Thursday, December 13, 2012

Gold and Silver news and data for December 13 and 14 , 2012 - Ed Steers , Harvey Organ / Silver Doctors ? The Golden Truth / Lars Schall/

http://www.caseyresearch.com/gsd/edition/just-coincidence-her-majesty-queen-trotted-through-bank-englands-gold-vault


Just coincidence? Her Majesty the Queen is Trotted Through Bank of England's Gold Vault

Dec
14
"The Bank of England and the LBMA et al must be terrified to the core to pull off a ballsy publicity stunt of this magnitude."


¤ YESTERDAY IN GOLD AND SILVER

As I mentioned in 'The Wrap' in yesterday's column...a not-for-profit seller showed up at 9:00 a.m. Hong Kong time on their Thursday morning and engineered waterfall declines in all the precious metals...with the ones in silver and gold being the most egregious.
The low price tick of the day....$1,688.70 spot...came just a few minutes before the opening of the equity markets in New York...and the subsequent rally got capped the moment the price ventured above the $1,700 spot price mark...which came a few minutes after twelve o'clock noon Eastern time.  Once the Comex closed, the gold price traded sideways for the remainder of the session.
Gold finished the Thursday trading day at $1,697.30 spot...down $14.30 from Wednesday's close.  Volume was very decent at around 170,000 contracts.
Once the silver price got bashed at 9:00 a.m. in Hong Kong, it more or less traded sideways from there right up until the 8:00 a.m. GMT open in London.  From that point, the selling pressure began anew...and silver's low tick [$32.13 spot] came five minutes before the 1:30 p.m. Comex close.
From that low it recovered a bit until about 3:40 p.m. Eastern time in electronic trading...and then traded flat until the close of  trading at 5:15 p.m.
This was the second day in a row that silver had an intraday price move of over a dollar.
Silver closed the day at $32.54 spot...down 91 cents from Wednesday.  Volume was very chunky at around 58,000 contracts.
The dollar index opened in the Far East on their Thursday morning at 79.89...and then spent the entire day wandering around within about 10 basis points of where it opened.  The index closed at 79.93.
It should be blindly obvious to anyone that the currencies played no part in what was going on in the precious metal markets yesterday.

*  *  * 

The CME's Daily Delivery Report showed that 8 gold and 286 silver contracts were posted for delivery on Monday.  In silver, the two biggest short/issuers were Barclays and Jefferies, with 207 and 62 contracts respectively.  The biggest long/stopper was the Bank of Nova Scotia with 205 contracts...and JPMorgan was in second place with 66 contracts to be delivered to their client account.  The link to yesterday's Issuers and Stoppers Reportis here.
There were no reported changes in GLD yesterday but, surprisingly enough, an authorized participant added 1,354,816 troy ounces of silver to SLV.
The U.S. Mint had a sales report yesterday.  They sold 1,500 ounces of gold eagles...and another 200,000 silver eagles.
Over at the Comex-approved depositories on Wednesday, they reported receiving 931,932 troy ounces of silver...and shipped 316,627 ounces out the door.  The link to that activity is here.
Here's what John Williams over at shadowstats.com had to say about the precious metals and the U.S. dollar price action on Wednesday..."In response to the QE3 expansion, initial market reactions in U.S. dollar and gold trading appears to have been muted by direct market interventions, possibly co-ordinated by the President’s Working Group on Financial Markets, which has the ability to intervene in any market, at any time, as it deems necessary. Such was discussed by Alan Greenspan when he was Federal Reserve Chairman."


*  *  * 

Bernanke: Fed Can't Offset Fiscal Cliff—'It Is Just Too Big'

There are limits to how much aid the Federal Reserve can provide to the U.S. economy, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke warned on Wednesday as he urged politicians to tackle a year-end fiscal cliff that could derail the country's gradual recovery.

"We have innovated quite a bit in the last few years, and (it) is always possible we could find new ways to provide support for the economy," he told a news conference after the Fed announced another round of bond buying to spur growth.

