Thursday, December 13, 2012

Ed Steer's Gold and Silver Report for December 13 , 2012 - and selected news items of the day !



From Silver doctors.....

MOPE RAID: GOLD & SILVER HAMMERED IN GLOBEX AFTER QE4 ANNOUNCEMENT

The manipulation of gold and silver prices by the Western bullion banking cartel is all about the management of the perception of economics
Investors MUST NOT protect themselves from currency debauchery by acquiring hard assets such as gold and silver to preserve their capital. 
Readers will recall that in November of 2011, the gold price was sent down a vertical mineshaft just moments prior to the announcement that the Swiss were linking the CHF to the Euro, which was intuitively massively bullish for gold.
Another counter-intuitive smash of gold and silver prices is in progress, as gold has been smashed $30 and under $1700 from it’s post QE4 announcement high near $1725, and silver has been smashed $1.15 from $33.92 to $32.77.
The Doc has been inundated with desperate precious metals investors ready to throw in the towel with tonight’s raid, as those without conviction are buying into the Fed’s MOPE, hook, line and sinker.  This is a war, and a battle for your wealth and your assets earned through blood, sweat, and tears.


THE FED HAS ANNOUNCED OPEN-ENDED UNSTERILIZED MONETIZATION OF TREASURY BONDS AT A PACE OF $85 BILLION PER MONTH!!   THIS IS $1.02 TRILLION IN ANNUAL BOND MONETIZATION, WITH BERNANKE EFFECTIVELY STATING QE4 WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO 2015.  THIS IS THE END GAME!!   THE FED HAS NO WAY OUT, AND IS BACKED INTO A CORNER.  QE TO INFINITY AND BEYOND IS HERE.  [Read more...]

and.....

JIM RICKARDS: THE FED IS RACING TO CREATE INFLATION BEFORE THE US ECONOMY IMPLODES!

Welcome to Capital Account. It’s Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision day! As expected, the Fed announced it will expand its bond-buying program with 45 billion dollars a month in longer-term treasury securities, after the conclusion of Operation Twist at the end of this year. In a different sort of twist, the Fed also announced it is now tying interest rate guidance to economic guide posts.  At the press conference Bernanke announced that the FOMC members would take into consideration a variety of metrics for determining inflation, but how will the Fed use this data to make its long term inflation predictions? We ask Jim Rickards of Tangent Capital Partners if this gives the FOMC more subjective leeway to ignore potential high short term price inflation. He explains that this gives the Fed the room to tell the public “inflation is what we say it is, and that the Fed is attempting to INCREASE THE VELOCITY of the money supply in order to shock the public into spending due to higher than expected inflation! [Read more...]






and....







http://www.caseyresearch.com/gsd/edition/lee-quaintance-and-paul-brodsky-gold-market-rigging-look-east-too


Lee Quaintance and Paul Brodsky: For Gold Market Rigging, Look East Too

Dec
13
""Da boyz" can paint any chart picture they want...and the dumb-as-posts T.A. analysts gobble it all up."

¤ YESTERDAY IN GOLD AND SILVER

Well, it was pretty much the same, old same old on Wednesday as it was on Monday and Tuesday...down in early Far East trading...rallying once lunch time was over in Hong Kong...with a not-for-profit seller then showing up between the noon London silver fix and the Comex open in New York.
This time the gold price was allowed to rise until around the London p.m. fix at 10:00 a.m. in New York.  Gold then got sold down about ten bucks by 10:45 Eastern.  Then at 12:30 the price attempted to rally strongly, only to get hammered flat by a not-for-profit seller beginning just minutes before 1:00 p.m. in New York...and by the 5:15 p.m. close of electronic trading..."da boyz" had the gold price back to almost unchanged from Tuesday.
The high price tick of the day that came just minutes before 1:00 p.m. was quoted at $1,724.80 spot over at Kitco.
Gold closed at $1,711.60 spot...up $1.20 on the day.  Volume was pretty decent at around 166,000 contracts net...and I'd guess that JPMorgan Chase et al did what they had to do to kill the price on the heels of the news from the FOMC meeting.  If you think that the noon rally in gold might have been short covering, you obviously haven't been reading this column long enough to know better.
It was pretty much the same story in silver, except the big rally around 12:30 Eastern time looked more like a NASA space launch...and JPMorgan et al really had to work overtime to put that fire out.  The high tick in silver was $33.92 spot...so silver had another intraday move of over a buck.
By the close, JPMorgan Chase had peeled 47 cents off the high of the day...and silver closed at $33.45 spot...up only 45 cents.  Volume was a very chunky 46,500 contracts.
The dollar index opened at 80.03...and then, like on Tuesday, hung in there until shortly after trading began in London...and then headed slowly south until around 7:30 a.m. in New York.  The tiny rally that began there, touched the 80.00 mark a couple of times...and then fell off the proverbial cliff starting at 12 o'clock noon Eastern right on the button, with the bottom [around 79.77] coming shortly before 1:00 p.m.  From that point it rallied a bit into the close...and finished the Thursday trading session at 79.89...down 14 basis points from Tuesday's close.
None of this currency action explains the price action of either gold or silver between the 10:00 a.m. Eastern time London p.m. gold fix...and the rally that began at 12:30 p.m.  If you have an explanation other than price management, I'd love to hear it.

