlements

By Sam Baker and Elise Viebeck 01/21/13 05:22 PM ET
President Obama used his second inaugural address Monday to make clear that he sees politically popular entitlement programs as sacrosanct commitments, and won't sign on to reforms that would weaken that commitment. Obama nodded toward the importance of reducing healthcare spending, but he also took the opportunity to push back against Republican rhetoric framing Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security as unaffordable.
"The commitments we make to each other — through Medicare, and Medicaid, and Social Security — these things do not sap our initiative; they strengthen us," Obama said. "They do not make us a nation of takers; they free us to take the risks that make this country great."
Healthwatch has the story.

*   *   *  

http://www.politico.com/story/2013/01/obama-medicare-social-security-changes-only-on-my-terms-86502.html?hp=l2

Obama: Medicare, Social Security changes only on my terms

President Barack Obama drew a hard line once again Monday against entitlement cuts that could change the basic structure of programs like Medicare or Social Security — making it clear that any measures to reduce the cost of health care must be done on his terms.


It wasn’t a new message, but by reinforcing it in his inaugural address, Obama doubled down on the boundaries he has drawn in his fight with Republicans over the next stages of deficit reduction. The president’s forceful defense of these social safety-net programs fit with a larger theme of his speech, defending the role of government in American society.
“We must make the hard choices to reduce the cost of health care and the size of our deficit. But we reject the belief that America must choose between caring for the generation that built this country and investing in the generation that will build its future,” Obama said.
Obama delivered those lines as Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.), the author of the House Republican Medicare plan and Mitt Romney’s former running mate, sat in the crowd at the Capitol.
Obama’s message could make it harder to negotiate entitlement changes down the road as part of a deal to head off across-the-board spending cuts, or to keep the government open this spring after its temporary funding runs out. But it could also buy him some room to make cuts that don’t restructure the programs — as long as Obama can convince Democrats that they don’t shift costs to “the generation that built this country.”

“We do not believe that in this country, freedom is reserved for the lucky, or happiness for the few. We recognize that no matter how responsibly we live our lives, any one of us, at any time, may face a job loss, or a sudden illness, or a home swept away in a terrible storm,” Obama said.
And in an unmistakable dig at Romney’s 47 percent remarks, Obama declared that the main three entitlement programs “strengthen us” — and don’t make Americans a nation of freeloaders.
“The commitments we make to each other — through Medicare, and Medicaid, and Social Security — these things do not sap our initiative; they strengthen us,” Obama said. “They do not make us a nation of takers; they free us to take the risks that make this country great.”
Obama’s remarks were a nod to the hyper-polarized state of Medicare politics after the election. Obama has said he’s willing to make “modest” changes to Medicare to keep it solvent in the long term, but he wants to do it by bringing costs down — not by making structural changes to the program.
Republicans want structural changes, and they’ve noted that their ideas for changing Medicare into a “premium support” program — where it becomes a competition between traditional Medicare and subsidized private plans — did better with voters in the election than a lot of Democrats had predicted. Romney and Ryan easily won among seniors even though Obama attacked their Medicare plan at every turn.
But it’s the overall election results that give Obama the leverage that he has — and will force him to pay close attention to Democrats’ concerns.


The GOP Medicare premium support plan is clearly off the table for Obama, but other structural changes have become tougher, too. During the fiscal cliff talks, Democrats steered Obama away from considering an increase in the Medicare eligibility age, even though Obama has been open to it in the past. They’re a little bit more willing to talk about expanding means testing of Medicare premiums for upper-income seniors, but even that is a tough sell.
Instead, Obama talks about extending the life of Medicare by bringing down the cost of health care. But he’s already trying some experiments in how to do that, as part of Obamacare, and those experiments are just getting underway.


What’s more, Obama administration officials point out that the health care law already cuts future Medicare spending growth, largely by trimming payments to health care providers and private plans — and these are the exact cuts Romney attacked in the campaign, when he hammered Obama over and over for sanctioning $716 billion in Medicare cuts.
Obama’s speech also gave him a chance to recapture the broader, sweeping goals behind his health care reform law in a way that he rarely did during his reelection campaign.
When Obama talked about the health care law during the campaign, he usually boiled it down to its most popular parts — like covering everyone with pre-existing conditions, giving seniors more generous Medicare coverage of prescription drugs, letting young adults stay on their parents’ health plans, and keeping health insurance companies from charging higher premiums to women.
But in his inaugural address, Obama reminded his audience that the law was also intended to be the broader, finishing piece of the nation’s social safety net — a protection against the illnesses that can strike anyone without warning.
“Together, we resolved that a great nation must care for the vulnerable, and protect its people from life’s worst hazards and misfortune,” Obama said.
Minutes before Obama delivered his address, Ryan put out a statement congratulating Obama and resolving to put their differences aside.
“The president and I were political opponents. We had strong disagreements over the direction of the country — as we still do now,” Ryan said. “But today, we put those disagreements aside. Today, we remember what we share in common.”


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