http://www.zerohedge.com/news/europe-back-abnormal-spanish-selling-resumes
http://www.athensnews.gr/portal/1/57536
Europe Back To Abnormal As Spanish Selling Resumes
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/08/2012 06:57 -0400
A funny thing happened in European peripheral bond markets: they sold off - Spain is wider across the board, with the 2 Year back over 4%, and the 10 Year threatening to blow out above 7% for the first time since the market was re-re-fooled by Draghi. Same in Italy, where the 2s10s is once again in flattening mode. In other words after getting Draghi right for one day, then flipping and confusing what he said for the next week, the market is back to being right in its initial kneejerk reaction to the ECB head's words. One reason (among many) - a Rabobank report by Richard McGuire and Lyn Graham-Taylor which states that Spain won’t ask for more aid if more conditions are attached add to likelihood "crisis must worsen before it improves." Hmm, where have we seen an identical turn of the phrase before. Oh yes, here. Rabobank also adds that the ECB will have to show willingness to buy across the curve (not just in tenors of less than one year) when it does intervene. Of course, for that to happen, things must get far, far worse. Just as we explained to the five-year olds in charge of the market this past weekend.
In other more fundamental news, Spain's June workday adjusted Industrial Output dropped -6.3% more than the -6.2% estimate. Worse, Spain is now targeting a deficit of 4.5% of GDP in 2012 for central government vs 3.5% in the previous plan sent to European officials in April. By the time the year is over expect this number to be a "shocking" 8% or more. Additionally, Italian banks’ bad loans rose 15.8% in June according to the Bank of Italy. Perhaps Draghi should tell balance sheets to 'Believe him" that all shall be well too. Finally, Germany is falling ever deeper into recession, as confirmed by the latest economic print - June Germany industrial production which dropped -0.9% M/M, vs an estimateed -0.8%, and a previous change of +1.7%. Remember: the worse Germany gets, the less leverage the periphery has of "dragging it to the bottom"... especially if it is already there.
http://www.athensnews.gr/portal/1/57536
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1. DISAPPOINTING MEETING The country’s coalition leaders did not come to a clear agreement over debt measures during theirlatest meeting on Tuesday. Democratic Left leader Kouvelis opposes PM Samaras’ plan to revive a labor reserve scheme to reduce the public sector wage bill. Pasok leader Venizelos expressed his doubts about the scheme, but said he was also against the idea of mass layoffs in the public sector. Finance Minister Stournaras said “We will look at the labor reserve because the numbers just don’t add up easily,” he said. “11.5 billion euros is a significant number and we haven’t reached it yet. We still need to find 3.5 to 4 billion euros.”
2. OPPOSITION BACKLASH The Radical Left Coalition party Syriza and Independent Greeks parties condemned the coalition government meetings on Monday and Tuesday, stating that they are just following the demands of the troika. The Independent Greeks party said in a statement that "the storm of economic measures has been decided and (the coalition) is simply looking for ways to serve them."
3. NO LAYOFFS Finance Minister Yannis Stournaras ruled out the option of layoffs in the public sector on Tuesday. Responding to information that has come to light suggesting that layoffs and the labour reserve measure will be implemented in the public sector, Stournaras said that the option of layoffs is not being considered adding, however, that the labour reserve measure will be examined “because the numbers do not add up easily. 11.5 billion euros is a large number and we are not quite there yet; we are 3.5-4 billion euros short.”
4. FOREIGN MINISTER MEETING Foreign Minister Dimitris Avramopoulos and his Italian counterpart Giulio Terzi met in Rome on Tuesday and agreed to support the Trans-Adriatic Pipeline (TAP) to transport natural gas from the Caspian Sea and Middle East through Greece, Albania and Italy to the rest Europe. “This will make Greece, Italy and neighboring countries strategic partners in the distribution of natural gas in Europe,” said Avramopoulos.
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http://www.ekathimerini.com/4dcgi/_w_articles_wsite2_23051_07/08/2012_455956
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