Saturday, December 15, 2012

Greece has been bailed out three or four times , Juncker says Cyprus is worse than Greece - where do the woes of Spain and Italy fit in ?

http://www.ekathimerini.com/4dcgi/_w_articles_wsite2_1_14/12/2012_474586


Insurance premiums set for major hike from January

 Insurance companies will raise their premiums for new policies as life expectancy rates have increased and their revised charts are going to be factored into the sector’s calculations from January 2013.
By Evgenia Tzortzi
The new year is set to bring an increase of 40 to 60 percent to private pension programs and healthcare insurance policies for those who wish to sign new contracts.
Pension programs’ soaring costs are rendering access to private social security even more difficult, at a time when public social security provisions are decreasing and people are seeking solutions that will secure them a decent pension in the future.
Premium hikes are not the outcome of the policy of insurance companies. Rather, they are due to external factors and developments at the European level. Their combination is leading to a radical change in the insurance products available in this country.
The first change concerns the application of a directive that forbids sex discrimination in the pricing of insurance products. This ban has been imposed through a European Union directive drawn up following a case brought to the European Court by a Belgian consumer group and will apply as of December 21.
Another serious reason for the premium hikes is the revision of life expectancy charts that insurance companies base their calculations on. The charts, which show expected longevity per age group, were recently updated by the Bank of Greece and will apply from the start of 2013. Both men and women are now expected to live longer than in the past and this will be reflected in insurance policies.
Regarding sex discrimination, to date, women have paid higher premiums for pension products than men, as the fact they tend to live longer meant they would need more money in order to amass the stock to secure them the pension agreed with the insurance firm, which must be paid for more years than in the case of men.
One would have expected that this would lead to a reduction in women’s premiums and an increase in men’s, but that is not the case. The reason for that is the life expectancy charts, whose application pushes premiums higher for both sexes.
For example, previously, a 40-year-old man signing a new pension contract would pay 2,215 euros a year to secure 500 euros a month at the age of 65, but with the new tariffs he will have to pay 3,475 euros per annum, while a 30-year-old woman paying premiums of 1,560 euros a year to get a 500-euro pension when she hits 65 will now have to pay 2,280 euros per annum.
This dramatic hike in premiums for men and women is also attributed to a third factor: This is the interest rate on which guaranteed pension, which the insurance company is committed to paying, is calculated. The downward course of the markets has seen all investments by insurers yield less, forcing them to reduce their rates. That means that the insured will have to pay more money now to amass the required amount by the end of their working years.


http://www.ekathimerini.com/4dcgi/_w_articles_wsite2_1_14/12/2012_474585

Gov’t drafts plan to ease borrowers’ debt load

 Measure affects the unemployed, disabled, those with long-term illnesses, people who have had pay slashed
By Giorgos Bourdaras
The government is waiting for the approval of the European Central Bank and the Bank of Greece before tabling in Parliament a draft law that provides for lifting some of the debt burden on specific categories of overindebted households, according to Deputy Development Minister Athanasios Skordas.
Speaking in Parliament on Friday, the government official made it clear that there is no question of a general haircut on loans burdening households, as such a move would result in the creation of serious new problems for the credit system and the economy in general.
“It is true that many households have been taken aback by the reduction of their incomes and are unable to respond to their loan obligations. Our objective is to focus on protecting those households that are really unable to respond to their obligations,” Skordas said in response to a question by New Democracy deputy Dimitris Kyriazidis.
He went on to describe the steps that are being planned for the short term in this direction, in adherence with the government’s pre-election pledges. He said that in the coming days the government will extend the suspension of house auctions where the property involved is the borrower’s main residence until the end of 2013. The draft law that is being processed contains an amendment to the extrajudicial compromise system the existing legislation provides for: “Instead of the joint decision by all parties that the law requires for an out-of-court settlement, that can happen with the payment of only 50 percent plus one [euro] of the debt,” said Skordas.
According to the minister, the people to benefit from this debt-lightening provision will be all the unemployed, all those with disabilities, all people with a long-term illness, those with four or more children, and any salary workers and pensioners with annual revenues below 25,000 euros who have seen their incomes slashed by at least 35 percent since January 1, 2010.
The government will also “improve the existing framework of the operation of [bad loan register] Teiresias, so as to allow banks to deal with the problems of people who may have had an isolated misfortune of any kind in a more flexible fashion.”


http://www.ekathimerini.com/4dcgi/_w_articles_wsite2_1_14/12/2012_474572

Juncker: Cyprus's fiscal woes greater than Greece’s

The fiscal situation in Cyprus, the fifth euro-area nation to seek international aid, is “more serious than Greece,” a danger overlooked by markets, Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker (photo) said on Friday.
]“My priority in the short term for 2013 is Cyprus,” Juncker, who heads the group of euro-area finance ministers, told reporters in Brussels.
“It’s a problem one shouldn’t underestimate, because it’s more serious than Greece. This isn’t taken into consideration by the financial markets or the international press.”
Cypriot banks need about 9.3 billion euros in fresh capital, according to a preliminary report by Pacific Investment Management Co, Cypriot broadcaster RIK reported last Sunday.
Another 6 billion euros may be needed to refinance state debt and 1.5 billion to cover fiscal deficits, Finance Minister Vassos Shiarly said on November 22.
That would bring the total to 16.8 billion euros, almost the size of Cyprus’s 17.9-billion-euro economy.
The country’s general government gross debt will rise to 89.7 percent of gross domestic product this year, according to the European Commission.
That figure does not take into account any aid Cyprus may receive.
“Cyprus’s debt is extremely high and the money they need makes up basically 100 percent of their GDP,” Juncker said in an interview.
“It’s a very serious situation.”
President Dimitris Christofias said on Friday that Cyprus has an agreement in principle with the so-called troika that oversees euro-area bailouts, and the accord will be signed after the results of PIMCO’s assessment are available in mid-January.
“The negotiations have been difficult,” he said.


and the political rumbles in spain should increase......