"But it is certainly true ... that with interest rates near zero and the (Fed's) balance sheet already large, that the ability to provide additional accommodation is not unlimited."
This story showed up on the moneynews.com Internet site on Wednesday afternoon...and I thank West Virginia reader Elliot Simon for our first story in today's column.  The link is here

Credit unions have surpassed BofA/JPMorgan in Seattle

If you haven’t switched away from one of the big banks, chances are you’ve at least considered it.  Many Americans, fed up with hidden fees and excessive charges, have said goodbye to the big banks in favor of credit unions in recent years.  Here in Seattle, that shift has been dramatic.
Twenty-eight percent of Seattle-area households bank primarily with a credit union now, up from 21.5 percent in 2008, according to market data firm Scarborough Research.  That is a 30 percent jump in credit union banking, the ninth largest increase out of 96 metro areas around the nation.  About half of all households banking with a credit union in the Seattle-Bellevue-Everett area are with BECU.
The story from The Seattle Times was posted on their website early on Tuesday morning....and naturally enough, it's courtesy of Washington state reader S.A.  The link is here.


UK credit rating threatened with S&P downgrade

George Osborne's economic credibility suffered a fresh blow on Thursday when Standard and Poor's became the third of the major credit ratings agency to put the UK's AAA rating on negative outlook.
In a statement issued just after the London markets closed, S&P warned there was a one-in-three chance that it would strip the UK of its cherished AAA status within the next two years.
"We believe this could occur in particular as a result of a delayed and uneven economic recovery, or a weakening of political commitment to consolidation," it said.
This story appeared on The Guardian website early yesterday evening GMT...and I thank Elliot Simon for alerting me to this news item.  The link ishere.


Tax Evasion Probe: Why Deutsche Bank Will Emerge Unscathed

Five hundred officials with the German Federal Criminal Office (BKA), the federal police and tax investigators searched Deutsche Bank's headquarters on Wednesday morning. A short while later, the finance giant declared that its CEO Jürgen Fitschen had become the subject of an investigation. Officials are looking into possible value-added tax evasion by Fitschen and the company's chief financial officer Stefan Krause.
Specifically, investigators are examining whether the company conducted illegal trade in carbon emissions certificates. The Frankfurt public prosecutor's office has accused 25 of the bank's employees of serious tax evasion, money laundering and obstruction of justice. On Wednesday, they ordered the arrest of five suspects.
Now Fitschen is also the subject of investigation. Is there a chance of him losing his job, though? Probably not.
Unless something radical happens, we've now discovered that the large banks are basically above the law.  A slap-on-the-wrist fine, but nobody goes to jail, no matter how egregious the crime.  As I said yesterday, it has become just another cost of doing business.  This story was posted on the German websitespiegel.de yesterday...and it's courtesy of Roy Stephens.  The link is here.


EU leaders back Monti against Berlusconi

Germany's Angela Merkel and other centre-right leaders have indicated they would like to see Mario Monti to keep on running Italy instead of Silvio Berlusconi.
The centre-right leaders - as well as the two Italian political adversaries - met in Brussels ahead of an EU summit on Thursday (13 December) in an event designed to prevent Italy's political turmoil from stirring up the euro-crisis once again.
The centre-right European People's Party (EPP) chief Hans Martens admitted to journalists he stage managed the whole thing so that neither Monti nor Berlusconi knew the other would be there until the last minute to make sure that both men showed up.
"It was a clarifying meeting in which we wanted to hear about the political situation and to express our massive support for the policies pursued by Monti, not only for Italy, but for the stability of the eurozone as a whole," Martens said.
This story was posted on the euobserver.com Internet site early yesterday evening in Brussels...and I thank Roy once again for bringing it to our attention.  The link is here.


