Listed firms act as access to financing tightens
Greek banks are reportedly refusing to offer listed companies guarantees that they will be able to continue meeting their urgent liquidity requirements in 2012.
Senior executives of firms that managed to settle their debts last year and maintain open credit lines this year after protracted negotiations with lenders told Kathimerini that the current political flux and the postponement of bank recapitalization has cast a heavy cloud of uncertainty over the future. At best, they note, the banking system and businesses have adopted a wait-and-see stance. It’s impossible to predict where the country will stand politically one month from now and no one can rule out the possibility that the government will declare a payments freeze one month from now if the country’s international creditors suspend the scheduled installments.
Banks have notified listed companies that they now control after the securitization of their debts to put financial plans on hold until the political landscape becomes clearer. This is especially trying for firms that cannot reduce production, as that would jeopardize their cash flows. Many of them have tried to improve their survival prospects by reorienting their activities abroad, given the bleak prospects of the domestic economy.
The lack of liquidity is prompting many firms to sell or reduce their holdings in order to protect their assets.
Even healthy firms are beginning to feel the liquidity pinch, and this has not escaped the attention of foreign portfolio managers who are watching the Greek market ready to snap up any opportunities. The overall picture that has emerged for the first quarter of the year is that two out of every three listed firms are facing very acute cash flow woes. On average, firms are two months behind in salary payments and have activated compulsory leave measures (two days a month), anticipating an average reduction in the wage bill of around 10 percent.
“Many firms will wither in 2012, given the sorry state of the Greek business environment. We do not want to be among them, so the group will conduct itself as conservatively as possible in order to deal with the situation,” said Evangelos Mytilineos, chairman and CEO of industrial conglomerate Mytilineos Holdings.
Tumbling turnover has compounded the problems posed by the lack of financing. For instance, the situation is especially tough in the construction sector, as firms involved in public works are being led to collapse. Realty developers who were in the middle of projects when banks froze further credit are in an equally sorry state, while the recession in the tourism sector is giving rise to a similar picture for many cash-strapped hotel businesses. Even the food sector -- traditionally the most resistant of Greek industries during economically challenging periods -- is seeing sales fall as consumers cut back to the absolute essentials or turn to cheaper options. Also there have been reports that listed firms with property assets are being refused operating capital loans due to their supposed risk of default.
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New proposal leads to further party talks on Tuesday
Democratic Left leader Fotis Kouvelis |
Papoulias put forward his proposal during Monday night’s talks with New Democracy leader Antonis Samaras, PASOK chief Evangelos Venizelos and the head of Democratic Left, Fotis Kouvelis. The three leaders were called in after discussions to form a unity government on Sunday failed as a result of the Coalition of the Radical Left (SYRIZA) declining a role in the administration.
SYRIZA, which opposes the European Union and International Monetary Fund loan deal, said it was not satisfied that a four-party government would be committed to ending the austerity policies imposed in Greece since 2010.
Although ND, PASOK and Democratic Left have 168 seats in Parliament, there is a feeling that SYRIZA’s support would be needed for greater political legitimacy. It emerged that during the talks between Samaras, Venizelos and Kouvelis last night, the idea of just the three parties forming a government was set aside in favor of Papoulias’s suggestion that as many political groups as possible support a so-called “government of personalities.”
As a result, a new meeting between all the leaders of parties that entered Parliament following the May 6 elections, apart from the far-right Chrysi Avgi (Golden Dawn), has been called for 2 p.m. today. It has been reported that the leader of the nationalist Independent Greeks, Panos Kammenos, will meet with the president a little earlier after Samaras asked Papoulias to look into whether there was a possibility of his party joining a unity government, thereby negating the need for an administration of technocrats to be formed.
There was a mixed reaction from the three leaders who took part in yesterday’s talks to the idea of a technocrat-led government but all agreed that such an administration would need broad support.
“The effort to form a government is continuing,” said Samaras. “It needs to have the broadest possible support. It is not so important who the personalities are but which parties support the government.” “Under normal circumstances, governments of technocrats or personalities are not formed,” said Venizelos. “But when we are faced with such a crisis, such a deadlock, parliamentary support for such a government must be as broad as possible.” Democratic Left leader Kouvelis was the least enthusiastic about the prospect of such a government being formed, insisting that an administration made up of as many parties as possible was a better option. “This is a defeat for politics,” he said. SYRIZA leader Alexis Tsipras is expected to take part in Tuesday’s meeting after choosing not to attend the talks on Monday. Speaking to the Athens-Macedonia News Agency, Tsipras said that he plans to build on his party’s success in the May 6 polls, when it more than tripled its vote from the previous elections. “Today’s SYRIZA bears no relation to the SYRIZA of May 5,” said Tsipras. A survey by Public Issue for Kathimerini indicated that about half of the 16.8 percent of voters who backed SYRIZA just over a week ago had voted for New Democracy or PASOK in the 2009 elections. Tsipras said that he wanted to keep hold of these voters in the next elections and broaden its appeal. He said the structure of the party would change and that SYRIZA would take the necessary legal steps to ensure it would be able to profit from the 50-seat bonus given the leading party in elections. As a coalition, SYRIZA does not currently qualify for the bonus. The party, however, remains committed to changing the electoral system from one of reinforced proportionality to proportional representation.
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http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2012/05/mr-lie-when-its-serious-juncker-tells.html
Monday, May 14, 2012 6:42 PM
Mr. "Lie When It's Serious" Juncker Tells Another Whopper: "I Don’t Envisage, Not Even for One Second, Greece Leaving the Euro Area"; Two More Days of Hopefully Futile Coalition Talks on a "Government of Personalities"
Those looking for a bit of humor in the European debacle can find it in statements from Jean-Claude Juncker, head of the eurozone finance ministers.