CATALAN QUESTION


http://elpais.com/elpais/2012/12/14/inenglish/1355493361_807491.html


Mas seals deal with leftist ERC to remain as Catalonia’s premier

MIQUEL NOGUER / MAOIL ROGER Barcelona
Leader's Unió partner expected to back Republican Left parliamentary pact “without enthusiasm”

http://elpais.com/elpais/2012/12/12/inenglish/1355341763_404278.html

Catalan parties agree to call for referendum on independence

EL PAÍS Madrid / Barcelona
Deal between CiU, ERC paves way for Mas to remain premier. Education minister blasted in Congress over language reform




And politics in Italy set to be interesting......

http://www.edmontonjournal.com/business/Berlusconis+longtime+ally+rules+support+should+Monti/7704990/story.html

Berlusconi's longtime ally rules out any support should Monti run for premier in elections

 

 
 
 
ROME - The leader of the party that kept Silvio Berlusconi in power insists he won't support any election alliance to put Italian Premier Mario Monti back in office in voting early next year.
Roberto Maroni, Northern League leader, was quoted as saying Saturday that he told Berlusconi that any support for Monti would be "impossible." Monti was appointed a year ago to replace Berlusconi, amid financial market turmoil. Berlusconi says he's running to regain the premiership but that he could step aside if Monti runs himself.
The Northern League refused to back Monti's government. Maroni said the League could support any run by Berlusconi's political heir, Angelino Alfano. Voter surveys find sagging support for Berlusconi's conservatives. Elections are expected in February. Monti hasn't said if he will run.


and......

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/12/14/italy-vote-idUSL5E8NEDKB20121214

Fri Dec 14, 2012 5:11pm EST
* Election bid seen damaging Monti's independent status
* Opinion polls point to a centre-left victory
By James Mackenzie
ROME, Dec 14 (Reuters) - Italy's main centre-left party, leading polls for next year's election, criticised calls for Prime Minister Mario Monti to run for a second term, a move one of the party's leading figures said would be "morally questionable".
The Democratic Party (PD) has supported Monti's technocrat government in parliament. But, while it has pledged to continue his fiscal discipline and wants him to stay on in some role after the election, it says he should stay out of the campaign, which polls suggest he would lose anyway.
"It would be illogical and in a certain sense morally questionable if the professor were to enter the race against the main political force which supported him in his reform efforts," Massimo D'Alema, a former prime minister and an influential centre-left elder statesman told Friday's daily Corriere della Sera. "I have great esteem for him and I hope he doesn't."
Centre-right candidate Silvio Berlusconi has offered to stand aside to allow a Monti candidacy.
European politicians from German Chancellor Angela Merkel to French President Francois Hollande also heaped praise on Monti and at a meeting of European centre-right parties on Thursday, he was urged to run in the election.
Monti avoided public comments on his political future, telling a news conference in Brussels it would not be "either possible or appropriate" for him to speak on the matter. But in an interview with an online religious magazine, Monti said Italians had earned respect for their economic sacrifices.
"Italy did not derail and it will succeed", Monti told Francescan magazine sanfrancesco.org.
Industry Minister Corrado Passera also declined to comment on whether Monti would be a candidate in the vote, expected by February, "at least for now".
"I'm confident that our work will continue under a new government and a new parliament," Passera said at an Italy-American conference in New York. He added that he thought the worst was over for the euro zone's third-biggest economy and that it would improve in the second half of 2013.
Monti's austerity measures have helped reduce borrowing costs since he took over in a financial crisis last year. Italy's public debt nonetheless rose above 2 trillion euros ($2.62 trillion) for the first time in October, the Bank of Italy reported on Friday.
PD party leader Pier Luigi Bersani said on Thursday he would call on Monti to perform some kind of role immediately after the election. But he has said it would be better for the respected former economics professor to stay out of the campaign.
Opinion polls suggest Monti would be defeated if he ran, and PD officials say that would make it harder for him to replace President Giorgio Napolitano, who must step down by April.
"He would have been a political competitor not 10 years earlier, or something like that, but last week," Stefano Fassina, the main PD spokesman on economic affairs told Reuters.
POLL NUMBERS
Napolitano, who named Monti to replace the discredited Berlusconi a year ago, said last month that Monti's special lifetime seat in the Senate would not allow him to make an election bid.
Monti also would be cautious about associating with the scandal-plagued Berlusconi, whose position switches have caused frustration and alarm across Europe and in his own party.
Berlusconi reiterated criticisms of Monti's austerity programmes on Friday and said he would be obliged to lead the centre-right if Monti did not accept the role.
"I have had to return because of this," he told his own Italia Uno television station. "We're convinced that moderates will never allow the left to win with its policies of more spending and more taxes especially on the middle class."
A potential Monti election vehicle, a centrist group recently set up by Ferrari chairman Luca Cordero di Montezemolo, is polling under three percent in most surveys.
An average of two weeks' opinion polls by website termometropolitico.it gave the PD 32.7 percent, ahead of the anti-establishment 5-Star Movement on 16.8 percent and Berlusconi's People of Freedom party (PDL) on 15 percent.
A potential centrist coalition that could back a Monti candidacy polled 9.2 percent.





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