Four King World News Blogs/Audio Interviews

The first blog is with Rick Rule...and it's headlined "Largest Capital in the World Now Entering Gold & Silver Space".  Next is Michael Pento.  It's entitled "Fed's Balance Sheet to Hit a Shocking $6 Trillion". The last blog bears the title "KWN Friday Gold Chart Mania"...and all the charts are courtesy ofNick Laird.  The audio interview is with GATA's Chris Powell...and it's a must listen.


China now world's largest market for silver investment

In spite of rapid development in the Chinese silver market over the past decade, both silver demand and supply are expected to achieve further growth, says a Thomson Reuters GFMS study released Thursday by the Silver Institute.
Meanwhile, investment demand from Chinese silver investors has jumped in recent years, making China the world’s largest market for both physical investment and paper trading of silver future and other similar contracts, says the study.
In 2011, China’s demand for silver bars and coins soared to 17 million ounces, accounting for 8% of worldwide net purchases of physical silver.
This must read story was filed from Reno just after midnight...and Ulrike Marx found it on the mineweb.com Internet site shortly after it was posted.  The link is here.


Just coincidence? Her Majesty the Queen is Trotted Through Bank of England's Gold Vault

Maybe it's just a coincidence but maybe instead it's a propaganda campaign launched by the British government and the Bank of England to assuage growing international concern about the oversubscription, lending, and swapping of Western central bank reserves...because the Bank of England welcomed Queen Elizabeth II herself for a grand tour of its gold vault, which attracted all the major British news organizations and instantly became a sensation throughout the United Kingdom.
WTF??? My jaw hit the floor when I read this...and you could have knocked me over with a feather.  The Bank of England and the LBMA et al must be terrified to the core to pull off a ballsy publicity stunt of this magnitude.  I wonder if you have any idea, dear reader, of just how highly placed one would have to be to ask a Royal Favour of this size?  It would come from the very top....the Prime Minister and/or Sir Mervyn King himself...amongst others...as Her Majesty would certainly have never come up with this idea on her own.
Based on this act, I'd say that the problems in the physical market at the LBMA and the Bank of England are orders of magnitude worse than even we at GATA could have possibly imagined.  As far as I'm concerned, all bets are off going forward...despite what JPMorgan et al are doing to the price in the paper market just now.
Not in my wildest dreams did I think it would come to this. This absolute must read story from The Guardian was posted on the gata.org Internet site yesterday...and the link is here.  You couldn't make this up if you tried.


*   *    * 

¤ THE WRAP

I admit it sounds preposterous to suggest that JPMorgan might be stuck and trapped in their massive concentrated COMEX silver short position. After all, the bank is the one true master of the derivates universe, being the largest derivatives trader of all. Even more preposterous is the circumstance that the bank has remained silent against continuing allegations that their massive short position constitutes price manipulation. But no matter how outlandish the suggestions may seem, an objective assessment of the facts point to JPMorgan being up to its neck in the criminal manipulation of the silver market. The only question is the outcome.  - Silver analyst Ted Butler...08 December 2012
I have nothing else to add to what I've already said about gold and silver at the top of this column.  The only reason why someone would sell a boat load of contracts in the thinly-traded Far East market is to affect the price...and generate more technical fund long liquidation so the shorts can cover.  That's precisely what JPMorgan et al were up to on Wednesday evening...but how successful they were won't be known until next Friday's COT Report.  What I found surprising was that there was no downside follow-through during the Comex trading session in New York.
The other question that needs answering is how much more downside price activity there's going to be...and only JPMorgan Chase et al have the answer to that.  The 200-day moving averages beckon...but can they, or will they?  Beats me...and no one else knows, either.
Today we get the latest Commitment of Traders Report for positions held as of the close of Comex trading on Tuesday.  Based on the prior week's price pattern, I'm not overly optimistic about what it will show and, of course, yesterday's price and volume activity won't be in it.
Nothing much happened in overnight trading...as all was quiet during the Friday session in the Far East...and it's pretty much the same in early London trading as well.  Volumes are relatively 'normal'...whatever that means these days...and the dollar index, which had been down about 20 basis points at one point, gained all of that back in a vicious little rally that began just before London opened at 8:00 a.m. GMT.
I have no idea as to what to expect in today's action in New York.  But it's a Friday...and nothing will surprise me when I switch my computer on later this morning.
Enjoy your weekend...or what's left of it, if you live just west of the International Date Line...and I'll see here tomorrow.




















