Thursday, February 23, 2012

Germans getting cold feet over Greece , Belgians getting cold feet over Dexia

http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/bailout-queen-dexia-their-shoulders-belgians-are-getting-cold-feet


Wolf Richter   www.testosteronepit.com
Bailout queen Dexia, the Franco-Belgian mega-bank that collapsed twice and was bailed out twice within three years, is turning into a nightmare for the tiny Kingdom of Belgium and its taxpayers. Belgium guaranteed a pile of debt, nationalized its local subsidiaries, and bailed out the rest of the financial sector. Total exposure: €162 billion—41% of its GDP! And today Dexia announced monumental losses. But finally there is resistance.
Bailout queen Dexia, the Franco-Belgian mega-bank that collapsed twice and was bailed out twice within three years—in 2008 and last October—is turning into a nightmare for the tiny Kingdom of Belgium and its taxpayers.
As part of the second bailout, Belgium guaranteed 60.5% of €90 billion in debt—€54.5 billion, or 14% of Belgium’s GDP. France and Luxembourg guaranteed the remainder. Belgium then nationalized the local subsidiary, Dexia Banque Belgique (DBB) for €4 billion and assumed whatever toxic assets were fouling up the air inside. Belgian bailout manna also rained on other worthy banks, including BNP Paribas and Fortis Banque. In total, Belgium guaranteed €138 billion in debt, 35% of its GDP! In addition, it injected €15.7 billion in capital and €8.6 billion in loans into the financial sector. For a total exposure of €162 billion—gasp—41% of its GDP! For that immense taxpayer ripoff and how finally someone is going after the CEO of Dexia, read.... "Not A Bank But A Hedge Fund".
Belgians have a love-hate relationship with the left-over parts of Dexia. They employ 10,000 Belgians, but they’re also threatening to pull the country into a financial abyss. And now bad news for taxpayers is piling up. Dexia SA released its fourth-quarter results today: a monumental loss of €11.6 billion ($15.3 billion), which includes write-downs of its Greek bonds and other crappy assets, plus hefty operating losses. Of that loss, Belgian taxpayers will eat 60.5%. At the end of December, it owed €48 billion on its emergency lines of credit with central banks.

On March 1, DBB will report similarly horrid results, impacted by the usual suspects: operating losses and write-downs—among them Greek bonds, assets in its legacy portfolio, derivative products, and the liquidation of its subsidiary Holding Communal. It is still dependent on the ECB for funding. And now, the newly installed administrators found out that, despite state-ownership and the amount of money Belgium plowed into it, it is still bleeding deposits at a rate of €20 million a week. The run on the bank continues. Layoffs will become inevitable. And more capital may have to be injected.
But resistance is mounting in Belgium. Today, after the losses were announced, the opposition party Ecolo came out swinging. It accused the then outgoing federal government of having been lackadaisical when it negotiated the bailout deal and Belgium’s 60.5% share of the guarantees. In a statement released today, Representatives Meyrem Almaci and Georges Gilkinet demanded that the federal government renegotiate these guarantees—in light of the dangers they pose for Belgium’s public finances, and in light of the austerity measures foisted on the people because of the bailouts. "In the case of Dexia, it is time that the interests of the Belgian citizens are finally taken into account," the statement said.
And there is a legal challenge underway. ATTAC (Association pour la Taxation des Transactions Financière et pour l’Action Citoyenne) and CADTM (Committee for the Abolition of Third World Debt) appealed the Royal Decree of October 18 that had granted Dexia the guarantees. “Several democratic principles were violated in this case,” said their lawyer Olivier Stein. In particular, the federal parliament never voted on the guarantees though it could have. By comparison, the French parliament passed a law allowing the guarantees on the French side.
Alas, yesterday, Dexia, which would die a rapid and natural death without the guarantees, responded. It filed an application with the Council of State to intervene in the case in support of the Belgian government. Goal: get the judges to reject the appeal. The case is expected to be argued before the Supreme Court in several months.

This mayhem could have been avoided. Regulators weren’t blind. Unbeknownst to the public at the time, French regulators had been investigating Dexia for years and had sent its executives numerous warning letters. In the summer of 2010, they finished a report chock full with damning results and threatened to put the bank "under special supervision." And then? Nothing. But now the report has surfaced. Read.... Regulators Knew of Dexia's Problems But Were Silenced.

2 comments:

  1. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/debt-crisis-live/9102508/Debt-crisis-live.html


    07.05 Ambrose Evans-Pritchard and Louise Armitstead reported on a new obstacle to resolving the debt crisis - a possible row between Germany and the IMF over the size of the eurozone bailout fund.
    The country's ruling parties are to introduce a resolution in parliament blocking any further boost to the EU’s bail-out machinery, vastly complicating Greece’s rescue package.
    The tough stance reflects popular disgust in Germany at escalating demands. Bowing to pressure, Chancellor Merkel’s office said an increase in the ESM was “not necessary” since Italian and Spanish bond markets have recovered.
    Germany is now on a collision course with world powers, the IMF and even key allies in Europe’s AAA-core. The Netherlands and Finland are willing to boost the EU firewall to €750bn.
    The IMF has hinted it may cut its share of Greece’s €130bn (£110bn) package and warned that its members will not commit $500bn (£318bn) more in funds to ringfence Italy and Spain unless Europe beefs up its rescue scheme.

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  2. Meanwhile, the Greek bailout continues to stumble ahead of this weekend's G20 meeting in Mexico. Despite pressure from the IMF and EU to increase the European firewall above the proposed €500bn, Germany is digging in its heels. The IMF has suggested that it could withhold further assistance and even cut back its €13bn contribution to the latest bailout plan if Germany doesn't show signs of compromise.

    Gary Jenkins of Swordfish Research said:

    This weekend will be dominated by the G20 where it appears that Germany may be isolated in that everyone else appears to be in favour of increasing the size of the European firewall to at least €750bn. Germany is standing steadfast that no further money is required. There have of course been lots of suggestions that the EFSF and the ESM should be combined in order to get to the €750bn figure and that by doing so it would encourage countries from outside the EU to contribute to the fund either directly or indirectly (via the IFM). I would have thought that it would be difficult for the EU to persuade the likes of China and Japan to contribute cash when you can't agree amongst yourselves what the size of the fund should be…

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2012/feb/24/eurozone-crisis-live-uk-german-fourth-quarter-gdp

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