*   *   * 

The CME's Daily Delivery Report showed that 225 gold and 169 silver contracts were posted for delivery on Friday.  And it was all the "usual suspects" as issuers and stoppers...JPMorgan Chase, Bank of Nova Scotia...and HSBC USA.  The link to yesterday'sIssuers and Stoppers Report is here.
There were no reported changes in either GLD or SLV...and the U.S. Mint reported that they sold 4,000 ounces of gold eagles.
Over at Switzerland's Zürcher Kantonalbank for the period ending on December 10th...the reported that their gold ETF added 6,367 troy ounces...and their silver ETF showed a decline of 35,141 troy ounces.
It was a quiet day over at the Comex-approved depositories on Tuesday, as they reported receiving only 2,000 troy ounces of silver...and shipped 30,690 ounces out the door.  The activity isn't worth a look.

*   *   * 

selected news items.....

Fed Ties Rates to Joblessness, With Target of 6.5%

Ben Bernanke, chairman of the Fed, said Wednesday that the agency was nearing the limits of its ability to help the unemployed.
The Federal Reserve made it plain on Wednesday that job creation had become its primary focus, announcing that it planned to continue suppressing interest rates so long as the unemployment rate remained above 6.5 percent.
It was the first time the nation’s central bank had publicized such a specific economic objective, underscoring the depth of its concern about the persistence of what the Fed chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, called “a waste of human and economic potential.”
To help reduce unemployment, the Fed said it would also continue monthly purchases of $85 billion in Treasury securities and mortgage-backed securities until job market conditions improved, extending a policy announced in September.
This must read story showed up on The New York Times website early yesterday afternoon...and it's courtesy of Roy Stephens.  The link is here.

U.S. runs $172 billion budget deficit in November

The U.S. government ran a budget deficit of $172 billion in November, the Treasury Department said Wednesday, pushing the shortfall for the first two months of fiscal 2013 to $292 billion.
In November, the government spent $334 billion and took in $162 billion in revenue.
For the fiscal year to date, the deficit is up 24% compared to the first two months of fiscal 2012.
This marketwatch.com story was posted on their Internet site early yesterday afternoon...and I thank Elliot Simon for his second offering in today's column.  It's worth reading...and the link is here.

Head Office Raided in Tax Probe: Deutsche Bank CEO Under Investigation

The current investigation into Germany's biggest bank, Deutsche Bank, over suspected tax evasion has widened to include members of its management board.
The bank issued a statement on Wednesday following a police raid on its head office in Frankfurt saying prosecutors were also investigating Jürgen Fitschen, who became co-CEO this year, and Stefan Krause, the chief financial officer.
"Two of Deutsche Bank's management board members, Jürgen Fitschen and Stefan Krause, are involved in the investigations as they signed the value-added tax statement for 2009," Deutsche Bank said in a statement.
This story showed up on the German website spiegel.de yesterday...and it's another article from Roy Stephens.  The link is here.

Three King World News Blogs

The first is this must read commentary by GATA's secretary treasurerChris Powell...and it's headlined "Holy Grail" Gold Evidence Panics Western Central Banks".  The second blog is with Keith Barron...and it's entitled "All of My Bags Were Searched and They Were Looking For Money".  The last blog is with Dr. Stephen Leeb.   It bears the title "Buy Gold - Fed to Print Over $1,000,000,000,000 Per Year".

Levy on gold could be budget windfall, U.S. lawmakers say

Revising a 19th-century U.S. law that governs the mining of gold and other precious metals could add billions of dollars to federal coffers at a time of tight budgets, according to some Democratic lawmakers and a government study released on Wednesday.
Taxpayers receive no royalties on metals pulled from federal land, and officials drew a blank when they tried to find out how much gold, silver, copper and other valuable metal is sold.
But applying a metals levy of 12.5 percent - the benchmark government share for other resources - could deliver hundreds of millions of dollars a year to taxpayers, according to independent studies and U.S. Representative Raul Grijalva, who sought the report and other data from the mining industry.
I ran this article past the Casey Research 'brain trust' yesterday...and this is what Louis James had to say about it..."Old story; they've been talking about this for years. Now, if federal royalty legislation actually gains momentum in 2013, that will be a concern, but until it does, it's just hot air."  This Reutersstory from yesterday was picked up by the finance.yahoo.com Internet site...and I thank Ulrike Marx for her second story in a row.  It's her last offering in today's column, as well...and the link is here.