http://harveyorgan.blogspot.com/2012/12/huge-raid-on-silver-and-gold.html


THURSDAY, DECEMBER 13, 2012


Huge raid on silver and gold

Good evening Ladies and Gentlemen:

Gold closed down by $21.00 to $ 1695.60.  Silver fell by $1.43 to finish the comex session at $32.28 as the entire planet knew a raid was coming today due to the hit on the precious metals in the access market last night. This whole charade will end once London is out of it's physical and everybody stampedes to this side of the pond to obtain the last hoard of physical metals.

In other news today, Greece receive her 39 billion euros today and will also receive a further 10 billion euros at the end of March.  All eyes will be on the ECB as  the USA announced QE4 yesterday and thus the ECB will also try and increase it's balance sheet as Draghi lowers the Eur/USA cross in order to help exporting nations like Germany.  We will go over all of these stories but first....................................

let us head over to the comex and assess trading on Thursday.

The total gold comex open interest rose by a considerable 5175 contracts from 433,586 up to 438,761.  The bankers were waiting in the wings as the pummeled the price of gold and silver today. The active contract month of December saw it's OI fall from 685 down to 609 for a loss of 76 contracts.  We had only 1 delivery notice yesterday so we lost 75 contracts or 7500 oz of gold standing in December.  The non active contract month of January saw it's OI fall from 1,226 down to 1077 for a loss of 149 contracts.  The next big active month is February and here the OI rose by 4892 contracts from 279,748 up to 284,590.  The estimated volume today was big coming in at 167,377.  The confirmed volume yesterday was also big coming in at 173,039.

The total silver comex OI rose by 1981 contracts from 142,085 up to 144,066.
The active contract month of December saw it's OI rise from 570 up to 673 for a gain of 103 contracts.  We had 61 delivery notices so we thus gained an additional 164 contracts or 820,000 oz of silver. The non active contract month of January saw it's OI fall by 17 contracts down to 518.  The next active contract month is March and here the OI rose by 1450 contracts from 84,955 up to 86,405.
The estimated volume today was quite high at 57,672.  The confirmed volume yesterday was also good at 50,642.


The estimated volume today was quite high at 57,672.  The confirmed volume yesterday was also good at 50,642.


Comex gold figures 
Dec 13.2012    The  December contract month


Today, we  had  huge sized activity  inside the gold vaults 

The dealer had no deposits  and no   withdrawals.
We had 1  customer deposits:

Into Scotia:  771.6 oz

total deposit:  771.6 oz

we had 1 monster customer withdrawal:

Leaving JPMorgan vault:  321,500.00 oz of gold  99.98 tonnes


Adjustments:  3 with all leaving the customer and entering the dealer:

i) from the HSBC vault, 104.53 oz leaving the customer and entering the dealer at HSBC

ii) From the Manfra vault:  289.35 oz leaving the customer and entering the dealer.

iii) and finally Scotia whereby 504.625 oz leaves the customer and enters the dealer. 



Thus the dealer inventory rests tonight at 2.616 million oz (81.27) tonnes of gold.

The CME reported that we had 225 notices  filed  for 22,500 oz of gold. The total number of notices filed so far this month is thus 2729 notices or 272,900 oz of gold. To obtain what will stand for December, we take the open interest standing for December (609) and subtract out today's notices (225) which leaves us with 384 contracts or 38,400 oz of gold left to be served upon our longs.