Juncker says "I don’t envisage, not even for one second, Greece leaving the euro area. This is nonsense. This is propaganda. We have to respect Greek democracy."
Bear in mind this statement comes from the same man who said "When it becomes serious, you have to lie."
Also bear in mind Juncker's support for a Troika installed puppet government in Greece, after Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou proposed putting bailout measures to a vote.Notice that bailout measures went to a vote anyway.
Juncker says "I don’t envisage, not even for one second, Greece leaving the euro area. This is nonsense. This is propaganda. We have to respect Greek democracy."
Bear in mind this statement comes from the same man who said "When it becomes serious, you have to lie."
Also bear in mind Juncker's support for a Troika installed puppet government in Greece, after Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou proposed putting bailout measures to a vote.Notice that bailout measures went to a vote anyway.
Two More Days of Hopefully Futile Greek Negotiations
The Financial Times reports Greece set for further coalition talks
Greece’s president is set to resume coalition talks on Tuesday with the country’s political leaders in another attempt to avoid a fresh general election after a meeting on Monday evening ended without agreement.
President Karolos Papoulias has another 48 hours to persuade politicians to join a national unity government according to the constitution or face having to call another election.
Mr Venizelos said after the meeting he had supported the president’s proposal for a “government of personalities” with backing “from as many political parties as possible” to implement further reforms agreed in return for a second €174bn bailout.
“The situation is very difficult and I’m not optimistic, but we must try every possible solution,” Mr Venizelos said.
Alexis Tsipras, the leader of Syriza, the radical leftwing coalition that rejects the terms of Greece’s international bailout, refused to participate in Monday’s talks. “We’re not going to join in selective meetings of political leaders ... The circle of contacts provided for by the constitution has been completed,” he said.
Jean-Claude Juncker, the Luxembourg prime minister who heads the group of eurozone finance ministers, sharply criticised other EU leaders for “threatening” Greece with expulsion from the single currency, saying the will of Greek voters must be respected.
“I don’t envisage, not even for one second, Greece leaving the euro area. This is nonsense. This is propaganda,” Mr Juncker said angrily at a news conference. “We have to respect Greek democracy.”
He added he would be open to debating easing terms of the €174bn bailout, including extending dates to hit fiscal and economic reform targets by a year, something that has been anathema to several leaders in Germany, the European Central Bank and the European Commission.
Maria Fekter, the outspoken Austrian finance minister, went so far as to suggest Greece may have to leave the EU, since there is no legal provision for leaving the euro without exiting the union.
“Greece would have to reapply and then we would have membership negotiations and look very closely whether Greece would be able to become a member at all,” said Ms Fekter. “We look much more closely than when they joined the euro.”make full repayment on the bond, which was issued under UK law, to avoid future legal action by holdout investors, the official said.
Lies Everywhere
Junker's statement about willingness to negotiate changes in bailout terms is of course a blatant lie aimed at keeping Greece in the Eurozone.
Also note the lie from Maria Fekter about Greece having to leave the EU if it exits the eurozone. Given that numerous countries are in the EU without being in the Eurozone, the UK is a prime example, Fekter's statement is complete nonsense.
That said, perhaps Greece is better of not being in the EU as well. Certainly the UK would be better off telling the EU where to go.
"When it becomes serious, you have to lie."
Indeed Juncker and and others have proven lies are the norm.
Junker's statement about willingness to negotiate changes in bailout terms is of course a blatant lie aimed at keeping Greece in the Eurozone.
Also note the lie from Maria Fekter about Greece having to leave the EU if it exits the eurozone. Given that numerous countries are in the EU without being in the Eurozone, the UK is a prime example, Fekter's statement is complete nonsense.
That said, perhaps Greece is better of not being in the EU as well. Certainly the UK would be better off telling the EU where to go.
"When it becomes serious, you have to lie."
Indeed Juncker and and others have proven lies are the norm.
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http://www.businessinsider.com/greek-minister-of-citizen-protection-grexit-would-mean-civil-war-2012-5
GREEK MINISTER: An Exit From The Eurozone Could Trigger Civil War
AP Images
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In case you haven't heard his name in the headlines much lately, he's a member of the Hellenic Parliament finishing up his term as the Minister of Citizen Protection, and according to the Telegraph, he just told a Greek radio station in an interview that a Greek departure from the eurozone would most undoubtedly be bad news for more than just international creditors holding the bag on debt payments.
Here's how he sees it going down:
“What will prevail are armed gangs with Kalashnikovs and which one has the greatest number of Kalashnikovs will count … we will end up in civil war.”
Sounds worse than last summer.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financialcrisis/9265930/Merkel-tells-Greece-to-back-cuts-or-face-euro-exit.html
Raising the spectre of a Greek exit, the German chancellor said “solidarity for the euro” was threatened by the ongoing political crisis in Athens.
Stock markets around the world fell sharply with fears mounting that a euro break-up could lead to renewed financial turmoil. The FTSE-100 index of Britain’s major companies fell by two per cent to 5465, with bank shares hit particularly hard.
The cost of Spanish government borrowing also hit a record high since the single currency was introduced because of concerns that the crisis will spread.
Today, François Hollande, the new French president, will be sworn in and, in an indication of the concern gripping Europe, will almost immediately travel to Berlin to hold talks with Mrs Merkel that will be dominated by Greece’s plight.
Attempts to form a new government in Athens have been thwarted for the past nine days, although the country’s president will meet all major parties this afternoon to discuss the forming of a “technocratic” administration rather than a coalition.