More than half of Dutch gold is at NY Fed, finance minister says

A little more than half of the gold of De Nederlandsche Bank is stored at the U.S. Federal Reserve in New York.
Furthermore, 20 percent is in the Canadian central bank in Ottawa, nearly 20 percent is located in London, and only 11 percent is at the DNB itself in Amsterdam.
That was said by Dutch Finance Minister Jeroen Dijsselbloem in response to parliamentary questions from Christian Democratic Appeal Member of Parliament Eddy Hijum.
The English translation of this very short Dutch story posted on the nu.nlInternet site yesterday is embedded in a GATA release...and the link is here.

Lars Schall: The Bundesbank and its gold -- to trade or not to trade?

Financial journalist Lars Schall, who in recent months has gotten the doors of several central banks slammed in his face when he has asked them pointed questions about gold, reports today that he is doing a little better with the German Bundesbank as a result of similar inquiries made by the London Telegraph's Ambrose Evans-Pritchard. Schall's commentary is headlined "The Deutsche Bundesbank and Its Gold: To Trade or Not to Trade?" and it's posted at his Internet site here:
The Bundesbank still has not answered whether it loans or swaps gold or if it ever did and, if so, for what purposes. But these questions are being pressed more often now and eventually will blow up messily all over Western central banking -- sooner if mainstream financial journalists like Evans-Pritchard start pressing the questions for their own news organizations.
I thank Chris Powell for wordsmithing "all of the above"...and Schall's commentary is headlined "The Deutsche Bundesbank and Its Gold: To Trade or Not to Trade?".  It's posted at the larsschall.com Internet site...and the link is here.

Lee Quaintance and Paul Brodsky: For gold market rigging, look east too

In their latest market letter, Lee Quaintance and Paul Brodsky of QB Asset Management in New York add credence to speculation that the gold price could not have been so restrained lately without the assistance of China and Russia and maybe even Japan and South Korea, all eager to hedge their dollar exposure with gold but unable to get it in size without a long period of price suppression.
Quaintance and Brodsky write:
"According to most dyed-in-the-wool hard-money advocates, there is a 'gold cartel' that suppresses the gold price. They tend to argue that U.S. banks continually short gold (and silver) futures nakedly, clipping significant yield each quarter without sufficient metal in stock to deliver to futures buyers if exercised.
The paragraphs above are only part of the commentary offered by Chris Powell in this must read GATA release from yesterday...and the link is here.


*  *  *


¤ THE WRAP

Clearly, I was not surprised with the massive commercial gold short covering [shown in last Friday's COT Report - Ed] as this is the manner by which gold prices are determined. The commercials lure the technical funds in by allowing prices to rise and selling short as the tech funds buy...and at a time pre-determined by the commercials, they then rig prices lower to induce tech fund selling so that the commercials can buy back their shorted contracts at a profit. Means, method and opportunity. I would say that only the CFTC can’t seem to see this, but even that is not possible any longer. The CFTC can see it for sure; they just look the other way, to their everlasting shame. - Silver analyst Ted Butler...08 December 2012
I don't have a thing to add to what I've already said about the gold and silver price action at the top of this column.  JPMorgan Chase are fully in charge here...and they can and will do whatever they want until they can't do it any more.  While they're raping the precious metals industry...no one within it is going to raise a finger to stop them...not the World Gold Council, the Silver Institute...or the mining companies you own shares in...and by their very silence, they are all complicit in this whole sordid affair.
If you look at the RSI indicators on the gold and silver charts, they're in neutral territory...which means that prices could go either way.  But as I've stated many times over the last few years, "da boyz" can paint any chart picture they want...and the dumb-as-posts T.A. analysts gobble it all up like it's the gospel.  Well, it ain't.
I note that the not-for-profit sellers showed up in the thinly-traded Far East market during their Thursday morning...and all four precious metals were dealt with in the usual manner by the high-frequency traders...with special attention paid to gold, silver and platinum.  The bullion banks are market neutral in palladium...but it got hit as well. If they would make themselves market neutral in gold and silver...gold would have a large 4-digit price...and silver would have a 3-digit price that would make your eyes water.
And as I hit the 'send' button at 5:05 a.m. Eastern time, the prices of all four precious metals have stabilized at their new lows.  As is to be expected, volumes were immense for this time of day...over 45,000 contracts in gold...and 12,000+ contracts in silver.  Well over half of that volume occurred before lunch time in Hong Kong on their Thursday.  It's obvious that there was big liquidation by the tech funds...as these engineered price declines forced them to puke up their long positions and allowed JPMorgan et al to cover shorts...or go long themselves.  The dollar index is trading sideways just below the 80.00 mark.
I have no idea what "da boyz" have in store for us as the trading day moves into the New York session...but I'm less than impressed by what I see at the moment...and I must admit that I'm looking forward to the Comex price action with some fear and trepidation.  As I've said many times in the past, you must be emotionally prepared for anything...but don't forget to buy the dips.
See you on Friday.





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