Thus the total number of gold ounces standing for delivery in December  is as follows:

272,900 oz (served)  + 38,400 oz (to be served upon)  =  311,300 oz  (9.68 tonnes of gold).

we lost 7500 oz of gold standing in the December delivery month.




Silver:
Dec 13.2012:   The December silver contract month



Today, we had huge activity  inside the silver vaults.

 we had no dealer deposit and no  dealer withdrawals:


We had 2 customer deposits of silver:

Into CNT:  exactly 300,717.000 oz deposited

ii) Into JPMorgan:  631,215.80 oz

total deposit:  931,932.80 oz


we had 3 customer withdrawal:

i) Out of Scotia:  300,599.62 oz
ii) Out of Delaware: 2006.95
iii) Out of Brinks;  14001.1 oz
total customer withdrawal:  316,627.69 oz


we had 3  adjustments:  (all leaving the customer and entering the dealer accounts)

i) Out of Brinks:  117,345.35 oz leaves the customer and enters the dealer.
ii) Out of CNT:  another masterful 359,651.000 oz leaves the customer and enters  the dealer.

iii) Out of Scotia:  25,713.60 oz leaves the customer and enters the dealer.



Registered silver remains today at :  42.021 million oz
total of all silver:  147.5  million oz.

now we are still awaiting for the deliveries which should subtract out of the dealer accounts.  



The CME reported that we had 169 notices filed for 845,000 oz. 

To determine the number of silver ounces standing for December, I take the OI standing for December  (673) and subtract out today's notices (169) which leaves us with 504 notices left to be filed or 2,520,000 ounces left to be served upon our longs.
Thus the total number of silver ounces standing in this  active month of December is as follows:

12,435,000 oz (served) + 2,520,000 (oz to be served upon)  =  14,955,000 oz

we gained a massive 820,000 oz of addition silver  standing for December.


*   *   * 


items of note - silver doctors et al........


BILL MURPHY: BLATANT POST QE4 METALS RAIDS INDICATE THE CARTEL IS GETTING DESPERATE

AltInvestors has released a MUST LISTENinterview with GATA’s Bill Murphy on the Fed’s QE4 announcement Wednesday, in which the Fed effectively admitted to full and open monetization of the US deficit.
Regarding the gold and silver raids Wednesday night and Thursday, Murphy states that the action is just farcical, there is NO EXPLANATION for an absolute smash in the metals in the wake of QE4, and that the cartel is desperate to protect their naked shorts.  
Murphy states in 14 years he has never seen such obvious manipulation in gold and silver, and it indicates that something is very, very wrong in the bullion banking cartel
.  Murphy stated that the blatant cartel capping and manipulation of gold and silver is the most blatant and heinous crime on the American people in history, and that the scumbags are getting away with their crimes because there is no rule of law left in America.
Bill Murphy’s full rant below:
[Read more...]



JIM SINCLAIR: CARTEL CAP WILL FAIL AS EASTERN CASH MARKET GOLD DEMAND WILL DRIVE GOLD OVER $3500/OZ!

The legendary Jim Sinclair has sent an email alert to subscribers regarding the blatant gold and silver manipulation in the wake of Wednesday’s QE4 announcement. Sinclair states that the Fed via Goldman has been capping gold in the $1700′s for months via the ESF, but that the Fed’s capping of the gold market via paper will fail spectacularly as Eastern physical gold demand overwhelms the paper manipulators and drives the price of gold well north of $3,500/oz.
Sinclair’s full MUST READ alert is below: [Read more...]

SILVER WOULD NEED TO REACH $700/OZ TO ACHIEVE 1980 VALUE BASED ON MARKET CAP

David Morgan’s ResourceInvestor.com has released a 4 minute clip with Ryan Jordan, author of Silver- The People’s Metal on why modern portfolio’s should hold tangible assets such as PHYSICAL SILVER rather traditional financial assets like corporate and government bonds and securities.  Jordan points out that at the peak of the 1980 bull market in silver, the value of the world’s silver bullion reached 10% of the market cap of the entire US stock market.  In today’s terms, this would put the value of the world’s silver at over $1.5 TRILLION, or approximately $700/oz!
Full clip below: [Read more...]
http://truthingold.blogspot.com/2012/12/heres-why-gold-is-going-much-higher-in.html

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 12, 2012


Here's Why Gold Is Going MUCH Higher In Price

Like gold, U.S. dollars have value only to the extent that they are strictly limited in supply. But the U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or, today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost. By increasing the number of U.S. dollars in circulation, or even by credibly threatening to do so, the U.S. government can also reduce the value of a dollar in terms of goods and services, which is equivalent to raising the prices in dollars of those goods and services. We conclude that, under a paper-money system, a determined government can always generate higher spending and hence positive inflation  (Ben Bernanke on curing deflation,Before the National Economists Club, Washington, D.C., November 21, 2002 LINK)
You know, I've read that speech several times and today is the first time that I noticed that he prefaced that particular passage with "like gold."  Truly remarkable when you let that sink in.

We've seen today from one fundamental standpoint just why gold is going to go a lot higher in price, as it will become significantly more "scarce" in supply relative to the supply of fiat currency being printed up.

HOWEVER, largely unnoticed and distinctly not commented on or analyzed, was another key fundamental factor:  the enactment of the Basel III Accord.  I've written an exclusive article for www.Seekingalpha.com which explains why Basel III will unequivocally mean much higher values for gold (and silver).  You can read that article here:

Gold will be de facto reasserted into the global financial system as a currency. This should add a new dimension to the ongoing bull market in gold and silver, as banks globally now have incentive to accumulate and hold gold as a valuable, liquid asset which can be leveraged as an operating asset.

Here's the link:   THE BASEL III ACCORD AND HIGHER GOLD

http://www.larsschall.com/2012/12/12/the-deutsche-bundesbank-and-its-gold-to-trade-or-not-to-trade/


The Deutsche Bundesbank and its Gold: To trade or not to trade?

It happened over and over again, in fact precisely three times, that I wrote an information request to the press department of the Deutsche Bundesbank, Germany’s central bank. All three times I wanted to know specific details about the German gold reserve held abroad. And all three times my questions were basically brushed off. Now it has happened for the fourth time that I wrote to the Bundesbank press department. But this time was different right from the beginning.
By Lars Schall
This time was different right from the beginning, as this request was the result of an interview that I did recently with Ambrose Evans-Pritchard. I’ve talked with him about the German gold reserve held abroad. The rest is pretty self-explanatory – as you will see.
The follow-up
On December 5, I wrote to the Bundesbank press department under the heading “Media Request” an email of the following content:
Dear Ladies and Gentlemen,
my name is Lars Schall, I am a freelance journalist for finance from the Ruhr area. On behalf of Matterhorn Asset Management / GoldSwitzerland in Zurich, Switzerland , I have conducted an interview with Mr. Ambrose Evans-Pritchard (in the CC), the international business editor of the British newspaper The Daily Telegraph. This interview will be published today.

During the course of the interview, I’ve asked Mr. Evans-Pritchard about his thoughts with regards to the German gold reserves stored abroad. He raised then some questions related to it, about which he said that the Bundesbank owes some answers to them. Therefore, I would like to forward these questions to you herewith.
To give you the context, here’s the relevant excerpt taken from the interview. The five extracted questions will follow afterwards. (Please note that I will add also three questions that I have myself related to the topic.)
From the interview:
L.S.: What are your thoughts on the controversial topic of the German gold reserves that are held in New York City, London and Paris?
A.E.P.: Well, I think that it is quite extraordinary that the Bundesbank pulled out two thirds of its gold from London in early 2001, I believe it was. (4) This seems an odd thing to do, I mean, they had a very large share of the gold reserves sitting in London, and why did they do this?
It happened to be a time when Gordon Brown had ordered the Bank of England to sell over half of Britain’s gold. We were doing so at the bottom of the market, I might add. We managed to create the bottom of the market, these auctions were the lowest points reached – I think 252 dollars an ounce and Britain sold off some of its gold,  a lot of it under 300 dollars; fantastically stupid thing to do in retrospect, but then Gordon Brown thought it was a “barbarous relic” and thought it had no place in modern finance. He entirely bought into the modern fiat triumphalism.
So the word going around in London is that the Bundesbank had reason to fear that those holdings were not secure anymore and that maybe the Bank of England had sold short some of its gold, leasing it out; or maybe got over extended. Clearly that didn’t prove to be the case as far as we know, but maybe they were concerned about that at the time. Apparently these gold bars in London were not numbered, so the Bundesbank was keeping un-numbered bars there. All they had was a metal account in the Bank of England. They didn’t have specific allocated bars under their name which is, I find, a completely extraordinary situation as they should have done that. I would think the Bundesbank might want to answer to its German citizens about why it was doing that.

L.S.: Well, maybe I will do it. – Another question related to this topic: have you seen any convincing reasoning why Germany should keep a large amount of its gold reserve at the New York Fed?  After all, these are 45 percent of the total amount of roughly 3.400 tons.
A.E.P.: The original argument given was because they were afraid of a Soviet tank attack over running Frankfurt in a few hours. They had to have it safe a long way away. Obviously that issue has become irrelevant. The other argument is you need it for trading, and I think a member of the executive board of the Deutsche Bundesbank, Andreas Dombret, mentioned this in fact in his speech in New York. So you need it there for trading. Well, ok, what are you doing if you are trading it, what are you doing exactly, in what way are you trading it, should a central bank be trading that stuff or should it be sitting on the asset? I think it asks for an awful lot of questions if they are keeping it in New York because they need it for trading. Then I think people might want to know what kind of trading it is and why are they trading it.
As I understood it, you might want to shift the weighting of your asset -I know the Bank of Italy very aggressively shifts its assets, so it switches from one holding to another. At one point it had a fantastic amount of sterling which it played the market beautifully; it bought sterling bonds just at the point when sterling was rising and then when sterling got too high it sold out its bonds and got some other bonds. So it plays the market beautifully. It has done a great job for the Italian citizens actually doing that. Even the Russians are doing this, they buy the dips and then sell the tops. The Russian central Bank is playing a market game with mid-term cycles.

I guess that’s what central banks are doing these days and it’s a question for German citizens, do they want their Bundesbank to generate profits as a trader buying dips and selling tops and thinking it can outsmart the market, does it just want to hold on to this stuff in case of an emergency one day. That’s a democratic choice frankly and probably not for me to answer. 
L.S.: OK, I promise to you hereby that I will ask the press department of the Bundesbank these interesting questions that you have raised as soon as our interview will be published.
A.E.P.: Well, good luck. I don’t suppose they will be terribly forthcoming. I have heard that they have been clearing out their archives to make way for more gold. So some of the archives have had to be moved to other facilities because that part of the bank is going to be storing, it sounds as if the pressure movement in Germany has had some effect if they feel they need to bring more of this back.



Here are now the five extracted questions raised by Mr. Evans-Pritchard:




1) Why did the Bundesbank pulled out large parts of its gold from London in early 2001?
Folker Hellmeyer, the chief analyst of the Bremer Landesbank, told Mr. Evans-Pritchard and me recently about his observations when he was working at the Hessische Landesbank (Helaba):                                                                                        
“Well, it’s a long time ago in the early millenium at Helaba. I don’t have any exact number on the amounts being reshifted to Frankfurt during that period as gold was not my main issue at all in central banking. At the time I was told that the BoE demanded comparatively high charges for hoarding the gold for the Bundesbank. During this period (roughly 2001) every Wednesday parts were relocated from London to Frankfurt via airfreight. That’s the info I received at that time.”
Is Mr. Hellmeyer right, or did it happen because the Bundesbank  thought that those holdings in London were not secure anymore and that maybe the Bank of England had sold short some of its gold, leasing it out; or maybe got over extended?
2) Was the Bundesbank not keeping specific allocated bars under its name in London? Is this still the case related to the rest of the gold bars in London?
3) Related to the German gold reserve held in New York City:  In what kind of trading is the Bundesbank engaged and why is the Bundesbank  trading with its gold?
4) Is the Bundesbank generating profits as a trader by buying dips and selling tops?
5) Does the Bundesbank make room for more gold coming from abroad?



Based on the information that was published during the last weeks due to the “bizarre public discussion” (Andreas Dombret) about Germany’s gold reserve, I would like to ask three questions that arise for me personally. I see more than three questions, but let me limit them to three:
1) The Bundesbank announced that it stores parts of the gold at the known foreign locations, among other reasons, in order to guard itself against a possible currency crisis. Regarding NYC / Dollar and London / Pound this appears – at least superficially – reasonable. But what about Paris and the Banque de France? That arrangement was established before the Euro was introduced. Isn’t it then completely obsolete today? Moreover, related to all three foreign locations: Isn’t it by definition absolutely crucial to have your own gold at your own disposable at any given time in order to call it a real gold reserve? If you don’t think so, what is the Bundesbank’s definition of a real gold reserve?
2) If the Bundesbank brings a total of 150 metric tons of gold bars in the next three years to Germany for a review and melt down, what does this actually prove for the rest of it, even if these checked bars should be perfect?
3) Does the Bundesbank plan with respect to the gold stocks that are held in Germany (and are thus readily available at all time) a physical full-audit on the basis of bar lists, and when does the Bundesbank intend to make the bar lists finally public? What would be the argumentation against the one and / or the other?
Thank you very much for your attention!
Kind regards,
Lars Schall.
On December 12, Mr. Ambrose Evans-Pritchard’s questions were answered this way by Susanne Kreutzer, a press spoke person of the Deutsche Bundesbank:


1) There has never been any doubt that gold holdings stored at the Bank of England are not stored safely. Our reasons to transfer gold holdings from the Bank of England to our own vaults in 2000/2001 were entirely driven by the availability of additional storage capacity in Bundesbank vaults and a higher cost effectiveness.
2) As a basic principle, at any time all gold holdings of the Bundesbank stored at the Bank of England have been allocated bars and still are.
3) The Bundesbank does not trade with its gold reserves.
4) See answer question 3)
5) We do not comment on speculations about the storage capacities in our vaults.



My questions were answered this way:
1) No comment
2)  The Bundesbank has decided to strive for a more balanced distribution of gold reserve holdings at home and abroad, thereby taking increased account of gold`s function of preserving trust and confidence. In the next three years, the Bundesbank will repatriate 50 tons of gold annually from New York to Germany. That will give the the opportunity to inspect these bars, melt them down and convert them into “Good Delivery Standard” bars. That will therefore be a sort of spot check.
3) The respective gold stocks are subject to regular audits. There are no reasons to publish the bar lists.
This is better than getting no answers at all. However, the answers have to be enjoyed cautiously. For example, Ms. Kreutzer says that Bundesbank does not trade with its gold reserves. But then again we have this statement by Mr. Andreas Dombret during his speech at the Reception of the Bundesbank Representative Office in New York City on November 1, 2012 regarding the German gold reserves:
“(W)e are now looking back at sixty years not only of fruitful cooperation in many fields and international fora, but also of storing gold and trading via the New York Fed. As a matter of fact, it is sensible for us to do so in New York, as Frankfurt is not a gold trading venue.“
Maybe I just don’t get it.
Anyway, the full interview with Ambrose Evans-Pritchard is posted at GoldSwitzerlandhere.



No comments:

Post a Comment